Map of projected seats. Constituencies are 60 SNP, 2 Conservative, 2 Labour, 5 Lib Dem, 4 Green, 0 Alba, 0 Reform. Regional list seats are 0 SNP, 9 Conservative, 17 Labour, 0 Lib Dem, 13 Green, 0 Alba, 17 Reform. Lead party per region is Central and Lothians West SNP, Edinburgh and Lothians East Green, Glasgow SNP, Highlands and Islands SNP, Mid and Fife SNP, North East SNP, South SNP, West SNP. Gallagher Index is 14.2 - a lower index means a more proportional result.

Map of projected runners up and margins. Constituency runner ups are SNP 12, Conservative 12, Labour 31, Lib Dem 4, Green 1, Reform UK 13. In percentage terms, constituency margins of victory are 8 below 5, 10 between 5 and 10, 36 between 10 and 20, 19 above 20. Closest runner up for last list seat in each region is Central and Lothians West Green, Edinburgh and Lothians East Lib Dem, Glasgow Green, Highlands and Islands Reform UK, Mid and Fife Conservative, North East Green, South Reform UK, West Labour.

Ipsos 27 Nov - 3 Dec seat projection (vs last poll / vs 2021 on new boundaries); AMS Ideal seats:

SNP ~ 60 (+1 / -3); 40
Lab ~ 19 (-4 / -2); 23
RUK ~ 17 (nc / +17); 23
Grn ~ 17 (+1 / +7); 21
Con ~ 11 (+4 / -20); 14
LD ~ 5 (-2 / +1); 8

(Projection caveats: ballotbox.scot/projections)

Stop trying to please people that already don't like you. Instead embrace the idea of being the most annoying person in their lives.

Tuesday

Delighted to write for Green Left Scotland

An image of First Minister John Swinney. Text reads: “Getting nothing started”: Our political outlook on net-zero is getting us nowhere Astri Kvassness outlines why we need to look beyond long-termism and towards regular, tangible moves towards a greener future. Dr Astri Kvassnes

🟢 “Getting nothing started”: Our political outlook on net-zero is getting us nowhere 🟢

Net-zero and Scotland's future on climate policy are up for discussion on Green Left Scotland today.

Co-convener of the Greens' policy committee, @rockdoctors.bsky.social, lays out her vision.

How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle

As you probably know by now, I'm in a stage of life that has led me to want to pass along previously undisclosed principles that helped me, rather than to keep them to myself...