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If you are not in town but are interested in the international drivers of autocratization processes in the West, you can register to follow the lecture online.
RSVP 👉 www.maastrichtuniversity.nl/events/jean-...
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As a think tanker, it is a particular honor to be invited to deliver a Jean Monnet Lecture.
I am especially grateful to @maastrichtu.bsky.social & to Ferenc Laczó for the invitation, and I very much look forward to the exchange with academic colleagues and students in Maastricht.
@iep-berlin.de
Nächste Runde im Wahlmarathon: #Bulgarien wählt am 19. April ein neues Parlament – zum 8. Mal in den letzten 5 Jahren.
Was dabei wichtig ist und wie die Aussichten auf eine stabile Regierung stehen, erfahrt ihr bei uns im #WahlmonitorIEP Factsheet. 🇧🇬
tinyurl.com/Factsheet-BGR
#Bulgarien wählt! 🇧🇬🗳️
Zwischen hohen Lebenskosten, Korruption und Justizreformen sucht das Land nach politischer Stabilität. Wie die Chancen stehen und was jetzt wichtig ist, erfahrt ihr im #WahlmonitorIEP Explainer.
Mehr zum nachlesen Factsheet 🔗 tinyurl.com/Factsheet-BGR
Kann die De-Orbanisierung funktionieren? Morgen ist @danielhegedus.bsky.social zu Gast in #daspolitikteil, dem politischen Podcast @diezeit.bsky.social Wir sprechen über die wichtigste Wahl in Europa 2026 und fragen, wie Ungarn wieder liberal werden kann Tina #Hildebrandt Franziska #Wunderlich
Bei unserem EU to go Frühstück haben wir diskutiert, inwiefern das Wahlergebnis in #Ungarn einen Wendepunkt darstellt – von Rechtsstaatlichkeit bis EU-Außenpolitik.
Gleichzeitig machten @onethuthree.bsky.social & @danielhegedus.bsky.social deutlich: Re-Demokratisierung ist ein langwieriger Prozess.
🇭🇺🇪🇺What the shift in power in Hungary means for Europe
The impact of the 🇭🇺 elections goes beyond the relationship between 🇭🇺 and its 🇪🇺 partners and has genuinely European dimensions. It opens a 12-month period to implement much-needed reforms in EU decision-making.
👉 iep-berlin.de/site/assets/...
@iep-berlin.de
🇭🇺🇪🇺What the shift in power in Hungary means for Europe
The impact of the 🇭🇺 elections goes beyond the relationship between 🇭🇺 and its 🇪🇺 partners and has genuinely European dimensions. It opens a 12-month period to implement much-needed reforms in EU decision-making.
👉 iep-berlin.de/site/assets/...
3.
Magyar reiterated that joining the European Public Prosecutor's Office and restoring 🇭🇺 as a constructive partner in 🇪🇺 will remain top priorities for his government.
In response, Hungarian citizens gathered at Batthyány tér, across the Danube from Parliament, chanting: “Europe, Europe, Europe.”
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– the President of the State Audit Office
– the President of the National Competition Authority
and other captured state institutions.
🇭🇺🎉THREAD 1/3
The dismantling of state capture is already beginning today
In his victory speech, Péter Magyar called for the resignation of
– Tamás Sulyok, President of Hungary
– the President of the Constitutional Court
– the President of Hungary’s Supreme Court (the Curia)
– the Prosecutor General
🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺🎉 THREAD 1/2
At 45% of the votes counted, the official projection of the National Election Office gives Tisza Party 135 seats in Parliament—a clear constitutional supermajority.
THIS IS A LANDSLIDE! This is a democratic revolution against a corrupt and authoritarian regime.
Viktor Orbán recognized his election defeat.
This was the end of a 16 years long illiberal, semi-authoritarian era.
The only open question is Tisza's constitutional supermajority.
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There is no way back from here for Fidesz, even if it refuses to recognize the election results.
The far-right Our Homeland Movement is in, but this may still change during the night.
Democracy was reclaimed in Hungary today.
🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺🇭🇺🎉 THREAD 1/2
At 45% of the votes counted, the official projection of the National Election Office gives Tisza Party 135 seats in Parliament—a clear constitutional supermajority.
THIS IS A LANDSLIDE! This is a democratic revolution against a corrupt and authoritarian regime.
After literally killing Pope Francis, JD Vance has now politically killed Prime Minister Orbán too.
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The incumbent Fidesz further builds the narrative framing of alleged Tisza election fraud to potentially undermine the legitimacy of election results.
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Fidesz-KDNP press conference:
Gergely Gulyás emphasizes the importance of high turnout, underline their hope that the Fidesz-KDNP coalition will achieve at least a majority of 100 seats (out of 199), but also claim the existance of 1,500 alleged reports of Tisza-related election irregularities.
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If you see these figures catching up rapidly toward the end of the day, you can be very, very suspicious.
🇭🇺🗳️ THREAD 1/2
5:00 pm: 74% turnout—more than 5.5 million Hungarian voters have already cast their ballots in today’s election.
Turnout is lowest in Northeast Hungary, where the highest levels of irregularities related to vote buying and voter coercion can be expected.
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but I am certain that such statements by government representatives not only constitute dangerous incitement, but also serve as framing for potential false-flag attacks, authoritarian measures by the government, and ultimately for undermining the democratic outcome of today’s elections.
#CrossingRedLines ❗️THREAD 1/2
In his Facebook post, Balázs Orbán, the political director of Prime Minister Orbán, raises the specter of potential armed violence on the part of Tisza.
I am not aware of when we lost all state functions, including the security apparatus, over the past couple of days,..
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High turnout provides extraordinary legitimacy for the winner, provided that the gap between the two major parties’ results remains significant.
This could make it more difficult for Fidesz to question the legitimacy of an opposition victory.
🇭🇺🗳️#HungarianElections THREAD 1/2
3:00 pm turnout: 66%
Turnout is already close—four hours before polls close—to where it ended in 2018 and 2022.
I have already written about the structural impact of high turnout, so here is a different aspect.
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• Despite Viktor Orbán’s morning interview, refusal to acknowledge an opposition victory—or attempts to question its legitimacy—remains a serious risk tonight
Stay tuned!
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• Péter Magyar is scheduled to speak at 10:30 pm (potential delays if data remains inconclusive)
• Historically high turnout is bad news for Fidesz & Our Homeland, and a real opportunity for Tisza.
(The chances of Our Homeland clearing the 5% threshold might be at risk.)
🇭🇺🗳️THREAD 1
For #HungaryWatchers & journalists planning live coverage:
• Polls close at 7:00pm
• Exit poll data expected from 7:00pm onwards
• Some polling stations may remain open until as late as 10:00 pm (voters in the queue at 7:00pm are allowed to vote)
• No reliable data expected before 10:00pm
Sorry, typo
Expect final turnaround in the range of 75-80%. (2022:69%)
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A two-party parliament offers bigger potential majorities for #Tisza, which is essential to pitential constitutional 2/3 supermajority.
Follow-me for more Hungary election updates.
