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Posts by Raphael Cunha

This is similar to what we find in our recent study on which countries people want their government to learn from. China ranks in the middle but still comes out ahead of the United States, pointing to shifting perceptions of the two powers.

1 week ago 25 11 0 0
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Assistant Professor in Political Science at University of Nottingham Recruiting now: Assistant Professor in Political Science on jobs.ac.uk. Click for details and explore more academic job opportunities on the top job board

There is a rare permanent job in the UK - assistant prof (lecturer) in political science with a focus on quant methods

www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRD143/a...

2 weeks ago 24 33 0 0
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@kcl-spe.bsky.social is hosting a Junior International Political Economy Researchers Workshop on 28 April and we have a great line-up of papers by early-career researchers. @adreher.bsky.social will also share expertise on publishing in the field. Register here: forms.office.com/e/q7rUFAVg21

2 weeks ago 40 20 1 1
Associate Professorship of Causal and Experimental Methods in Politics and Social Policy University salary from £58,265 - £77,645 per annum which is inclusive of an Oxford University Weighting of £1,730 p.aPermanent upon completion of a successful review. The review is conducted during th...

📣 New job at Oxford's Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM)! 📣

The Departments of Politics & IR (DPIR) and Social Policy and Intervention (DSPI) are hiring an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods.

Come work with me and amazing Oxford peeps! Deadline NOON April 27th.

4 weeks ago 46 56 1 1
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3,000+ journals, updated daily

1 month ago 164 80 12 23

Email etiquette, a timeline

2015: Scrupulously edit all emails, FULL punctuation

2017: Don't use too many exclamation marks! People will think you are a small girl!

2021: Occasionally leave out full-stops as a power move

2026: One typo per email to show an AI didn't write it

1 month ago 509 106 12 3
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Data Visualization A Practical Introduction

Here’s a full draft of the upcoming second edition of my “Data Visualization: A Practical Introduction”: socviz.co

1 month ago 571 185 13 14
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The submission deadline for the King's Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy is approaching (March 10). Submit your paper!

No registration fee, and we *do have* a few travel grants available for participants from outside of London.

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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📢 Call for papers!

We are organizing the 6th Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy on 14-15 May 2026 at King’s College London!

Keynote: Shanker Satyanath (NYU)

No fee, travel grants might become available!

Submit at: tinyurl.com/qpe2026

2 months ago 24 24 1 6

So over the past week you are seeing what you would expect to see if AI is, in fact, both rapidly gaining capabilities & proving to be very useful:
- Rolling market disruption in response to growing awareness of AI capacity
-Government versus AI lab struggles for control

…& it is still quite early

1 month ago 104 18 3 0
ChatGPT - Manuscript review assistant A conversational AI system that listens, learns, and challenges

Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ previous peer reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently
chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19...

Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)

7 months ago 62 12 4 6
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2026 PPE Society London Meeting - The Philosophy, Politics, and Economics Society We are pleased to share that, in addition to the PPE Society’s Annual Meetings held each year in New Orleans, the international PPE Society will…

⏰ Call for proposals!⏰

Organisers are calling for full panel proposals, author-meets-critics sessions, or individual papers from those who would like to attend the next annual PPE conference at King's

The deadline for submissions is February 20👇

ppesociety.org/ppe-society-...

2 months ago 4 5 0 1
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🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):

We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.

Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.

w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social

URL: osf.io/preprints/os...

2 months ago 178 58 4 7

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Guido Tabellini on "Do Elections Moderate or Polarize Political Rhetoric?"

Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

2 months ago 5 2 0 0

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Ignacio Jurado (@jurado.bsky.social) on "Losing Elections: Democratic Consent and Illiberal Attitudes in Polarized Contexts".

Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

2 months ago 7 2 0 1

Many people think crypto is a scam. Why is it not more heavily regulated? We look at attitudes after the FTX scandal, showing that scandal coverage differed between left and right media. Conservatives who got their news from the left (eg NYT), and vice versa, wound up more moderate. Media matters. 👇

2 months ago 20 4 1 0
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Yet another data point supporting the view that there is change afoot in the global financial system.

I know it's trite, but this is all "how to dismantle a reserve currency."

The dollar as the go-to haven in times of crisis, well, that appears (again) to be shaky.

1/

2 months ago 130 52 2 9
The British Academy
CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR
INTERNATIONAL PEACE
Global (Dis)Order international policy programme
The US dollar system as a source of international disorder
Daniel Davies, Frontline Analysts and Henry Farrell, John Hopkins University

The British Academy CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE Global (Dis)Order international policy programme The US dollar system as a source of international disorder Daniel Davies, Frontline Analysts and Henry Farrell, John Hopkins University

The second paper is by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social and @himself.bsky.social. It shows how dollar centrality was weaponised by the US to help maintain order but is now plausibly undermining it. Great topical read on some of the underlying faultlines
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/documents/60...

3 months ago 9 4 1 0
Interested in using AI in RStudio? Let us know. We’re working hard to bring more AI capabilities to RStudio. If you’re interested in learning more about what’s coming, including early access to help test new capabilities, join our waitlist.

We're hard at work on new AI tools for RStudio that will support EDA and we hope generally accelerate data science. If you're interested in trying them out, join the private beta waitlist for a sneak peek: posit.co/products/ai/ #rstats

3 months ago 40 9 2 0

This is required reading – like everything else that @danielmcdowell.bsky.social writes on the topic.

3 months ago 10 3 1 0
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The Old World Order is Dead Unipolarity was given, not taken

It is even worse than it looks

3 months ago 1044 309 50 101
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‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apart Sting and his former bandmates go to the high court over a royalties dispute this week – the latest chapter in the song’s remarkably fractious story

‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apart

3 months ago 71 11 10 8
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The Age of Academic Slop is Upon Us what happens when AI automates "normal science"?

I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts.
open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...

3 months ago 659 282 25 60

This graph is shocking.

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Ótimo texto do Marcos Lisboa sobre o Master:
www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/marc...

3 months ago 4 1 0 0

This is an interesting paper.

I continue to sense that we as a field have concluded, either you have an identification strategy as defined here, or you don’t have a valid causal claim. And that is really not true.

4 months ago 45 15 3 1
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"The Credibility Revolution in Political Science"

osf.io/preprints/so...

4 months ago 35 14 5 2

🤦🏻‍♂️

4 months ago 1 0 0 0
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The Making of International Status Abstract. With great power rivalry on the rise again, many worry that struggles for status among states could lead to war. As a growing consensus indicates

Ever wondered why some countries get recognition while others struggle to be seen?

My book 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘔𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘰𝘧 𝘐𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘴 is finally out in the world!

📘 academic.oup.com/book/61560

5 months ago 30 14 3 6
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This is wild!

Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.

4 months ago 73 24 3 0