the front page of the paper, which can be read in: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/pops.70056
we have a new paper in the April issue of Political Psychology.
in this (admittedly quite lovely) new paper, @stephenvaisey.com, @pablobellode.bsky.social and I make a simple point: using panel data to understand belief change is very hard.
we highlight an empirical intractability in the process: