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Posts by Robert Patman

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NZ's hedging on Iran won't be lost on China Comment from Otago University: Is NZ's Trump-leaning position on the Iran war undermining the country's foreign policy in the eyes of our largest trade partner?

NZ's hedging on Iran won't be lost on China newsroom.co.nz/2026/04/14/n...

1 week ago 2 0 1 0
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Why Israel and the US are in lockstep - and why that might be changing Billions in military aid crosses from the US to Israel but two current conflicts have many younger Americans questioning those ties.

Some insights on the closeness of the US-Israel relationship why it may be changing. Alexia Russell, RNZ, The Detail, 27 March 2026:
www.rnz.co.nz/news/thedeta...

3 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
NZ's muted response to US/Israel attacks on Iran could backfire.
NZ's muted response to US/Israel attacks on Iran could backfire. YouTube video by Robert Patman

Is NZ's response to US/Israel attacks on Iran consistent with its support for a rules-based international order:
youtu.be/ibzu/NQS0hkU...

1 month ago 4 0 4 1
Global significance of Carney's Davos speech
Global significance of Carney's Davos speech YouTube video by Robert Patman

Global significance of Mark Carney's Davos speech at a time of "rupture"
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EugM...

2 months ago 2 1 0 0
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'Old order is over' - and why NZ should take heed Canadian PM Mark Carney says middle and small powers mustn't cave in to bullying by great powers, and they should join forces to protect values and...

Time to stop 'babying' Trump. Mark Carney is right. The old global order is over and New Zealand should heed this advice:
www.odt.co.nz/news/world/o...

3 months ago 6 0 0 0
Russia issues STUNNING response to Trump’s Greenland threats
Russia issues STUNNING response to Trump’s Greenland threats YouTube video by Brian Tyler Cohen

An article called “Greenland - NATO’s Cemetery?” in the Russian govt newspaper, Rossiyskaya Gazeta (19 Jan. 2026) fully backed Trump's “rapid annexation” of Greenland but warned it would be “dangerous for the American president to ‘back down’ over Greenland":
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ffF...

3 months ago 1 1 0 1
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If the rules-based system is really crumbling, what could that mean for New Zealand? Everybody's talking about World War Three, but we're as safe as safe can be… right? We asked some experts.

If the rules-based system is really crumbling, what could that mean for New Zealand? thespinoff.co.nz/politics/20-...

3 months ago 7 3 0 0
G News Podcast - Prof Robert Patman - 15 Jan 25
G News Podcast - Prof Robert Patman - 15 Jan 25 YouTube video by G News

Gerard Otto and I discussed Trump's intervention in Venezuela, the erosion of international law and the implications for New Zealand:
youtu.be/cqc69Cg1188

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
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As Trump rewrites the rules in Venezuela, NZ faces a foreign policy reckoning The US intervention in Venezuela makes it clear NZ’s ‘softly softly’ foreign policy isn’t a feasible long-term response to a shifting world order.

As Trump rewrites the rules in Venezuela, NZ faces a foreign policy reckoning
theconversation.com/as-trump-rew...

3 months ago 5 0 0 0
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Donald Trump moving away from international ‘rules-based order’ University of Otago Department of Politics Professor Robert Patman claims US President Donald Trump is moving away from an international “rules-based order”. “That’s been a pattern of Trump’s second term in the White House,” Mr Patman told Sky News Australia. “Mr Trump made it quite clear he has little time for international law or international institutions unless they work in the interest of America first.”

Jack Nyhof and I discuss Trump's opposition to an international rules-based order and the implications for Australia and New Zealand:
www.skynews.com.au/world-news/u...

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
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‘Game breaker’: Territorial ‘sticking point’ threatens Ukraine peace deal University of Otago Department of Politics Professor Robert Patman claims the territorial “sticking point” in the Ukraine peace deal is a “game breaker”. “President Trump, when he said 95 per cent deal has nearly been done,” Mr Patman told Sky News Australia. “The five per cent, given it’s based on a territorial sticking point, looks like it could be more than a thorny sticking point, but actually a game breaker.”

Jack Nyhof and I discuss the territorial sticking point in Trump's Ukraine peace plan:
www.skynews.com.au/world-news/g...

3 months ago 2 0 0 0
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The Hoon for Thursday 18th December 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

Lee Feinstein, Peter Bale, Bernard Hickey and I discuss Trump's National Security Strategy document and whether the intern. rules-based order is finished. Discussion begins 20 mins into show.
www.youtube.com/live/VrI_o6e...

4 months ago 3 0 0 0
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Global Insight: 'Soft power counts' in troubled times The last episode of Global Insight for 2025 reviews the biggest stories of the year.

Reflecting on 2025, it is evident that New Zealand's foreign policy lacked robustness in upholding a system of rules-based trade and diplomacy:
www.odt.co.nz/news/world/g...

4 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Trump’s new security strategy exposes the limits of NZ’s ‘softly-softly’ diplomacy The new US National Security Strategy marks a historic break – and a problem for the NZ government’s policy of closer strategic alignment with Washington.

Trump’s National Security Strategy document now leaves the National-led coalition government with little room to avoid reassessing its stated goal of closer strategic alignment with the US.
theconversation.com/trumps-new-s...

4 months ago 10 4 0 1
Ukraine takes the war to Putin's Russia
Ukraine takes the war to Putin's Russia YouTube video by Robert Patman

Bruce Munro and I discuss the changing dynamics of the Ukraine conflict and how Zelenskyy is now taking the war into Russia's homeland on a consistent basis.
youtu.be/_39HmMIfmKE?...

