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Posts by Jan Mewes

Hungary has chosen Europe.

Europe has always chosen Hungary.

A country reclaims its European path.

The Union grows stronger.

1 week ago 23326 4458 463 267
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US Wage Growth Is Increasingly K-Shaped With Largest Divide Since 2015 Wage growth among higher-income US households is now outpacing lower-earning cohorts by the widest margin in over a decade, according to an analysis by the Bank of America Institute.

Wage growth among higher-income US households is now outpacing lower-earning cohorts by the widest margin in over a decade, according to an analysis by the Bank of America Institute

1 week ago 34 12 6 2
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Assistant Professor in Political Science at University of Nottingham Recruiting now: Assistant Professor in Political Science on jobs.ac.uk. Click for details and explore more academic job opportunities on the top job board

There is a rare permanent job in the UK - assistant prof (lecturer) in political science with a focus on quant methods

www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRD143/a...

1 week ago 24 33 0 0

Means-testing also makes programs cost more than they would under a universal model, because so much money gets wasted on verification, surveillance, and compliance.

2 weeks ago 1368 358 22 14

Barbariet som Tidö och Socialdemokraterna gjort till svensk lag fortgår, om någon trodde annat.

2 weeks ago 67 34 3 0
Fig. 2: Data and code availability by field. Left, data and code availability as a percentage of papers. Right, the raw counts of papers with data and code available and not available. Restricted data (purple) did not count as available data, but might be accessible in principle.

This shows political science has thee most papers with open data/code, followed by economics, then much further behind, psychology and then sociology (sad). Sociology is well below all field average.

Fig. 2: Data and code availability by field. Left, data and code availability as a percentage of papers. Right, the raw counts of papers with data and code available and not available. Restricted data (purple) did not count as available data, but might be accessible in principle. This shows political science has thee most papers with open data/code, followed by economics, then much further behind, psychology and then sociology (sad). Sociology is well below all field average.

This figure is the one that is actually embarrassing for sociology:

2 weeks ago 13 5 1 0
reproducibility results after using the same methods and data.

reproducibility results after using the same methods and data.

how policies in sociology lead to embarrassing outcomes.

2 weeks ago 18 4 2 1
the front page of the paper, which can be read in:
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/pops.70056

the front page of the paper, which can be read in: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/pops.70056

we have a new paper in the April issue of Political Psychology.

in this (admittedly quite lovely) new paper, @stephenvaisey.com, @pablobellode.bsky.social and I make a simple point: using panel data to understand belief change is very hard.

we highlight an empirical intractability in the process:

3 weeks ago 86 26 2 1
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Editorial: What we promised, and what we delivered As we write our final editorial for European Societies, we return to the spirit of our first editorial (Präg, Ersanilli and Gugushvili, 2022) and to the question that guided our tenure: did we deliver...

The flagship journal of the European Sociological Association, European Societies, makes published articles free for everyone & does not charge authors a publication fee.

Authors of quantitative work are required to openly share data & code.

No @asanews.bsky.social journal shares all these traits.

4 weeks ago 61 24 1 1
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Political Science's academic job market having its worst post-Covid year -- almost 20% fewer jobs than at the same point in the previous cycle (which itself was bad!)

Data scraped from APSA ejobs pdfs.

1 month ago 53 34 3 5
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Very happy that this article with Samir Negash and Lorenzo Piccoli has just been accepted at the European Political Science Review. In it we show that "welfare chauvinism" is much more nuanced than many assume.

1 month ago 43 20 2 2

And don’t even think about qualitative interview studies 😬

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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I ran a simple model with new public data then used 1 prompt to make ChatGPT guess what the model would produce. With 10 seconds of "thinking," it was very close. The implications of this are catastrophic. The American Sociological Association should do something about this but it doesn't care to
/1

1 month ago 92 34 6 19

Schweden wäre so ein negatives Beispiel wo Einkommen noch stärker und Vermögen noch weniger (so gut wie gar nicht) als in D besteuert wird. Mit der Folge dass die Vermögensverteilung in ihrer Ungleichheit nur von den USA überboten wird. Allerdings sind die staatlichen Finanzen (noch) gut

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

I only use it for code review. Especially when the code has an error. 😵‍💫Would absolutely not give access to data, let alone personal data

2 months ago 1 0 1 0
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Migrant rent penalties in the German housing market Abstract. We investigate whether migrants pay higher rents for comparable housing than natives with similar characteristics using nationally representative data from the 2018 German Microcensus. The d...

For a change, something we made ourselves: Together with my colleagues Tobias Roth, Andreas Horr, and @nataliebackes.bsky.social, we examined ethnic rent penalties. Do migrants pay higher rents for comparable housing than natives with similar characteristics? direct.mit.edu/euso/article...

