Sarah Bauerle Danzman (@sarahbauerled) Bsky

Always a good use of time to read @hbanai.bsky.social , especially when he’s writing about Iran. Clear, incisive analysis of why the U.S. and Israeli goals in this war of choice are incompatible.

1 week ago 2 1 1 0

In the US case, it used to be the case that people who didn’t vote were more likely to hold Dem leaning preferences. Now, it’s not clear if that holds. And, I do not know the ideological affinities of nonvoters in other countries.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

Thanks for the question. While I am a political scientist, voting behavior is not my specialty. However, my understanding from the literature is that the 20-30% figure comes from voting behavior. So, that rolls in participation. It’s harder to know what “true” population preferences are but …

1 month ago 2 0 1 0

I don’t understand why you are being so aggressively rude. Cordon sanitaire is a well known term, and it comes up every French election cycle bc RN gets very close. Anyway, have a great rest of your day!

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

I am pointing out that there are tradeoffs across different electoral systems and that the threat of fascist parties is present in both. It’s not a value judgment, and it is in line with how comparative politics scholars understand processes of democratic erosion/backsliding

1 month ago 6 1 1 0

Bc the electorate for far right parties is ~20-30%, far right parties can win sizable minorities in multiparty systems, becoming important in coalitions. In 2party systems, the far right has to capture the whole of the right party. I’m not sure why you find this controversial, but happy to learn.

1 month ago 17 1 2 2

And multiparty systems can be more susceptible to fascism if they don’t have a robust cordon sanitaire

1 month ago 16 1 1 0

TikTok Investors Set to Pay $10 Billion Fee to Trump Administration

A 70% brokerage fee seems akin to extortion: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/13/b...

1 month ago 2 0 0 0

Gulf State sovereign wealth funds are reportedly contributing $24 billion in cash toward the Ellison’s acquisition of Time Warner. It will be interesting to see if/how the war affects the status of these funds.

1 month ago 4 1 0 0

Wary of US investors, Greenland lawmakers push to pass foreign investment screening law COPENHAGEN, Feb 26 (Reuters) - A surge in property interest from U.S. buyers in Nuuk early last year prompted lawmakers to rush through curbs on...

Greenland is rushing to create investment screening mechanism to block U.S. investors from buying up real estate: www.globalbankingandfinance.com/wary-us-inve...

1 month ago 3 1 0 0

Farce, Again? Some preliminary thoughts on the US-Israeli strikes on Iran

hedgeofstate.substack.com/p/farce-agai...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

Hoosiers beat Oregon 72-65 in a thrilling ending on senior day.

1 month ago 8 0 2 0

European indices are crushing the S&P 500

It's almost like we overlearned the lesson of dollar hegemony because we don't understand how network topography works - www.ft.com/content/8017...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

Nuclear makes a lot of sense. Does France have lowest energy rates within EU?

2 months ago 0 0 1 0

UNCTAD data on FDI in 2025 shows that France received USD 69 B in data center investments. The US received 29B, Korea received 21 B.

Can someone please explain to my why France is hovering up so much cross-border data center investment?

2 months ago 4 1 1 0

Noah is correct here. The ACI was first developed as a response to Trump 1.0. The timing of its passage gave the impression that it was a response to China’s economic coercion attempts of Lithuania. However, we all know EU can’t push through regs that fast!

2 months ago 7 1 0 0

Already some excellent submissions in for #PEADS2026 from May 22-23 at Georgetown University McCourt School of Public Policy. Don't have yours in yet? Don't worry there's still time - deadline January 30th! Please "re-sky" to spread the word!

2 months ago 3 3 0 1

COSCO plans takeover of Hamburg hinterland logistics company COSCO plans takeover of Hamburg hinterland logistics company

COSCO attempting to buy up an inland transport logistics company in Germany. Watching with interest: trans.info/en/cosco-ham...

3 months ago 1 0 0 0

Do not accept the foundational lie of the dictator. Do not accept that he and his agents have the right to exact violent repression on citizens. Embrace the idea that the state exists to serve its citizens, not the other way around.

3 months ago 15 2 0 0

can't you do that for the thing you are writing for us? :)

3 months ago 0 0 0 0

Japan govt. panel urges tighter foreign investment screening | NHK WORLD-JAPAN News A Japanese Finance Ministry panel has recommended a legal revision to tighten screening of inward foreign investments. The panel says the amendment is needed to adapt to a change in the security envir...

Japan might be amending it's investment screening mechanism to develop a CFIUS-style inter-agency review structure: www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/...