5 months ago 4 0 0 0
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The Hoon for Thursday 30th October 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

Bernard Hickey, Peter Bale and I analyse the Xi Jinping - Trump APEC meeting and Christopher Luxon's brief encounter with the US president. Discussion begins at 5.25 mark.
www.youtube.com/live/ji3mlnf...

5 months ago 4 0 0 0
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The Hoon for Thursday 23rd October 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

Bernard Hickey, Peter Bale and I discuss how the economic squeeze is beginning to impact Putin's invasion of Ukraine and how China is managing the Trump challenge. Discussion begins at around 5.20' mark. The Hoon for Thursday 23rd October 2025 youtube.com/live/zLVNuOS... via @YouTube

5 months ago 2 0 0 0
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NZ has no interest in Ukraine deal that rewards Putin's invasion
NZ has no interest in Ukraine deal that rewards Putin's invasion YouTube video by Robert Patman

New Zealand has no national interest in any settlement in Ukraine that compromises the country's sovereignty and territorial integrity:
youtu.be/lE-87nzxyGU?...

5 months ago 4 1 0 0
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This is a timely and excellent documentary on New Zealand government's response to the two-year catastrophic conflict in Gaza: www.thearts.co.nz/boosted/proj...

5 months ago 8 6 0 2
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It will pay for NZ to be sceptical about Trump's peace plan Opinion from Otago University: NZ’s approach to recognising Palestine as a state has been puzzling. How might that change if Trump’s peace plan succeeds?

It will pay for NZ to be sceptical about Trump's peace plan newsroom.co.nz/2025/10/03/i...

6 months ago 3 1 1 1
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By not recognising a Palestinian state, NZ puts its own hard-won reputation on the line By not joining its close allies over the question of Palestinian statehood, NZ risks being ‘on the wrong side of history’.

By not recognising a Palestinian state, NZ puts its own hard-won reputation on the line
theconversation.com/by-not-recog...

6 months ago 2 0 0 0
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International relations professor on President Trump's controversial UN General Assembly address International relations Professor Robert Patman gives his take on Donald Trump's UN General Assembly address. Video / NZ Herald

President Trump's self-congratulatory and bizarre UN General Assembly address seems to confirm US relative decline and increasing marginalisation:
www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/internati...

6 months ago 3 0 0 0
Former NZ Prime Ministers attend China's Victory Parade
Former NZ Prime Ministers attend China's Victory Parade YouTube video by Robert Patman

Visit of former NZ Prime Ministers, Helen Clark and John Key, reflects both a difficult geopolitical environment and a concern to safeguard what is a vital trade relationship for NZ:
youtu.be/cEweBiY8Jx4?...

7 months ago 0 0 1 0
Gaza catastrophe underlines utter failure of UNSC
Gaza catastrophe underlines utter failure of UNSC YouTube video by Robert Patman

Bruce Munro and I discuss the latest ceasefire proposal to end Gaza conflict and consider some of the major lessons of this appalling crisis: youtu.be/-OwAGCNtkx4?...

7 months ago 0 0 0 0
NZ cannot remain silent about Gaza catastrophe
NZ cannot remain silent about Gaza catastrophe YouTube video by Robert Patman

If New Zealand really believes in an rules-based international order, it cannot remain silent on a catastrophe in Gaza which is undermining that vision: youtu.be/mZewY_OE8Yg?...

7 months ago 4 0 1 0
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Netanyahu declares intention to take full control of Gaza International Relations Professor Robert Patman speaks about Benjamin Netanyahu's intention to take full control of Gaza. Video / Herald NOW

Netanyahu's pledge to take full control of Gaza will not improve Israel's security. Interview, Ryan Bridge, NZ Herald Now, 8 Aug. 2025:
www.nzherald.co.nz/video/herald...

8 months ago 6 1 1 0
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Why NZ must resist the trashing of international law Opinion from Otago University: Confronted with the steady decline of the international rules-based order, smaller powers like NZ can’t rely on UN veto-wielding states. They have to take their own acti...

Why NZ must resist the trashing of international law  newsroom.co.nz/2025/07/27/w...

8 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Deal: Professor Robert Patman Unpacks Peace Talks
Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Deal: Professor Robert Patman Unpacks Peace Talks YouTube video by Rhema

Andrew Urquhart and I discuss the prospects of a peace deal between Israel and Hamas. The absence of any recognition of the Palestinian right to political self-determination may mean any peace deal reached will likely be precarious and short-term in nature: youtu.be/q83XCbQ0iNs?...

9 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Appeasing Trump in the Middle East is not cost-free for New Zealand The government’s responses to recent events in the Middle East indicate that its desire not to offend the Trump administration has compromised New Zealand’s commitment to uphold an international rules...

The New Zealand government's desire not to offend the
Trump administration in the Middle East has diluted the country's commitment to the international rules-based order:
thespinoff.co.nz/politics/07-...

9 months ago 25 10 0 0
The Hoon for Thursday 26th June 2025
The Hoon for Thursday 26th June 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

Peter Bale, Treasa Dunworth, Jonathan Lyons and I discuss the geopolitics of Israel's preemptive attack on Iran and the fallout from Trump's willingness to join the Israeli attacks on The Hoon, 26 June 2025:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=yN1Z...

9 months ago 2 0 0 0