2 months ago 53 24 1 0

We spent months training grad student RAs and GPT-5 mini still beat them by a lot

2 months ago 23 6 1 0
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Plans to invade Greenland have just been cancelled after this

2 months ago 6673 2094 154 524
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Compared with a year ago, White Protestants and religiously unaffiliated adults now have significantly less confidence that Trump acts ethically in office.  For example, 26% of White nonevangelical Protestants are extremely or very confident Trump acts ethically in office, down from 38%.  And the share of religious “nones” who have a lot of confidence in Trump’s ethics now stands at 10%, down from 16%.  Confidence in Trump’s ethics has remained low among Black Protestants.

Compared with a year ago, White Protestants and religiously unaffiliated adults now have significantly less confidence that Trump acts ethically in office. For example, 26% of White nonevangelical Protestants are extremely or very confident Trump acts ethically in office, down from 38%. And the share of religious “nones” who have a lot of confidence in Trump’s ethics now stands at 10%, down from 16%. Confidence in Trump’s ethics has remained low among Black Protestants.

Extremely or very confident Donald Trump acts ethically in office
White evangelicals 40%
US adult avg. 21%
Unaffiliated 10%
Black Protestants 7%
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/02/09/w...

2 months ago 254 93 35 36
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In the Portuguese presidential election, very clear victory of the centre-left candidate Segura against the radical right Ventura.

2 months ago 122 30 2 1
The social media ban that wasn’t — Crooked Timber The Australian government’s legislation seeking to ban access to social media for people under 16 has received plenty of attention in International media, mostly leading with the government’s that 4.7 million accounts were banned or deactivated when the legislation came into effect. Rather less attention has been paid to discussion of the outcome within Australia, where the consensus is that there has been very little effect for most. With most kids still active, the minority who have been caught by the ban have suffered feelings of ostracism and exclusion When discussing the issue on my own social media (which had few if any teenage readers to begin with) I’ve only had one parent report their kids being thrown off.

But, but, the headlines said the effects occurred overnight and were so positive that Australian parents hardly recognised their sullen teens?

2 months ago 4 2 0 0
Figure 1 from the paper.
Econ: from 2008 to 2024, methods aiming for causal inference have increased, theoretical work has decreased. 
Psych: Mostly experimental or descriptive correlational work.

Figure 1 from the paper. Econ: from 2008 to 2024, methods aiming for causal inference have increased, theoretical work has decreased. Psych: Mostly experimental or descriptive correlational work.

Just learned about this study looking at methodological trends in psych and econ over time: online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art....

Matches my perception well: Nobody in psych bothers to (explicitly) try causal inference unless they conducted an experiment, not a lot of theoretical work either.

2 months ago 68 17 8 4
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ICE agents to 'support' US security at Winter Olympics in Italy, sparking anger Agents from the US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) force will support US security operations at the Winter Olympics in Italy in February, the organisation said on Tuesday, sparking anger fro...

Insane! At all levels, really. First of all, they have nothing to do outside of the U.S. Second, they are among the worst-trained of the dozens of security and law enforcement services the U.S. has.

What this shows, however, is that the Trump Administration sees ICE as its personal military.

2 months ago 115 49 2 8
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Am 12. Januar 2026 ist Matthias Koenig gestorben. In einem Nachruf würdigt Monika Wohlrab-Sahr den Soziologen als integeren Menschen und akribischen Wissenschaftler, der hochgradig normative Fragen mit Herzblut und analytischer Distanz zu behandeln verstand.

www.soziopolis.de/matthias-koe...

2 months ago 32 17 2 2
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An experimental study on institutions and social norms of tax payment Abstract. The production of public goods, which are fundamental to well-functioning societies, requires the payment of taxes, but taxpayers have clear ince

New OA In ESR

How do institutions and social norms affect tax payment?
@lucaspasin.bsky.social #Aaszekely @squazzoni.bsky.social find that in low-quality institutions contexts, social norms can trigger vicious cycles of evasion, even when evasion is socially disapproved
doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf057

3 months ago 13 9 1 1
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Do generous welfare policies foster political trust? Matthijs Gillissen, @silkegoubin.bsky.social & Anna Ruelens examine the long-term effects of welfare generosity on trust in political institutions. Read more:
buff.ly/KrWGJzx

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com

3 months ago 9 8 0 1
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A Research Agenda for Political Trust ‘Low trust in government provides the fuel for democratic backsliding. There is no more important topic for scholars to confront. This volume is invaluable because it provides important insights on tr...

Out now:
*A Research Agenda for Political Trust*

This excellent collection of papers points out future directions for political trust research: the unanswered questions, problems, promising theoretical pathways, and methodological innovations.
www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-r...

And: it's open access!

3 months ago 22 10 2 1
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Grattis till din nya stilling! Lycka till :)

3 months ago 1 0 1 0
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Førsteamanuensis i statsvitenskap (292199) | UiT Norges arktiske universitet Stillingstittel: Førsteamanuensis i statsvitenskap (292199), Arbeidsgiver: UiT Norges arktiske universitet, Søknadsfrist: mandag 9. februar 2026

Siden jeg nå har gått over til rektoratet er min gamle stilling ledig. Det er en fantastisk fin jobb med gode kollegaer på et av de beste universitetene man kan jobbe på. Løp og søk!! www.jobbnorge.no/ledige-still...

3 months ago 5 3 1 0