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Posts by Brendan Nyhan

Hannibal Lecter's victim inviting him to dinner and asking what pairs well with liver.

9 hours ago 104 28 5 0

I think we understand the steps to this dance:
1️⃣Damaging article against Trump or ally
2️⃣Subject claims defamation
3️⃣Sues immediately
4️⃣A month later, media entity files motion to dismiss
5️⃣Months after that, it's granted. Case dismissed.
6️⃣Appeal. Takes a year.
7️⃣By the time appeal fails, world moves on.

11 hours ago 81 16 7 2

"We are pleased to share more than 125,000 U.S. Supreme Court records and briefs. These materials which span nearly two centuries of American law are now freely accessible online."

"Includes records and briefs spanning cases from 1830 through 2019."

13 hours ago 674 204 9 9

Remember how a key feature of the recent Hungarian election that ousted Viktor Orban was the building of a broad cross-ideological anti-corruption coalition?

I feel like that detail is going to be important, going forward.

23 hours ago 280 71 3 0

We’re defending Western Civilization by kicking Plato and Shakespeare out of university classes.

23 hours ago 2057 603 9 25

“Reverse emails,” Jared Kushner corruption edition

He also holds no Senate-confirmed Cabinet or senior government position & employing family as White House advisers violates every norm ever, but this, too, has been erased from the headlines. After years of HUNTER BIDEN, it’s shameful.

23 hours ago 543 179 7 2

What you have to understand is that the United States started a war, almost immediately lost it, then began the laborious process of negotiating against itself, and is now settling into the secondary denial phase …

1 day ago 1674 441 25 12
Title page of our paper, “The Politics of Black Classification: Sociopolitical Cues and Racial Perception,” with Lauren Davenport (Stanford) and Hunter Rendleman (UC Berkeley), dated April 14, 2026.

Abstract: What makes someone Black in American society today? From Donald Trump questioning Kamala Harris’s racial identity to Joe Biden’s claim that hesitant Black voters “ain’t Black,” American politics frequently brings questions of racial authenticity and belonging to the surface. Yet political science often approaches race as a fixed attribute rather than a social construction. Here, we seek to understand how Americans define blackness in social and political life. Using a conjoint experiment with a racially diverse sample that includes Black, white, and mixed race Black-white respondents, we evaluate how ascribed and acquired traits influence perceptions of blackness. The results show that inherited characteristics—particularly parentage and skin tone, which are the strongest determinants of racial classification—play a central role, while sociopolitical cues such as partisanship, neighborhood context, and spousal race also influence racial classification. Using a continuous measure, we also show that respondents make graded assessments of blackness rather than purely binary classifications, with some individuals perceived as more Black than others. Black respondents are more likely than white respondents to classify a broader set of profiles as Black, consistent with a more inclusive understanding of racial membership, yet they also place greater emphasis on shared political identity. These findings clarify how racial categories are socially constructed and why that construction carries real political and social consequences.

Title page of our paper, “The Politics of Black Classification: Sociopolitical Cues and Racial Perception,” with Lauren Davenport (Stanford) and Hunter Rendleman (UC Berkeley), dated April 14, 2026. Abstract: What makes someone Black in American society today? From Donald Trump questioning Kamala Harris’s racial identity to Joe Biden’s claim that hesitant Black voters “ain’t Black,” American politics frequently brings questions of racial authenticity and belonging to the surface. Yet political science often approaches race as a fixed attribute rather than a social construction. Here, we seek to understand how Americans define blackness in social and political life. Using a conjoint experiment with a racially diverse sample that includes Black, white, and mixed race Black-white respondents, we evaluate how ascribed and acquired traits influence perceptions of blackness. The results show that inherited characteristics—particularly parentage and skin tone, which are the strongest determinants of racial classification—play a central role, while sociopolitical cues such as partisanship, neighborhood context, and spousal race also influence racial classification. Using a continuous measure, we also show that respondents make graded assessments of blackness rather than purely binary classifications, with some individuals perceived as more Black than others. Black respondents are more likely than white respondents to classify a broader set of profiles as Black, consistent with a more inclusive understanding of racial membership, yet they also place greater emphasis on shared political identity. These findings clarify how racial categories are socially constructed and why that construction carries real political and social consequences.

Our paper, “The Politics of Black Classification: Sociopolitical Cues and Racial Perception” (w/ Lauren Davenport & @hrendleman.bsky.social), has been conditionally accepted at Perspectives on Politics!

