Buyer's remorse is hitting House Republicans over their mid-cycle redistricting war — a strategy meant to protect their majority that's now deeply in danger of backfiring.
“I wish none of this had happened.”
Let’s just replace “or” with “and.” It’s more fun that way. 😈
A reminder while Republicans bitch about Dems finishing the redistricting fight they started: they have full control of gov’t— they can pass a law banning gerrymandering any time they want. They won’t. Republicans aren’t mad gerrymandering exists; they’re mad that they’re not the only ones using it.
I want to eat that hole!
Zachary Donnini: "Ahead of polls close in Virginia, here’s a full briefing on what to expect in tonight’s redistricting referendum: Virginia is a relatively clean reporting state with a centralized results system, but the order of votes still matters a lot. This is a true three-method state: • Election Day (ED) • Early Voting (EV) • Absentee Mail (AB) In a close race, I expect something around: ED: NO +9 EV: YES +1 AB: YES +40 That means early returns in each county/city can be misleading depending on what drops first. Most jurisdictions report early vote and mail first, which creates an early blue mirage. But some key areas report Election Day first, creating pockets of a red mirage instead. Virginia Beach is the biggest example of a red mirage on a county/city level. Key benchmarks I'll be tracking: • Loudoun County big drop (~93% of vote): YES +14 • Virginia Beach: NO +5 • Chesterfield: NO +4 • Surry: NO +5 Base counties/cities: • Fairfax: YES +33 • Richmond City: YES +62 • Tazewell: NO +75 • Colonial Heights City: NO +43"
Zachary Donnini: "Turnout dynamics matter a lot in a one-off referendum, so I'll closely be watching rural ED turnout (red areas) and urban Black ED turnout (Dem base). Timing expectations: • First big Loudoun drop: ~7:50 p.m. ET • ~80% reporting by 10:30 p.m. ET • ~98–99% by ~1 a.m. ET VERY IMPORTANT: If the race is close, expect movement towards YES after Election Night: Fewer provisional ballots than usual are expected in Virginia, since they are tied to same-day registration and the state held a high-turnout election six months ago, meaning most voters are already registered. However, post-election votes will still matter and are expected to break heavily toward YES. I estimate: • Provisionals (~18K): YES +37 • Other late votes (~25K): YES +43 • Net effect: +0.5% shift in margin toward YES Avoid overreacting to small NO leads late in the evening. If it is NO+0.3 when we sleep Wednesday morning at 2 a.m. then YES is favored."
VERY helpful info from Zachary Donnini bluevirginia.us/2026/04/redi...
HAYES: “Trump lights our national house on fire, lets it burn for 15 minutes, then shows up with a fire hose and demands a prize for putting out the blaze while the rest of us stand here in the smoldering ruins.”
Bluesky under attack. (Maybe you noticed that Thursday.)
"Bluesky’s website and app are still struggling on Friday after experiencing service interruptions that chief operating officer Rose Wang attributed to an ongoing cyberattack." techcrunch.com/2026/04/17/i...
Good morning handsome!
Congrats and enjoy!
Maddow on what keeps despots in power and why they fall apart: "Nobody actually likes a corrupt despot. They all just support him because they think he's going to be in power forever so you need to stay on his right side in order to get anything for yourself."
Very nice!
Jessica Tarlov point out last week that Republicans are living in a state of delusion. Democrats keep winning elections. Inflation is up, GDP is down, gas prices are up and Trump is deeply unpopular.
BREAKING: Hungarian leader Viktor Orbán concedes defeat in parliamentary elections after 16 years in power despite public backing from the Trump administration.
💥Polls closed in Hungary. No exit poll, but 21 Research Institute’s Apr 8–11 exclusive survey for
@telexhu.bsky.social shows the opposition Tisza party leading Orbán's Fidesz 55–38, with the far-right Our Homeland around the 5% threshold.
Tisza is on the verge of a parliamentary supermajority.
Tough numbers for President Trump in new CBS poll
2/3 disapproval on economy and inflation are particularly challenging
Honestly surprising redistricting referendum is somewhat competitive
National environment even worse for Virginia GOP than last November
www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-wa...
Record numbers of voters are going to the polls in Hungary today for the country’s national elections, which could dislodge Viktor Orban—the far-right leader allied to far-right parties worldwide—from power.
We’ll start getting returns after polls close, so after 1pm ET today.
Ugh
Considering they haven't hiked their prices of their individual premium plan, I guess I won't raise a stink about it. Unlike Netflix and Hulu.
The latest independent poll shows the Hungarian opposition leading Orbán’s party by 23 points. Hungarian elections are Sunday.
median.hu/2026/03/27/a...
Watch this and share widely please.
Love your house. Have a wonderful time in SF.
I love this so much.
NEW: Liberal candidates have won 5 of the last 6 state Supreme Court races in the Trump Era, with Chris Taylor's emphatic 20-point landslide victory serving as the exclamation point on this monumental winning streak.
Let's recombobulate: www.therecombobulationarea.news/p/in-chris-t...
I would definitely smile if you walked into the room.
I remember that election. It was crazy.
April's busiest election day is this Tuesday.
—judges in Wisconsin
—big school board races for LGBTQ students in Alaska, Missouri, Wisconsin
—Dems look to make progress with WI mayors
—Georgia's special to replace MTG
—TPUSA aims for an Arizona utility board
spend some time this Sunday exploring!
Voters in Wisconsin and northwest Georgia head to the polls to decide a pair of races that will provide further clues about how the political environment is shaping up heading into this fall’s midterm elections.
Does Trump even recognize the contradiction between his boasts about eliminating Iranian anti-aircraft capabilities and the fact that they are actually shooting down U.S. planes?
Happening tomorrow!
It is entirely possible that the court will be a 6-1 liberal majority by August 2027.
