Two different ways of seeing how an election is going as the votes are being counted.
Posts by Brad LeVeck
bsky.app/profile/pixe...
We should stick to humans. They never do anything stochastically.
Oh no, stochastic? Sounds bad.
“So now your personal assistant decides your interactions?”
I put together this "experiment checklist" for the grad students in my experiments class -- practical advice for experimental design. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lwbco...
I do like that one bolded item here is "strong treatment."
Basically, my (limited) experience is that Claude Code is delightful. If there’s a way to make that uniformly better, sign me up.
I just realized that need an explainer article or video on what harnesses actually are, how and why they vary, and how they affect model/agent performance.
The only thing I’d caution is “be careful what you wish for.” It felt like the product that finally got a majority of normies to use the web regularly was Facebook, and, well…
Another part of it is that everyone is now willing to pay lip service to CA needing more housing. It’s now harder to figure out which politicians really mean it.
Yeah. A klaxon or two would really brighten things up.
I feel like the endorsements of a few YIMBY orgs have become less reliable lately, but I don’t have a strong theory for why that is.
Best guess is that is they lose focus and start making recommendations that are closer to what you might expect from a generic left leaning group.
🧵 New paper w/ Guillaume Cheikbossian: "Evolutionary branching of social preferences in a public good provision game" (ideas.repec.org/p/tse/wpaper...). Can behavioural heterogeneity in cooperation be an adaptive outcome? We think the answer is yes.
The Behavioral Lab at the UCLA Anderson School of Management is looking to hire its next Lab Manager! Applications will be reviewed starting April 30th.
jobs.ucla.edu/jobs/10354?l...
Reminds me of this paper: www.jstor.org/stable/21183...
🚨 I have an article out at APR titled “Educational Polarization in American Politics: More than Just a Diploma Divide” in which i look at how educational attainment shapes public opinion and political behavior across the entire education spectrum, not just the across the degree/no degree binary 1/x
blockade = function(x = c(US, Iran)){
blockade(c(x[2], x[1]))
}
I think what any one course can do is very limited, but I’ve been experimenting with “do overs” that still preserve students’ incentive to buckle down. E.g. if they do better on the final, I’ll use it to replace their midterm.
Maybe it’s an onramp for students who developed bad habits? We’ll see.
Yeah. I try not to over extrapolate, but the grading distribution on the midterm in my undergraduate class was more bimodal than in the past.
A week later, I’m still thinking about this. Yes, a strong, fighting, anti-corruption message was part of it, but that alone wasn’t enough.
Hungarian progressives knew they needed a supermajority to undo Orban’s regime, and accepted the costs needed to achieve it.
So, I agree that — back when your boss was less likely to have also attended a critical theory seminar at Harvard — they were more likely to say “stfu” if you ever tried to import that language into a campaign.
But, then I don’t see the issue with Beshear also suggesting that people knock it off.
Yeah. I think it’s uncertain how much this actually sours people on the Democratic Party brand (vs holding substantive positions that are too leftwing), but it’s nonsense to say it “doesn’t happen.”
A lot of people, myself included, have written about youth unemployment over the past year, so it’s worth pointing out that age 20-24 unemployment has plunged over the last 6 months:
you will never guess why Aumann was initially invoked
From one of the best quant ed researchers in the field bsky.app/profile/tomd...
New paper in PBR: "Working memory’s pointer system is governed by physical objecthood, not spatiotemporal information"
rdcu.be/fd2tY
Without valid WM pointers, we miss OBVIOUS changes in visible items; the study shows that this "resetting" process is all about objects and not spatiotemporal change!
People in computer science or cognitive science seeing emergent behavior from a simple system treat that as a point in favor of the design of the system being on the right track. The public seems to treat emergent behavior from a simple system as grounds for reductive dismissal.
"It's just souped-up autocomplete" has just demolished minds and curiosity at such remarkable speed. gotta be careful with the copes you consume — sometimes they consume you