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Posts by Josh Pasek

Israel's hegemonic ideology is Kahanism: pursuing a Jewish non-democratic one state where Palestinians are subjugated, expelled or dead.
Some say this is an inevitable continuation of Zionism, others that it is a corruption of Zionism.
I disagree with both accounts, but don't mind either.

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1 day ago 218 57 2 2

Highly, ironic that they just closed the city survey on whether to keep the sirens. engage.a2gov.org/siren-review.

Good moment for a motion to reconsider #a2council?

6 days ago 16 3 6 1

What you really have to admire is the juxtaposition of the incredible attention to detail of the imagery (spokesperson, white jacket, even the slightly too long sleeves despite tailoring), with the absolute disregard for the actual text.

1 week ago 9 1 0 0

Just adding the point that we found in 2020 that the same grievance politics is also completely wrapped up in religion - all three are the same reactionary force, and actually can’t be disentangled empirically.

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

An incredibly shameful action — all the more so given that every major Jewish movement has long condemned the death penalty, and that Israel itself used to assert that the only justification for putting someone to death was for crimes against humanity.

3 weeks ago 3 0 0 0

But if you’re pulling randomly from congressional speeches, it’s always a Representative sample

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

The elite attack on universities has already substantially eroded academic freedom and free speech. People should be hired based on merit. We should avoid any procedure that punishes applicants or faculty based on political views. And no ideological quotas or monitoring of faculty.

4 weeks ago 85 38 3 0

Extremely important. Having applied and been on admissions committees, it’s so clear to me that many VERY qualified people aren’t admitted for reasons that have nothing to do with their qualifications. # of spaces, advisor fit, committee makeup, and sheer dumb luck all play a role.

4 weeks ago 103 21 3 3
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Terrifying numbers in latest annual survey of federal workers from @ourpublicservice.bsky.social.
For example, DoD workers' trust in Hegseth is in the toilet.
Only 11.5% of Army employees say their dept's political leaders "maintain high levels of integrity." Similar numbers for Navy, Air Force

1 month ago 2883 1108 79 69
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Just out: the new @vdeminstitute.bsky.social is clear:

"The speed with which American democracy is currently dismantled is unprecedented in modern history"

V-dem uses a global dataset on democracy with over 32 million data points for 202 countries, from 1789 to 2025.

www.v-dem.net/documents/75...

1 month ago 163 85 2 9

These betting markets pose a threat not only to journalists who refuse to comply with bettors' demands, but also to democracy, from journalists who alter what they report in response to bettors' promise to share a portion of the winnings.

1 month ago 109 54 3 0

I think it makes sense to say politically that you should focus on one issue and claim anything else is a distraction.

But I think it’s also important to highlight the broader distraction strategy here - which I think involves dividing opposition across issues.

1 month ago 0 0 1 0

I don’t think this is true. In normal politics, maybe, but the current is to flood the zone with so many different things that everyone doesn’t focus on one single thing.

This has been Trump‘s approach to politics from the beginning.

Everything can be a distraction from everything else.

1 month ago 2 0 1 0
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It Wasn't Fascism All Along Conservatism was a distinct ideology but it is dead and it is not coming back.

Important and correct by @polphilpod.bsky.social Toby Buckle at @liberalcurrents.com Liberal Currents.

The "all conservatism was always already Trumpist and fascist" line is ultimately a way to normalize Trump, and should be resisted.

www.liberalcurrents.com/it-wasnt-fas...

1 month ago 160 39 16 13

that they have kept their relationship intensely private to the point that this is how we find out is probably the best sign they might actually make it

anyway, rules are rules, here is the exact moment she fell in love

1 month ago 4161 919 54 115

In this case, strong agree - but I’m not sure one could say the same about the Dalai Lama.

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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Almost certainly true, and another opportunity to remember that Netanyahu would willingly trade away the safety of every Jew on earth to save his own political career and avoid going to prison for his crimes.

1 month ago 1974 487 16 9

Erin's reporting is, as always, impeccable.

What many may not know, however, is that once a license is issued, the holder has a property interest in that license that is protected by the 14th Amendment.

This goes back to Bell v Burson (1972).

For more, keep reading... 🧵

1 month ago 435 245 4 17
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Acquiescence Bias and Criterion Validity: Problems and Potential Solutions for Agree-Disagree Scales - Political Behavior Political Behavior - Scholars frequently measure dispositions like populism, conspiracism, racism, and sexism by asking survey respondents whether they agree or disagree with statements...

New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social.

Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other.

This has potentially big issues for conclusions.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

1 month ago 113 49 4 9
Monty Python - The Semaphore Version of Wuthering Heights
Monty Python - The Semaphore Version of Wuthering Heights YouTube video by Caio Badner

To my knowledge, however, it’s probably the only book that has been adapted to a short screenplay in semaphore code, so there’s one redeeming factor.

youtu.be/kqiUGjghlzU?...

2 months ago 6 0 2 0

Reposting as an odd link appeared:

Fully agree

In practice, I really mean die as an initial consideration that people bring up every time they think about a survey—But that had little chance of fitting in the skeet.

It’s simply not high on the reasons people might be inaccurate on a survey.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Order on Motion for TRO – #95 in The Advocates for Human Rights v. U.S. Department of Homeland Security (D. Minnesota, 0:26-cv-00749) – CourtListener.com ORDER: Plaintiffs' Motion for a Temporary Restraining Order (ECF No. 17 ) is GRANTED IN PART. See Order for specifics. Signed by Judge Nancy E. Brasel on 2/12/2026. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit A) (RMM) ...

This is a simply incredible decision from Judge Brasel. Stunning. In that you will be stunned.

She captures perfectly the experience of trying to locate and help clients disappeared by ICE.

And the stories of detainee’s experience while ICE plays hide-and-seek with their lawyers are soul crushing.

2 months ago 202 69 3 7

So many to choose from:

The poll vault
Figures skating
Scailing
Data diving
Box(plot)ing

2 months ago 10 2 1 0

Not a new conclusion, but another solid piece of evidence that social desirability bias is rare & possibly nonexistent in online surveys.

Across the lit, evidence that people sometimes lie to themselves & report that, scant evidence that they lie to look good.

But the theory just won’t die.

2 months ago 9 1 1 0
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A lot of people seem to be freaking out about this and the flock integration, which are both big privacy risks.

But, right now in the app, you can opt out of both of those (and may be opted out by default). Strongly recommend opting out—a much lower bar for most people than replacing systems.

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
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‘Absolute hell’: Irishman with valid US work permit held by Ice since September Seamus Culleton has been in a detention facility in Texas for nearly five months despite having no criminal record

Absolute hell: Irishman with valid US work permit held by ICE since September
Seamus Culleton has been in a detention facility in Texas for five months despite having no criminal record
Originally from Glenmore, Co Kilkenny, wife Tiffany Smyth is a US citizen
www.irishtimes.com/world/us/202...

2 months ago 36 24 2 3

And so it appears that Democrats are finally willing to play Calvin Ball in response.

This guy obviously needs a national position in the current moment.

2 months ago 3 0 0 0

I’ll happily concede Descartes.

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

Swear to god, ICE could just announce they're leaving a city but not leave and the media will just stop covering that city completely even though ICE never left.

It's what ICE and the media did with LA and they're doing it with Minneapolis too

2 months ago 20340 5892 385 196

But the certainty is not really in the truth value of the mathematical statement so much as the requirement to accept that truth value conditional on the ontological framework within which I’m working.

2 months ago 0 0 0 0