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Posts by Lee Crawfurd

In Development evidence and argument for a developing world

We've launched In Development! It is aiming to be the New Yorker for global development.

We want to promote discourse on development without dogma - stories doing deep-dives into pressing development issues, backed up by evidence, argument, and experience.

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4 days ago 40 22 1 1
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Women Can Travel Past the Moon, but Senior IFI Leadership Remains Largely Out of Reach In 2023, we documented how women remained strikingly underrepresented in senior leadership across the international financial institutions (IFIs). Two years on, the picture has improved at some IFIs, ...

"Women Can Travel Past the Moon, but Senior IFI Leadership Remains Largely Out of Reach"

www.cgdev.org/blog/women-c...

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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We have a great event on education tomorrow (Wednesday, 4/15) at @cgdev.org. We'll hear from government ministers from Zambia, Sierra Leone, and Grenada, plus the CEO of the Global Partnership for Education. (I'm even sharing some evidence.)

Register here cgdev.org/event/sustai...

6 days ago 11 2 1 0
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Absolutely remarkable statement from Pope Leo today.
One for the history books
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...

1 week ago 14633 3906 299 415
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Ahead of the #WBGSpringMeetings, what are the hard questions shaping global development?

Join CGD and @devex.com for a candid look at what to watch from the economic fallout of the Iran war to the future of MDBs in a shrinking aid landscape.

Register today 👉 https://go.cgdev.org/4cuXNIj

1 week ago 0 1 0 0
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The Iran War Oil Shock Will Hit the Hungry Hardest—Cash Should Be Part of the Response The US–Israel war on Iran has already led to a spike in oil prices. While wealthier countries focus on fuel prices, for those in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), this could mean something far...

The Iran war oil shock will hit the hungry hardest.

The same food price increase can mean 3× larger income losses for the poorest households.

@leecrawfurd.bsky.social and @eeshani.bsky.social on why cash should be part of the response.

https://go.cgdev.org/47KhM36

2 weeks ago 1 2 1 0
The Iran Ceasefire Reveals a Domino Effect of Conflict The new ceasefire with Iran is a welcome pause—but it won’t end conflict in countries like Lebanon and Syria, writes David Miliband.

"New research from the Center for Global Development shows the clear link between aid cuts and conflict. Within the last year, conflict and conflict-related deaths have risen 5%. Part of the solution must be to restore aid cuts"

time.com/article/2026...

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The Iran War Oil Shock Will Hit the Hungry Hardest—Cash Should Be Part of the Response The US–Israel war on Iran has already led to a spike in oil prices. While wealthier countries focus on fuel prices, for those in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), this could mean something far...

Making a good case for "humanitarian" targeted cash transfers given the war's effects on food prices: www.cgdev.org/blog/when-oi... @eeshani.bsky.social @leecrawfurd.bsky.social

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Bizarre that the amidst brutal cuts to foreign aid the British government is INCREASING aid for overseas territories

www.cgdev.org/blog/big-inc...

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What Questions Do Policymakers Ask About Foreign Aid? — EA Forum I sit down with Lee Jae-jeong, one of the 21 parliamentarians on South Korea’s Foreign Affairs and Unification Committee. The National Assembly budge…

"the field of aid advocacy is neglected; I estimate that only $1-2 is spent on advocacy for every $1,000 of Official Development Assistance disbursed"

forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/hPKBAp...

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The Iran War Oil Shock Will Hit the Hungry Hardest—Cash Should Be Part of the Response (new @cgdev.org blog with @eeshani.bsky.social)

www.cgdev.org/blog/when-oi...

2 weeks ago 1 3 0 0
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“PISA-Shocks” in Africa When the OECD published its first international student assessment (PISA) in 2000, several countries were taken aback by just how poorly students performed. This “PISA-Shock” prompted comprehensive re...

Can test results lead to education reform?

@alenestour.bsky.social and @leecrawfurd.bsky.social show how PASEC results have improved learning in Francophone Africa.

At a few cents per child, the question is not cost but whether countries can afford to lose it.

cgdev.org/blog/pisa-shocks-africa

2 weeks ago 1 2 0 0

"Even under conservative assumptions, PASEC's benefits exceed its costs by a comfortable margin. Counting just one successful reform in one country per decade with a very conservative learning improvement, yields a benefit-cost ratio of around 31:1." www.cgdev.org/blog/pisa-sh...

3 weeks ago 9 3 0 0

Proof that descriptive results matter!!

3 weeks ago 4 1 0 0
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“PISA-Shocks” in Africa When the OECD published its first international student assessment (PISA) in 2000, several countries were taken aback by just how poorly students performed. This “PISA-Shock” prompted comprehensive re...