Sharing abstract below. Long time coming, but we are really proud of this paper.

More soon!

1 day ago 293 73 8 6
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"Dude"

The Earthset abides. I don't know about you, but I take comfort in that.

1 day ago 168 25 8 1

So true. Not even a scintilla of effort to make this a legit investigation. This is the LawFare they falsely accused Biden of.

1 day ago 173 58 4 3
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Searing opinion from a federal judge on Long Island, who describes "police state"-like tactics by ICE to arrest peopleand draw up after-the-fact warrants.

He says DOJ is damaging its credibility with the courts by trying to shield ICE from scrutiny. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

1 day ago 4181 1454 64 30

It took George W. Bush almost 8 years to reach 50% of the public "strongly" disapproving of him. Trump did it in like 14 months

www.pewresearch.org/politics/200...

1 day ago 553 105 23 6

Weird how they never do this in areas where Trump won!

DOJ Office of Civil Rights seem very focused on districts with a lot of Black voters.

1 day ago 1077 302 25 11

Gonna spend the next two years spamming every elected Dem about the concept of "damnatio memoriae." Chisel his name off every inscription. Build over the various Trump Towers like they're Nero's Golden House. Remove him from physical memory, not to forget but as a sign of disrespect to the man.

1 day ago 6490 1576 231 119

Head of federal law enforcement stages authoritarian crackdown on political enemies in attempt to appease Trump because he's afraid the journalistic exposé of his uncontrolled alcoholism is putting his job in jeopardy

1 day ago 826 227 25 12

It's essential, but also a fitting punishment for someone who spent so much time and energy protecting the statues and memorials of the white supremacist traitors who came before him in the Confederacy.

1 day ago 1483 226 21 5

DOJ is being weaponized against our elections AND Trump's opponents. They are just getting started.

1 day ago 67 25 0 0

Back to the genocide threats.

1 day ago 809 187 39 5
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New euphemism for "pure, unadulterated horseshit" just dropped

2 days ago 6536 1529 432 167
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Students are speeding through their online degrees in weeks, alarming educators Some online colleges allow students to take unlimited courses on their own time, leading to quick degrees and worries about devaluing credentials.

You might as well just auction off the degree if you're offering a program like this in the age of AI wapo.st/41Kjr5j

1 day ago 93 27 7 0

The ongoing efforts to weaponize the DOJ against Trump's enemies poses a profound danger to democracy and the rule of law

1 day ago 116 31 3 1
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Muslim Southerners Face a Fresh Wave of Hateful Political Rhetoric

Muslim Southerners Face a Fresh Wave of Hateful Political Rhetoric

Some Muslim voters were once drawn to Republican positions on family values and individual liberty, but as Southern politicians stoke anti-Islamic sentiment, many feel threatened.
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/19/u...

2 days ago 22 6 5 1

Unprecedented corruption

1 day ago 71 22 0 1

Unprecedented corruption

1 day ago 79 17 1 0

What the people in the diners demand

1 day ago 49 6 4 0

don't sleep on nutrition

1 day ago 3 0 1 0
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From one of the best quant ed researchers in the field bsky.app/profile/tomd...

1 day ago 11 1 1 0
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Den stora älgvandringen – Idag 00:00 I flera tusen år har älgarna vandrat samma leder för att ta sig till sommarens rika betesmarker. Följ årets vandring, som är den åttonde säsongen då vi får se älgarna vandra i rutan och på SVT Play.

Happy start of the Swedish moose migration to all who celebrate www.svtplay.se/video/8vvgX7... Truly the best slow TV / YouTube ever, highly recommended for background (STV has a smart TV app though I can't find it there yet)

1 day ago 38 3 4 0

“Well, it's a hell of an act. What do you call yourselves?”

“The Originalists”

2 days ago 139 30 2 0
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Trump lawyer from effort to overturn 2020 election to oversee probe of ex-CIA director, DOJ official says Joseph DiGenova, a conservative attorney, is being tapped by the U.S. Justice Department to lead an ongoing criminal investigation into former CIA Director John Brennan.

“For my friends everything; for my enemies the law.”

DOJ has become an instrument of authoritarianism. No more laments for what it was; or talk of “abuses”; or wishful thinking about how they can’t get away with it. They can, if not confronted across the board.

www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-l...

2 days ago 1642 555 77 21