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Posts by Guy Grossman

It was a pleasure and honor to coauthor this annual review piece with @alicexu.bsky.social and Audrey. I hope you find it interesting and informative.

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Third Annual Historical Political Economy Conference: Call for Papers Co-organized by Allison Hartnett, Assistant Professor of Political Science; and Jeffery A. Jenkins, Provost Professor of Public Policy, Political Science, and Law University of Southern California Oc...

CfP for our 3rd Annual HPE Conference @uscprice.bsky.social @usc.edu sponsored by @usccis.bsky.social and PIPE. Submit by May 30. If you work on MENA, I am running a smaller pre-conference for HPE papers focused on the region. @polisky.bsky.social docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

2 days ago 22 15 1 2
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Immigrants Are Scared to File Taxes. It Could Cost the U.S. Billions.

Trump's cruel immigration policies are costly for everyone; projected to reduce Federal tax intake by about 300B over a decade.

www.nytimes.com/2026/04/14/u...

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Thanks, Peter.

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Thanks. I just deleted.

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Thanks. I deleted

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Because the opposition got more votes.

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Funny to expect this cabinet invoking the 25th when in reality they are a bunch of weirdos, conspiracy theorists and out right grifters.

5 days ago 5 0 0 0

yeah, perhaps bsk is not the best place to debate complex ideas. I apologize if it came across as if I challenge your expertise, Andrew. I hold you and your research to the highest regards. Truly.

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I'm not sure I understand the point you are making. Is there any serious scholar who thinks that incumbents in countries going through backsliding can't lose elections? A deeply unequal playing field is problematic, even if it's not insurmountable.

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The shift in dems’ odds of controlling the senate after the 2026 midterms in prediction markets is also notable.

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A lot of Orbán's American fans are saying that this election proved he was never an authoritarian in the first place.

This is completely wrong — and, in fact, betrays a complete misunderstanding of both Hungarian politics and modern authoritarianism.

Here's why.

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Monika, the case of backsliding in Hungary did not rest on some unrealistic expectation of what a democratic system can deliver. It rested on how Fidesz took control of the media and courts, and rewrote electoral rules to give itself undo advantage.

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He's be doing CPAC speaking tours

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Andrew - democratic erosion does not mean incumbents don't lose. It just means the opposition must compete on a non-equal playing field. It's harder for it to win, but not impossible, especially when the incumbent does, like Orban (and Trump), a lot of unpopular things.

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One key lesson the USA learned after 2021 is that if you don't move swiftly to hold the corrupt legally accountable, they can come back with vengeance, intent on burning everything down.

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And to Tel Aviv.

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Same

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The problem of changing electoral rules to favor your party based on past voting patterns is that when voters realign, you can be screwed big time.

Texas republicans may learn this lesson soon enough. gerrymandering will backfire.

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Liberal democracy not dead yet. Next - Netanyahu.

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Kind of amazing that this whole crisis is self inflicted.

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A bit strange to announce a blockade of a strait that is already… closed to maritime traffic.

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In the 16 matches that Sinner and Alcaraz played each other, they each have won exactly 1651 points….

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It’s hard to negotiate successfully with a warring party that has the upper hand, when your entire presidency has been predicated on making up your own facts and ignoring reality.

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Obama negotiated for two years with Iran over JCPOA and went into every detail painstakingly. These guys, after 20h -- "it's too complicated; talks failed".

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Some really bad election polls for Netanyahu since the ceasefire has been announced.

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The economist dos not mince words.

Donald Trump is the war’s biggest loser
economist.com/leaders/2026...

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Pre trial pardon is a power inconsistent with democratic values.

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

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Tonight in Budapest’s Heroes’ Square, a sea of young Hungarians—who’ve only ever known Orbán’s corrupt, suffocating regime—are packed together, singing, chanting, and daring to dream of freedom again.

Their hope is raw, their courage is real. The heart of Europe is beating in Budapest tonight. 🇭🇺❤️🇪🇺

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While for Trump 1.0 the main firing criteria was insufficient loyalty, for 2.0 it is “bad press”.

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