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Posts by Keaton Arneson

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Just a reminder that the FanGraphs scoreboard has gotten a full makeover this year.

4 days ago 1 0 0 0
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FanGraphs Changelog: The Offseason Introducing a semi-regular update on what we’ve been doing on the development side of the site.

FanGraphs Changelog: The Offseason blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-ch...

1 month ago 13 1 0 1

You are correct!

1 month ago 1 0 0 2

Not the answer I'm looking for, but his stuff+ did drop as well.

1 month ago 2 0 0 0

That's a good guess, but not correct. He did lose stuff+ as the season went a long as well.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

The red team color should eliminate about half the league. Hint he's a starter.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Can anyone guess which pitcher this is based on his stuff+ dropping?

1 month ago 1 0 3 0

That was a quick find. It was just added.

1 month ago 2 0 0 0

I think Goodman is the one going too high, even though projections love him.

1 month ago 2 0 1 0
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Because you think he was overrated or you want the cheaper price?

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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Introducing the FanGraphs Lab The Lab is a collaboration between the writing team and the engineering team here at FanGraphs, a joint effort to create more ways to sort through and visualize the huge crush of data that pervades…

Introducing the FanGraphs Lab blogs.fangraphs.com/introducing-...

1 month ago 45 12 3 13
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Tanner Bibee's Sinker command was 78/80 in 3 ball counts. His 4 seam was 58 in 3 ball counts. Still really good, but not as dominant as his sinker.

1 month ago 3 0 0 0
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Parker Messick was allergic to giving up walks with his fastball. He had a 90 command grade in 3 ball counts. That breaks the upper scale of 80 for PitchingBot command.

2 months ago 6 0 0 0
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CJ Kayfus and Bo Naylor were the unsung heroes during Cleveland's 20-7 September.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

Was Carroll tempting in the 2nd round?

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

Robbie Ray 2020 - 6.62 ERA
Ray 2021 - 2.84 ERA
Jesus Luzardo 2021 - 6.61 ERA
2022 - 3.32 ERA
Yusei Kikuchi 2022 - 5.19 ERA
2023 - 3.86 ERA
Carlos Rodon 2023 - 6.85 ERA
2024 - 3.96 ERA
Trevor Rogers 2024 - 4.92 ERA
2025 - 1.81 ERA
Sean Manaea 2025 - 5.64 ERA
2026 - ???

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Oopsy's favorite hitter pick is Jo Adell. Easy pick in my DC draft.

2 months ago 4 0 0 0
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Oopsy has him at $12. That seems to be pretty good compared to the hitters around him. For context, I drafted him in DC as a hedge to Ketel Marte's hamstrings.

2 months ago 0 0 1 0

It seems like multi-eligible position (2B,OF) guys are always bumped up in DC drafts. Then ADP drops during normal drafts.

2 months ago 1 0 1 0
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One thing I appreciate about OOPSY projections is it can be different compared to the rest. In this example, Steamer and BAT had identical 4.04 ERA, but OOPSY is down to 3.37.

3 months ago 5 0 1 0
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2026 Projections - THE BAT X | FanGraphs Baseball

www.fangraphs.com/projections?...

3 months ago 3 1 0 0

THE BAT/BAT X are live now 👀

3 months ago 9 0 1 0

I have to assume his .197 away Babip has to improve

3 months ago 0 0 1 0

I find it interesting that Caminero has a career .260 average, but Steamer has him climbing to .278. Babip positive regression.

3 months ago 3 0 2 0
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More than 1

4 months ago 1 0 0 0

Cold like North Dakota

4 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Looks like next year I need to step up my game to reach Diamond level.

4 months ago 7 1 1 0

Gavin Lux only had 5 HR and 1 SB in 500 PA. That ties Joe Mauer (2018) for the worst HR + SB (6 HR) since Adeiny Hechavarria with 3 HR and 1 SB in 2016.

4 months ago 3 0 0 2

Samuel Basallo is going into his age 21 season.

The only age 21 catcher season that I can find recently was Francisco Alvarez in 2023. He went .209 51 25 63 2.

His ADP is currently 177 while Adley Rutschman's is 165.

I don't think history is on his side to meet the expectations of the #13 C.

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

Durbin is 609 PA .257 67 13 65 24 ADP 250

5 months ago 0 0 1 0