Govts can be embarrassed into educ reforms; national assessments of learning are not enough. www.cgdev.org/blog/pisa-sh... Thanks @leecrawfurd.bsky.social and Alexis de Nestour; attn @davidevans66.bsky.social @cgdev.org

3 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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“PISA-Shocks” in Africa When the OECD published its first international student assessment (PISA) in 2000, several countries were taken aback by just how poorly students performed. This “PISA-Shock” prompted comprehensive re...

www.cgdev.org/blog/pisa-sh...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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You might have heard of "PISA-shock".

You probably haven't heard of "PASEC-shock" in Niger

[new blog with @alenestour.bsky.social]

3 weeks ago 8 4 1 2
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The rise of China as a global innovator in pharma (incentives matter) - Marginal REVOLUTION This paper examines China’s transition from pharmaceutical “free rider” to global innovator over the last decade. In 2010, China accounted for less than 8% of global clinical trials; by 2020, it...

"In 2010, China accounted for less than 8% of global clinical trials; by 2020, it had surpassed the US"

marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...

4 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Ann Sara Luvies on Instagram: "they could have used ‘they’" 2,863 likes, 37 comments - bohomeann on March 14, 2026: "they could have used ‘they’".

Think this is the first time my research made it to instagram?

www.instagram.com/reels/DV3Wuo...

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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Don’t Scrap the UK’s Independent Commission for Aid Impact, Make It Better Last month the UK development minister discussed in parliament the possibility that she might scrap the “Independent Commission for Aid Impact”. While critics have accused her of simply trying to avoi...

The UK is considering scrapping the Independent Commission for Aid Impact. But it plays a key role in scrutinizing aid and strengthening accountability.

@leecrawfurd.bsky.social and @ianmitchell1.bsky.social propose 5 reforms to improve its value:
https://go.cgdev.org/4toR09E

1 month ago 3 2 0 0

With Tinubu in London this week, I'd just like to say thank you to the Nigerian state for paying to train the thousands of Nigerian doctors & nurses working in the UK. Probably on the order of a £1bn subsidy for the NHS

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Glad to see this is out in @nber.org WP series and since my excellent co-author @chinemeluokafor.bsky.social and I have been discussing the results for the past few weeks, here's an old-fashioned paper thread on why protests matter/can work to influence economic redistribution 1/n

2 months ago 13 10 1 2
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Plans to cut NHS international workforce appear overambitious, say MPs Health service in England has saved more than £14bn hiring from overseas, report says, as doubt is cast on aim to reduce international recruitment to 10%

"Plans to cut NHS international workforce appear overambitious, say MPs"

www.theguardian.com/society/2026...

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New blog: How Foreign-Trained Health Workers Saved the NHS £14 Billion

www.cgdev.org/blog/how-for...

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Some of the biggest unsung heroes are public officials in developing countries who do the right thing even at gunpoint.

open.substack.com/pub/alltrade...

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Los recortes de ayuda de EE  UU alimentan los conflictos en África Un estudio de la Universidad de Sídney relaciona el cierre de USAID con un aumento de la violencia, ya que parte de la población se une a milicias ante la falta de alternativas económicas, mientras…

Los recortes de ayuda de EE  UU alimentan los conflictos en África

elpais.com/planeta-futu...

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Battery Recycling Is a Far Bigger Source of Lead Exposure Than We Thought Policymakers are increasingly interested in tackling global lead exposure. One critical obstacle is that we don’t have a clear sense of what the most common sources of exposure are. The single largest...

We know unsafe recycling of car batteries exposes people to lead—but how much does it contribute globally?

A new paper from Theo Mitchell & @leecrawfurd.bsky.social shows that it could drive a third of all lead exposure in LMICs:
https://go.cgdev.org/49Z9wMR

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Cool post by Euan Ritchie on how ICAI is viewed from FCDO, according to new analysis of 2,591 business cases

www.cgdev.org/blog/how-uk-...

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Home Office refuses to exempt exceptional students from tough immigration rules Exclusive: Foreign secretary Yvette Cooper concerned about student visa ban on female Chevening scholars from volatile countries such as Afghanistan

It is inherent in any 'red list' proposals for countries (whether longterm or negotiating tactic) that they treat individuals as a means to an end, discriminating via [national] group characteristics. Exempting Chevening scholars would be a small mitigation

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

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Read/Watched/Listened/Ate 9: March 2026

This week:

I read No Second Chances by @morganj0nes.bsky.social

Also an old lecture on Weber's relevance to modern politicians by @iprnickp.bsky.social

And a piece about aid cuts and violence by @leecrawfurd.bsky.social

aveekbhattacharya.substack.com/p/readwatche...

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