"As someone who had developed vetting..'

No. Shut up. You should not be posting about this.

If real private sector wage growth is c.0% then I know what my take is

The public sector annual growth rate has recently been affected by a base effect because of some public sector pay rises being paid earlier in 2025 than in 2024.

This effect is now minimal, reaching its peak in the three months to November 2025, and will have worked its way out next month.

Annual average regular earnings growth was 5.2% for the public sector, and 3.2% for the private sector.

CPIH was an average of 3.3% for December 2025 to February 2026.

Sure, the company will continue to manage the shrinkage problem via pricing given that margins are already extremely low

The business suffers a bit, but mostly the honest customers will pay

So many people get advice from their parents who enthusiastically offer offer up good advice for 1990

Profits have tripled and presumably you think the CEO should be paid.. less?

Young adults in the UK are living with their parents for longer

www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...

You can see some of the trends reflected in border force seizure data too

www.gov.uk/government/s...

Drug use in the UK as sampled via waste water analysis

What volumes of drugs?
What are the trends?
Which are most popular by region?
What are the intra week trends?

www.gov.uk/government/p...

Cooked

War on prices

I meant regarding tax receipts

Probably a silly question but is capital flight possible from Iran?

That's not really how counterfactuals work

Because they disagree with the analysis, probably

"more strength in the commodities business and more strength in the currency business. But mortgages were lower and rates were lower"

I don't think I've heard positive noises out of a single fixed income desk this quarter

The economic outcomes of populism are terrible. More corruption, lower FDI, gross fixed capital formation, etc all culminating in a less prosperous country

And now there's a real shot at economic renewal and greater Hungarian flourishing

I get that British people are more interested in how the outcome of the Hungarian election effects their political ecosystem but I wish there was a little more time spent on for the outcomes in Hungary

Hungary Parliament - prelim results

46% reported:
Tisza: 52.3% (135 projected seats)
Fidesz: 39.6% (57 projected seats)

Seat requirements:
Majority -> 100
Supermajority -> 133

What's the survey response rate?

What's the best thing to read on this

And final disclaimer: the salary by education stats are from the LFS and separately classified as ‘official statistics in development’ due to sampling variability (low response rates/ smaller samples than ideal)

Depending on your views on what the appropriate controls are (if any) this could overrstate the poor trend

External factors such as prior academic attainment, skills, experience, or geographic location which can influence salary are not held constant

And if we want to get into the elite overproduction narrative

Median annual salary to the nearest £500 in real (2007) terms for 'Yearly salaries by education'

- 2007 non-grad: 20,000
- 2024 non-grad: 19,500

- 2007 grad: 30,000
- 2024 grad: 26,500

- 2007 post-grad: 35,500
- 2024 post-grad: 29,500

UK average weekly earnings (2015 prices)
- Feb 2008: £525
- Dec 2025: £526

Earnings have been stagnant for 17y and meanwhile the distribution of income post-tax and transfers is incredibly low (as below)

That's the current equilibrium, yeah

UK energy production: the more the merrier

Imagine if you had an equivalent of stamp duty for renters where you had to pay 2-12% of your total rent every time you moved properties