Can’t recommend this newsletter by @filipewithf.bsky.social enough. Offers incredible insight into Europe’s most important electoral fights and doesn’t waste your attention.
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4. Bulgaria votes this week for the 8th time in five years. Rumen Radev left the Presidency to run and seems likely to win. But personalism is not an ideology, so could he inherit the legacy of Orbán or be a real reformist after 12 years of EPP corruption?
3. Across the former Warsaw Pact countries, the authoritarian Right has grown structurally and his on-pair with the democratic Right.
The Left is gone. And even when it's not, it's an accessory to the Right.
🔗 hexagon.fhenriques.eu/p/orban-has-...
2. Péter Magyar will inherit the autocratic regime that Orbán built. Will he dismantle it or use it for himself? The challenge is immense.
And the EU won't help. The EPP is happy to have an Eastern Meloni than recovering Hungarian democracy.
1. Hungary democracy was badly hit. From 2006 on, when Orbán regained power, the quality of liberal democracy in Hungary was in collapse. It was now closer to Belarus than Denmark.
It's a unique case. But there are worrying signs in 🇷🇴🇧🇬🇬🇷🇸🇰🇸🇮🇭🇷🇲🇹🇮🇹🇵🇱🇨🇾
🔗 hexagon.fhenriques.eu/p/orban-has-...
🇭🇺🇧🇬 Hungary has voted. Bulgaria votes this week.
❓ What's up?
🔗 hexagon.fhenriques.eu/p/orban-has-...
Belgium's Green Party has a new leader and he just gave his first international interview. His background as a refugee, his vision for Belgium, his “Fuck to Israel” tweet and... what he thinks of Mamdani, @zackpolanski.bsky.social and Pedro Sánchez.
hexagon.fhenriques.eu/p/the-interv...
Belgium's Green Party has a new leader and he just gave his first international interview. His background as a refugee, his vision for Belgium, his “Fuck to Israel” tweet and... what he thinks of Mamdani, @zackpolanski.bsky.social and Pedro Sánchez.
hexagon.fhenriques.eu/p/the-interv...
Danish Social Democrats had their worst result since... * checks notes *.... 1903! They are bleeding voters to both the left and the right.
Yet they seem to have a strong grip on power. How??
My take 👉🏻 🔗 t.co/dL4lNpD60V
Also, if you're interested in European politics, data and nice graphics, do subscribe to my substack Hexagon.
New subscribers make my day and fuel* my productivity 👇🏻
hexagon.fhenriques.eu/subscribe
* carbon-free and without passing the Strait of Hormuz
Danish Social Democrats had their worst result since... * checks notes *.... 1903! They are bleeding voters to both the left and the right.
Yet they seem to have a strong grip on power. How??
My take 👉🏻 🔗 t.co/dL4lNpD60V
Danish Social Democrats have opted to cuddle with the right. Because of it they are bleeding voters to the left and right.
More here 🔗 hexagon.fhenriques.eu/p/danish-soc...
Denmark's Mette Frederiksen keeps losing, but winning.
Despite having their worst result since 1903, Danish SocDems might still win power because the parties to their Left have grown sustainably since 1990.
More here 🔗 hexagon.fhenriques.eu/p/danish-soc...
Traveling through Riyadh, the clash between conservative tradition and progressive openness. Explore Saudi politics and history on a trip across Riyadh. #Travelogue
hexagonfh.substack.com/p/hidden-nor...
O volbách ve Slovinsku se nemluví nikde, přitom je to spolu se Španělskem poslední země, ve které mají progresivní vládu. A po volbách nemusí mít.
hexagonfh.substack.com/p/slovenia-t...
🇪🇺🇸🇮 Slovenia is the most important election you’re ignoring. A small country that could tip the balance of power in the entire European Union.
There's 4 key reasons why this week's Slovenia election could fundamentally shape the immediate future of the EU. Deep-dive on Substack 👇🏻
🔗 t.co/zUW65GGoqk
4-time F1 World Champion Sebastian Vettel has endorsed the Greens for the next German elections.
So I've decided to make some bets on which party each of the current F1 drivers would vote for. Completely scientific and unbiased.
"Ah, but you can't trust polls in Romania because [this and this partisan reason]"
Yet they are, even if with bigger margins of errors than in other places, usually accurate enough. So the shocking part is not the errors on Lasconi, Ciolacu or Cuicǎ - it's the Georgescu error.
It also wasn't simply a lack of polling or specific pollsters failing. All pollsters had Georgescu in a short range of results, very far from the result.
What happened in Romania and polling is an interesting case. The error on Georgescu is gigantic, and it's not mirrored in candidates from the same populist camp.
Mainstream candidates all have high errors (positive for Lasconi and negative for the government's candidates).
If this is supposed to be more personal, let's do like this:
You follow me, you tell me why.
Where did you find me? Why did you hit that follow button?
Let's meet each other! DMs are open!
The article offers an overview of the state of party politics in Eastern Europe.
But also has 4 visualizations to explain some key facts and Eastern particularities that will be key for the next years.
👉🏻 www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/can-eastern-...
🔥 JUST OUT 🔥
In my monthly column at the Green European Journal I write about Eastern Europe, about the defeat of iliberal forces on the right and how it's looking for the 2024 European elections
👇🏼
On the side of this I'll continue doing #freelance work on political research & writing, focusing on European politics.
You can contact me by DM or mail[at]fhenriques.eu
Obviously, all views expressed here - or anywhere else - are still my own. But you can copy them.
🎉 Someone got a promotion 🎉
I'll now be working as Political Advisor for Strategic Research and Data Analysis for the European Green Party in view of the 2024 European Elections.
The flag of Andalucia
A planned shield for the Andalucian nation that reads "Andalucia for itself - for Iberia - and for mankind". The final and current shield replaced "for Iberia" with "for Spain".
1936 manifesto "For All Andalucians" written by Blas Infante
An image of a Andalucian flag with the motto "vote for Andalucia" from the electoral campaign of the 1980 referendum campaign which resulted in autonomy within democratic Spain
Incredibly interesting museum about how over time the Andalucian people fought and gained autonomy and the role of Blas Infante. A must-go if you're ever near Seville.
📍Museum of Andalusian Autonomy (Coria del Río, Spain)
I have 4, can join them to the pool!
👋🏻 Here I am on Bluesky!
I joined twitter in 2007. That's 16 years ago and I was 16 years old at the time. That's a long time 😅
15k followers after - including Barack Obama for some reason - it's time to move on. So here's me trying the 10th alternative to the ex-birdie website.
Say hi 🟦