3 months ago 2 0 0 0

** edit - Emcore/Heifo (China) 2026 **

3 months ago 1 0 0 0

8. MineOne (China) 2024
9. US Steel/Nippon Steel (Japan) 2024 **reversed**
10. Jupiter/Suirui (China) 2025
11. Encore/HeiFo (China) 2026

3 months ago 1 0 1 0

This brings the number of CFIUS blocks to 11.
1. - Mamco/Catic (China) 1990
2. Ralls (China) 2012
3. Aixtron/GrandChip (China) 2016
4. Lattice/CanyonBridge (China) 2017
5. Qualcomm/Broadcom (Singapore) 2018
6. StayNTouch/Shiji (China) 2020
7. Musical.ly/TikTok (China) 2020 *not enforced*

3 months ago 0 1 1 0

Statement on the President’s Decision Ordering the Divestment of Interests in Certain Assets of EMCORE Corporation by HieFo Corporation WASHINGTON — Today, President Trump published an order ordering the divestment by HieFo Corporation (“HieFo”), a Delaware corporation and foreign person of certain assets of EMCORE Corporation (“EMCORE”), a New Jersey corporation. The assets that were the subject of the transaction comprised EMCORE’s digital chips and related wafer design, fabrication, and processing business, including a semiconductor manufacturing facility (the “EMCORE Digital Chips Business”). The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (“CFIUS” or the “Committee”) reviewed and investigated this transaction pursuant to Section 721 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as amended (“Section 721”). CFIUS identified a national security risk arising from the transaction relating to potential access to EMCORE’s intellectual property, proprietary know-how, and expertise and to the potential diversion of supply of indium phosphide chips manufactured by the EMCORE Digital Chips Business away from the United States. To address this risk, the President’s order directs HieFo to divest all interests and rights in the EMCORE Digital Chips Business. HieFo did not file the transaction with CFIUS until after CFIUS’s non-notified team investigated the transaction. CFIUS’s non-notified function has been enhanced by authorities provided by Congress in FIRRMA and ongoing appropriations to support the Committee’s ability to identify and review non-notified transactions. Parties to transactions should carefully consider whether or not any transaction they may be undertaking may be subject to CFIUS jurisdiction, including whether or not the transaction has a potential nexus to U.S. national security. The CFIUS process focuses exclusively on identifying and addressing national security risks arising from a covered transaction. CFIUS's risk analysis involves consideration of the potential threat, vulnerability, and consequence of any given transaction. CFIUS reviews each transaction on a case-by-case basis and considers the specific facts and circumstances relating to that transaction. As such, the disposition of each CFIUS case is reflective only of CFIUS’s analysis of that specific transaction and not indicative of a general position on the transaction parties, countries, or industries involved. CFIUS’s mandate to conduct case-by-case reviews is reflective of the U.S. Government’s commitment to maintaining its open investment policy while protecting U.S. national security. View a copy of the President’s order. ABOUT CFIUS CFIUS is an interagency committee authorized to review certain transactions involving foreign investment in the United States and certain real estate transactions by foreign persons, in order to determine the effect of such transactions on the national security of the United States. CFIUS is chaired by the Secretary of the Treasury and includes as members the Secretaries of State, Defense, Commerce, Energy, and Homeland Security, the Attorney General, the Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, and the U.S. Trade Representative. The Director of National Intelligence and the Secretary of Labor participate as non-voting, ex-officio members, and the Secretary of the Department of Agriculture is a member when a case involves elements of the agricultural industrial base that have implications for food security. Treasury’s Office of Investment Security leads CFIUS’s efforts to identify transactions where no voluntary notice has been filed under section 721 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as amended. If CFIUS determines that a non-notified transaction may be a covered transaction or covered real estate transaction and may raise national security considerations, the Committee may contact the transaction parties and request a CFIUS filing. Members of the public may contact Treasury with any tips, referrals, or voluntary self-disclosures at CFIUS.tips@treasury.gov. ####

I know everyone is talking about Venezuela (as they should), but also, the Trump Administration used CFIUS authorities to require another Chinese investor to divest from a semiconductor company: home.treasury.gov/news/press-r...

3 months ago 5 2 1 0

I recommend reading the novel. It is especially generative for scholars as we grapple with the challenges of our point history.

3 months ago 0 0 0 0

Glad you consulted for it. We are on same wavelength. Here is what I posted regarding the story a few days ago: bsky.app/profile/sara...

3 months ago 2 0 0 0

The book jacket to What We Can know by Ian McEwan

“The humanities are always in crisis. I no longer believe this is an institutional matter – it’s in the nature of intellectual life, or of thought itself. Thinking is always in crisis.”

3 months ago 34 1 3 3

Nearly half of U.S. retail spending comes from top 10% of earners The spending imbalance is at the highest levels it has been since Moody’s Analytics started collecting this data.

Here’s a link on the 10/50 fact: www.marketplace.org/story/2025/0...

3 months ago 2 1 0 0

What is striking about this graph is how little consumption contributed to growth in 2025 and how much decline in imports did. Consumption grew in q4, but for the year was lack luster. Additionally, the top 10% account for 50% consumption. This indicates substantial structural weakness

3 months ago 1 0 1 0

Posts by Sarah Bauerle Danzman