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Posts by Doctrine and Disorder

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The Magazine Has a Bottom Nobody asked how this ends. They asked how many shots they had left.

Precision fires are a competitive advantage. Standoff is not a strategy. When your preferred method of war becomes too scarce to use freely, the question is not what is the best munition.

#planning #fires #missiles #strategy #doctrineanddisorder

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/the-magazi...

1 day ago 0 0 0 0
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Stop Asking Program Managers to Fix Strategy Execution authority is mistaken for decision authority

Program managers are told to go faster without being given the authority to do it.

Speed is not a task. It is a decision made at the level that controls requirements and funding.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/stop-askin...

#DefenseAcquisition #DoD #Leadership

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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The Air Force Is Not Aging. It Is Choosing. How the Air Force funds new aircraft and then decides not to buy them

“Average fleet age” sounds precise. It isn’t.

The argument confuses a budgeting outcome with a readiness problem.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/the-air-fo...

#Defense #Airpower #Acquisition

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Blaming the Rules of Engagement The Myth of Handcuffed Soldiers

Blaming ROE is usually a sign the problem is somewhere else.

ROE preserve legitimacy, which is combat power over time.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/blaming-th...

#Military #Leadership #Strategy

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
Officers Must Demonstrate Four Leadership Tenets Senior military officers are entrusted with critical responsibilities demanding the highest standards of leadership, impacting national security an

This article was a delightful read. While AUSA is not typically known for their peer-reviewed pieces, it is evident that this officer has no peers. A true army of one.

#talentmanagement #armyofone #wtf

web.archive.org/web/20260311...

4 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Protection: The Loneliest Joint Function Missile Defense and the Protection Problem

Radars are powerful. They are also loud.

Missile defense depends on sensors that are often the easiest thing on the battlefield to find. Protection is essential!

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/protection...

#MissileDefense #Warfare

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Talent Management and the Transfer Portal Generation Why the System Rewards Mobility More Than Competence

The military does not lack talent. It struggles to move it.

We rotate people on schedule, not on demand. Skill builds just as the system transfers it.

Stability is treated as stagnation.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/talent-man...

#TalentManagement #MilitaryLeadership #DoctrineAndDisorder

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Campaigning Without Camouflage Applying military planning logic to business and institutional decision-making

Military planning is not about slides. It is about forcing clarity: what matters, when a decision must be made - Problem Solving!

The logic translates cleanly to business.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/campaignin...

#Leadership #Strategy #DecisionMaking

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Wargaming Is Not a Game It’s proofreading for planning, not a simulation of war.

Most wargames fail because they try to win the war in a classroom.

If it feels like competition, something is wrong.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/wargaming-...

#MilitaryPlanning #Wargaming #MissionCommand

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Understanding Risk in Planning Why risk is a command decision, not a staff product

Risk rarely disappears. It just gets renamed and briefed.

Planning tools describe tradeoffs. They do not absorb consequences. Someone still chooses, and someone still owns what follows.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/understand...

#military #planning #leadership

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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The End of START Managing Nuclear Risk Without a Framework

New START didn’t prevent competition. It constrained how badly misinterpretation could spiral when trust thinned.

We are about to find out what replaces structure when transparency runs out.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/the-end-of...

#NuclearPolicy #Deterrence #ArmsControl

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Decision Points, Not Data How staffs turn planning into command advantage

Most staffs do not fail because they lack data.
They fail because they never decided what mattered.

Decision advantage comes from designing decision points early, then collecting only what collapses those decisions.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/decision-p...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Decision Support, Not Information Overload Why More Screens Rarely Produce Better Command Decisions

Most command posts confuse motion with judgment.

If planning did not specify the choice that matters, execution fills the gap with observation.

Decision support exists to narrow options, not decorate awareness.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/decision-s...

#military #planning #command

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Assumptions: The Plan Works... Until it Doesn't A Quiet Source of Risk

Most plans fail long before execution.

Not because forces or timelines were wrong, but because an assumption quietly became a fact.

Assumptions are dependencies. If they endure, they require branches, not hope.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/assumption...

#planning #decisionmaking #staffwork

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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What the SECWAR 8(a) Speech Gets Wrong What the attack on the 8(a) program misunderstands about authority, fraud, and acquisition reality

The loudest claims about the 8(a) program collapse under basic math.

It is statutory, tightly governed, and operationally useful. It exists because speed, negotiation, and industrial depth matter more than slogans.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/what-the-s...

#DoD #Acquisition #8a

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Evaluation Criteria: Turning Understanding Into a Decision Deciding What Matters Before Comparing Options

Most plans don’t fail because they’re infeasible. They fail because no one agreed on what actually mattered.

Evaluation criteria force that agreement early.

That clarity is what decisions rest on.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/evaluation...

#militaryplanning #staffwork #decisionmaking

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Planning Is a Human Problem Planning is how commanders employ people under uncertainty

Planning fails all the time.

Not because of the slides. Not because of the process.
Because planning is a human problem.

Why planning exists, and why this series does too.

doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/planning-i...

#Planning #Military #Command #Leadership #DoctrineAndDisorder

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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The NDAA Didn’t Save You Authorization, Appropriations, and Why the Shutdown Still Happens

The NDAA passed. The budget didn’t.

This piece breaks down:
• Authorization vs appropriation
• Why shutdowns still happen
• Where PPBE fits in the mess

🔗 doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/the-ndaa-d...

#DefensePolicy #NDAA #PPBE #DoD #NationalSecurity #PublicFinance

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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If you consider yourself a defense innovator and still spend most of your time talking about drones, you’re not.

Drones are not innovation. They are a mature capability.

Innovation starts where trends end and new problems begin.

#DefenseInnovation #MilitaryThought #FutureWarfare

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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'Twas the Night Before Christmas E-Ring Edition

🎄 ’Twas the night before Christmas… and not a CONOP in sight.

👉 doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/twas-the-n...

#DoctrineAndDisorder #StaffLife #PlanningProblems #ChristmasAtThePentagon #Satire

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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What Santa’s Workshop Can Teach Us About Production A Christmas Special

🎄 New on Doctrine & Disorder

What Santa’s Workshop can teach us about production, discipline, and why process should serve people—not replace them.

👉 doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/what-santa...

#DoctrineAndDisorder #DefenseReform #Acquisition #Leadership #Christmas

3 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Lethality… The Answer to Every Question When a word replaces thinking, strategy disappears.

Everyone says we need more lethality.
Almost no one can explain what that actually means.

New post 👇
doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/lethality-...

#DoctrineAndDisorder #DefensePolicy #Lethality #MilitaryReform #NatSec

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Space Force rolls out new naming scheme for satellites and space weapons Space Force rolls out new naming scheme for satellites and space weapons Space Force rolls out new naming scheme for satellites and space weapons

Make sure you get your "Magic: The Satellite" trading cards at your nearest USSF BX.

And they wonder why people don't take them seriously.

#USSF #Space #Spaceforce #Pentagon #MilitaryHumor

spacenews.com/space-force-...

3 months ago 2 0 0 0

Your NATSEC horoscope:
• Army — You will discover a new requirement
• Navy — Your program will be 4 years late
• Air Force — Someone said “JADC2” again
• Space Force — Stop making everything a constellation
• DoD — Blame the Continuing Resolution
#DoD #MilitaryHumor #DefenseTwitter #StrategySatire

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Continuing Resolutions: America’s Annual Tradition of Strategic Self-Sabotage We Plan Like a Superpower. We Fund Like a Failing Startup.

Continuing Resolutions aren’t a nuisance—they’re strategic self-sabotage.
We plan like a superpower but fund like a failing startup.

New Doctrine & Disorder piece:
#Defense #Acquisitions #NatSec #PPBE #Policy #Military
doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/continuing...

3 months ago 1 0 0 0

Reform isn’t magic.
Acquisitions, planning, and running the DoD aren’t “broken” — they’re complex.

We keep demanding predictable outcomes from a fundamentally unpredictable environment, then act shocked when the system behaves like… a complex system.

#DoD #Acquisition #NatSec #Complexity

4 months ago 2 0 0 0
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When the Process Becomes the Product How we confuse templates, updates, and synchronized briefs for actual decision-making.

We say we want speed, innovation, and “transformation.”
But half the time, the DoD isn’t solving problems — it’s perfecting the ritual of looking like it is.

Read it here:
doctrineanddisorder.substack.com/p/when-the-p...

#DoD #Acquisition #Strategy #Leadership #PPBE #JCIDS #MissionCommand

4 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Wherever you are today - home, on duty, or somewhere between - thanks for everything you do to keep the force, the mission, and the system moving forward.

Wishing everyone a calm day, and at least one decision that doesn’t require a meeting.
#milTwitter #DoD #PentagonLife #DoctrineAndDisorder

4 months ago 0 0 0 0
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What Did We Think We Learned? Why We Misread Wargames, Conflicts, and Every Video From Ukraine

We’re great at collecting “lessons.”
We’re terrible at figuring out which ones matter.

open.substack.com/pub/doctrine...

#Leadership #Military #DoD #Strategy #Acquisitions #LessonsLearned #DoctrineAndDisorder #DoD #milTwitter #strategy #lessonslearned

4 months ago 0 0 0 0
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The Emerald Dome: Oz’s Most Expensive Way to Not Stop a Witch Oz didn’t need missile defense—it needed adult supervision

The Emerald Dome: Oz’s Most Expensive Way to Not Stop a Witch
substack.com/@doctrineand...

#EmeraldDome #DoctrineAndDisorder #AcquisitionHumor #DefenseTech #MilitaryHumor #PentagonProblems #ProgramManagement #BudgetBoondoggle #OversightFailure #WickedThreats #DefenseAcquisition

4 months ago 0 0 0 0