Posts by IREUKpolitics
🚨 BREAKING | Independent Ireland leader, Michael Collins, has said the party is discussing with at least 12 councillors to defect.
The party announced 642 people have applied for membership in the past two weeks.
FINAL RESULT OF THE CONFIDENCE VOTE
TÁ - 92
NÍL - 78
🚨 BREAKING | The government have won the vote of no confidence
🚨 BREAKING | The vote of no confidence in the government is set to begin shortly.
🚨 BREAKING | Micheal Healy-Rae has resigned as a Junior Minister and will vote no confidence in the government.
CONFIDENCE VOTE TALLIES AS OF 5:30PM:
✅ CONFIDENCE - 88 (definitive numbers right now)
❎ NO CONFIDENCE - 76
🗳️ UNDECLARED - 9
🚨 BREAKING | The government have the numbers to win the no confidence motion tomorrow.
Independent TDs Sean Canney, Marian Harkin, and Kevin ‘Boxer’ Moran will back the government, giving them the majority, unless any backbenchers rebel.
🚨 BREAKING | Danny Healy-Rae clashes with a protester at the Killarney protest
🚨 BREAKING | Fianna Fáil parliamentary party have been summoned to for a parliamentary party meeting in Leinster House tomorrow at 11am.
🚨 BREAKING | Labour will back the motion of no confidence in the government.
This now brings the total votes against to 70, with 88 votes needed to pass.
🚨 BREAKING | Social Democrats will back the motion of no confidence in the government.
The opposition have 56 votes, with the threshold of 88 required.
*45 seats
🚨 BREAKING | Sinn Féin, Aontú, and Independent Ireland will push a motion of no confidence in the government.
They have 49 seats combined, with a threshold of 88 needed.
🗳️ POLL IF REPLICATED IN ELECTION 🗳️
(Holborn and St. Pancras)
INCUMBENT: 🟥 Keir Starmer (LAB)
🟩 GREEN: 33.6% (+23.1)
🟥 LAB: 30.5% (-18.4)
🟪 MIN: 10.6% (-8.3)
➡️ REFORM: 10.0% (+3.9)
🟧 LIB DEM: 8.8% (+3.0)
🟦 CON: 4.7% (-2.5)
🟪 OTHER: 1.8% (-0.8)
🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️
➡️ REFORM: 262 (+257)
🟩 GREEN: 126 (+122)
🟧 LIB DEM: 86 (+14)
🟦 CON: 51 (-70)
🟨 SNP: 46 (+37)
🟥 LAB: 45 (-366)
🟪 IND/OTHER: 9 (+4)
🏴 PLAID: 5 (+1)
🟫 WORKERS: 1 (+1)
🗳️ UK POLLING 🗳️
➡️ REFORM: 23% (-1 from last YouGov poll)
🟩 GREEN: 21% (+4)
🟥 LAB: 16% (-2)
🟦 CON: 16% (-2)
🟧 LIB DEM: 14% (N/C)
🟨 SNP: 3% (-1)
🟪 IND/OTHER: 7% (+2)
Conducted by YouGov
(1-2 March 2026)
🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️
SF: 46 (+7)
FF: 42 (-6)
FG: 32 (-6)
SD: 25 (+14)
IND/OTHER: 7 (-10)
LAB: 7 (-4)
IND IRE: 6 (+2)
GREEN: 4 (+3)
AONTÚ: 4 (+2)
PBP/S: 1 (-2)
🗳️ DÁIL ÉIREANN - Voting Intention
(Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks)
SF: 22%
FF: 18%
FG: 17%
SD: 11%
IND/OTHER: 11%
AONTÚ: 6%
IND IRE: 5%
GREEN: 4%
LAB: 4%
PBP/S: 3%
🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️
SF: 49 (+10)
FF: 42 (-6)
FG: 36 (-2)
SD: 22 (+11)
IND/OTHER: 8 (-9)
LAB: 8 (-3)
IND IRE: 5 (+1)
AONTÚ: 3 (+1)
GREEN: 1 (N/C)
PBP/S: 0 (-3)
🗳️ DÁIL ÉIREANN - Voting Intention
(Business Post/Red C)
SF: 23%
FG: 18%
FF: 17%
IND/OTHER: 13%
SD: 9%
LAB: 5%
AONTÚ: 5%
IND IRE: 4%
PBP/S: 3%
GREEN: 3%
🚨 BREAKING | Morgan McSweeney has resigned as Chief of Staff to Keir Starmer.
🚨 NEW | Taoiseach Micheál Martin has vowed that he will lead Fianna Fáil into the next general election.
He also insisted he won’t be stepping down as leader when Simon Harris becomes Taoiseach next year.
🗳️ SEAT PROJECTION BASED ON POLL 🗳️
➡️ REF - 336 (+331)
🟧 LIB DEM - 76 (+4)
🟦 CON - 72 (-49)
🟥 LAB - 67 (-344)
🟨 SNP - 42 (+33)
🟩 GREEN - 25 (+21)
🏴 PLAID CYMRU - 8 (+4)
🟪 IND - 5 (N/C)
🟫 NI TOTAL SEATS - 18 (N/C)
⬛️ SPEAKER - 1 (N/C)
🚨 NEW | Fine Gael has opened the nomination process to select its candidate for the Galway West by-election.
Nominations will remain open until next Thursday, Feb 12th, and the selection convention will take place in Salthill on Sunday Feb 22nd.
I highly doubt a by-election would be held on a Monday, but it would be funny.