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Posts by Jan Mewes
Wage growth among higher-income US households is now outpacing lower-earning cohorts by the widest margin in over a decade, according to an analysis by the Bank of America Institute
There is a rare permanent job in the UK - assistant prof (lecturer) in political science with a focus on quant methods
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRD143/a...
Means-testing also makes programs cost more than they would under a universal model, because so much money gets wasted on verification, surveillance, and compliance.
Barbariet som Tidö och Socialdemokraterna gjort till svensk lag fortgår, om någon trodde annat.
Fig. 2: Data and code availability by field. Left, data and code availability as a percentage of papers. Right, the raw counts of papers with data and code available and not available. Restricted data (purple) did not count as available data, but might be accessible in principle. This shows political science has thee most papers with open data/code, followed by economics, then much further behind, psychology and then sociology (sad). Sociology is well below all field average.
This figure is the one that is actually embarrassing for sociology:
reproducibility results after using the same methods and data.
how policies in sociology lead to embarrassing outcomes.
the front page of the paper, which can be read in: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/pops.70056
we have a new paper in the April issue of Political Psychology.
in this (admittedly quite lovely) new paper, @stephenvaisey.com, @pablobellode.bsky.social and I make a simple point: using panel data to understand belief change is very hard.
we highlight an empirical intractability in the process:
The flagship journal of the European Sociological Association, European Societies, makes published articles free for everyone & does not charge authors a publication fee.
Authors of quantitative work are required to openly share data & code.
No @asanews.bsky.social journal shares all these traits.
Political Science's academic job market having its worst post-Covid year -- almost 20% fewer jobs than at the same point in the previous cycle (which itself was bad!)
Data scraped from APSA ejobs pdfs.
Very happy that this article with Samir Negash and Lorenzo Piccoli has just been accepted at the European Political Science Review. In it we show that "welfare chauvinism" is much more nuanced than many assume.
And don’t even think about qualitative interview studies 😬
I ran a simple model with new public data then used 1 prompt to make ChatGPT guess what the model would produce. With 10 seconds of "thinking," it was very close. The implications of this are catastrophic. The American Sociological Association should do something about this but it doesn't care to
/1
Schweden wäre so ein negatives Beispiel wo Einkommen noch stärker und Vermögen noch weniger (so gut wie gar nicht) als in D besteuert wird. Mit der Folge dass die Vermögensverteilung in ihrer Ungleichheit nur von den USA überboten wird. Allerdings sind die staatlichen Finanzen (noch) gut
I only use it for code review. Especially when the code has an error. 😵💫Would absolutely not give access to data, let alone personal data
For a change, something we made ourselves: Together with my colleagues Tobias Roth, Andreas Horr, and @nataliebackes.bsky.social, we examined ethnic rent penalties. Do migrants pay higher rents for comparable housing than natives with similar characteristics? direct.mit.edu/euso/article...
We spent months training grad student RAs and GPT-5 mini still beat them by a lot
Plans to invade Greenland have just been cancelled after this
Compared with a year ago, White Protestants and religiously unaffiliated adults now have significantly less confidence that Trump acts ethically in office. For example, 26% of White nonevangelical Protestants are extremely or very confident Trump acts ethically in office, down from 38%. And the share of religious “nones” who have a lot of confidence in Trump’s ethics now stands at 10%, down from 16%. Confidence in Trump’s ethics has remained low among Black Protestants.
Extremely or very confident Donald Trump acts ethically in office
White evangelicals 40%
US adult avg. 21%
Unaffiliated 10%
Black Protestants 7%
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/02/09/w...
In the Portuguese presidential election, very clear victory of the centre-left candidate Segura against the radical right Ventura.
But, but, the headlines said the effects occurred overnight and were so positive that Australian parents hardly recognised their sullen teens?
Figure 1 from the paper. Econ: from 2008 to 2024, methods aiming for causal inference have increased, theoretical work has decreased. Psych: Mostly experimental or descriptive correlational work.
Just learned about this study looking at methodological trends in psych and econ over time: online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art....
Matches my perception well: Nobody in psych bothers to (explicitly) try causal inference unless they conducted an experiment, not a lot of theoretical work either.
Insane! At all levels, really. First of all, they have nothing to do outside of the U.S. Second, they are among the worst-trained of the dozens of security and law enforcement services the U.S. has.
What this shows, however, is that the Trump Administration sees ICE as its personal military.
Am 12. Januar 2026 ist Matthias Koenig gestorben. In einem Nachruf würdigt Monika Wohlrab-Sahr den Soziologen als integeren Menschen und akribischen Wissenschaftler, der hochgradig normative Fragen mit Herzblut und analytischer Distanz zu behandeln verstand.
www.soziopolis.de/matthias-koe...
New OA In ESR
How do institutions and social norms affect tax payment?
@lucaspasin.bsky.social #Aaszekely @squazzoni.bsky.social find that in low-quality institutions contexts, social norms can trigger vicious cycles of evasion, even when evasion is socially disapproved
doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf057
Do generous welfare policies foster political trust? Matthijs Gillissen, @silkegoubin.bsky.social & Anna Ruelens examine the long-term effects of welfare generosity on trust in political institutions. Read more:
buff.ly/KrWGJzx
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
Out now:
*A Research Agenda for Political Trust*
This excellent collection of papers points out future directions for political trust research: the unanswered questions, problems, promising theoretical pathways, and methodological innovations.
www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-r...
And: it's open access!
Grattis till din nya stilling! Lycka till :)