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Posts by One Percenters

Cheers, Mick! Really appreciate it.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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Every Road Led Here Thoughts on a bumper docket at footy court and the AFL’s path dependency.

In case you have room for one more take on Zak Butters or Lance Collard, I wrote about their cases, the search for truth, and how good intentions create consequences.

www.onepercenters.net.au/p/every-road...

1 week ago 4 1 1 1
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Empire of the Son Utopian thoughts on why, instead of layering one compromise over another, the AFL should do something brave but unpopular.

The impending changes to draft bidding have prompted me to write a piece that's been on my mind for months.

The father-son rule might be romantic. But it's incompatible with a fair competition. The AFL shouldn't tinker with it. It should abolish it.

www.onepercenters.net.au/p/empire-of-...

2 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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Pulling on the strings Thoughts on early season hamstring injuries and the Dogs' new defensive tricks.

I tried to figure out how worried we should be about the spike in hamstring injuries, analysed the Dogs' new defensive strategy, made a few graphs, and found some stats.

www.onepercenters.net.au/p/pulling-on...

4 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

We're about to buy a new TV, and to a degree that's larger than I'd have hoped or expected, my half of the decision will be guided by how well the TV pairs with Kayo!

4 weeks ago 0 0 1 0
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The Buffering Wheel Why Kayo feels so bad.

I wrote about Kayo, and why something which was meant to make things easier feels so hard.

www.onepercenters.net.au/p/the-buffer...

4 weeks ago 7 2 4 0

Cheers Tony, much appreciated!

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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Has the AFL broken footy? Thoughts on balance, pluralism, and the AFL's role in maintaining both.

I was feeling polemical, so for this week's review, I articulated my worries about the effect of the recent set of rule changes.

That, plus clips, graphs, statistical nuggets, and recommended reading from friends of the newsletter.

www.onepercenters.net.au/p/has-the-af...

1 month ago 1 1 1 1
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How the Swans opened the floodgates Speed, fatigue, graphs, and other early trends in the first weekly review of 2026.

My first weekly review of the season – in an all-new, hopefully improved format.

I look at how the Swans breached the blue dam wall, Collingwood's records in games with big i50 discrepancies, and more.

Tell me what you think works, doesn't, etc.

www.onepercenters.net.au/p/how-the-sw...

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: West Coast It can't go on like this, can it? [Mick McCarthy voice] It can.

The headline is 1-22.

The subhead is that, in 2025, the Eagles finally chose a direction.

A new coach, a new style, a young list learning in public.

They're still miles away from competence.

But they're going somewhere.

My West Coast season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Western Bulldogs The thing about the Dogs is they always try to walk it in.

Dominant. Fragile. Explosive. Exposed.

No side frustrates and fascinates quite like the Dogs.

Is this finally the year their brilliance finally scales against good teams?

Or is the tension unresolvable?

My Western Bulldogs season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Sydney Swans can't fly without their best wing.

Dean Cox's first season in charge was derailed by bad injuries to very good players.

When those players returned – the Swans looked more like their old selves.

Then they traded in Charlie Curnow.

What's their ceiling in 2026?

My Sydney season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: St Kilda Freed from (the) Nasiah (speculation) (for a bit).

For too long, clubs like St Kilda were supposed to stick to the script.

Draft, hope, contend for a bit, slide back down the ladder.

They weren't meant to bother anyone.

The Saints have chosen a different path.

Will it work?

My St Kilda season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 3 0 0 1
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Richmond Investigating the fate of the life-sized camel.

Many people thought the Tigers might not win a game all season.

Instead, they won their very first game, beat Damien Hardwick, and won interstate.

Year one of the rebuild went very well.

What does year two have in store?

My Richmond season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 3 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Port Adelaide Pouring out one last Pepsi Max for Ken.

It didn't always seem clear who was in charge at Alberton last year.

Now Josh Carr is the boss.

He’ll shape the game plan and the list to get Port back into contention.

But the biggest decision may be out of his hands.

My Port 2026 season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Thanks very much, Pete. Can't say I'm optimistic, but if it's going to get better, it needs to start in that first month.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: North Melbourne Match sim? What's a match sim?

I was there the day thousands of North fans felt something they hadn't in years: belief.

But the light at the end of the tunnel turned out to be a false dawn.

Is there any realistic prospect of improvement this season?

My North Melbourne season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

Many thanks to @credittodubois.com for his help with this one.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Melbourne Steven King begins The Long Walk. Let's hope it doesn't end in Misery.

Great eras end before anyone is ready.

Melbourne’s ended noisily and publicly.

Simon Goodwin, Christian Petracca, and Clayton Oliver are all gone.

In their place is a new coach, a new style, new hope – and a new era.

My 2026 Melbourne season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

1 month ago 4 0 1 0

My pleasure! Thanks for reading.

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

Cheers, Ben! Much appreciated.

2 months ago 1 0 1 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Hawthorn Willing Will Day to be OK.

The Hawks are good.

But good isn't enough these days.

How can they become great – especially when there are such big question marks over the health of their best player?

My 2026 Hawthorn season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 5 2 0 1
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Greater Western Sydney A big, big sound (of disbelief as you read the injury report).

The Giants entered 2025 as many people's flag favourites but exited in the first week of finals.

This pre-season, they've been whacked by the injury stick.

Can they still contend – or should Adam Kingsley look to the future?

My GWS 2026 season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Gold Coast A good old-fashioned underdog story.

In 2026, the Suns did three things they'd never done before: have a winning season, make finals, and win one.

Now, with a Norm Smith medallist, a former #1 pick, and a list bursting with talent, their challenge is to contend.

My Gold Coast 2026 preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Geelong This preview is [not] sponsored by Morris Finance.

Geelong remain Geelong.

Steady, relentless, inevitable.

Every year, they're close to the best.

What about this year?

My Geelong 2026 season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 3 0 2 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Fremantle Justin, the handbrake is still on, mate.

The Dockers are very good – and this might be the best list they've ever had.

The problem is, they're not quite as good as they should be.

How can Justin Longmuir improve them by enough to make them real contenders?

My 2026 Fremantle season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Essendon Lots of pain – how much gain?

Unhappy Essendon seasons tend to each be unhappy in their own way.

2025 was wrecked by injuries and the captain trying to leave.

But destruction can be the beginning of creation.

My 2026 Essendon season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 2 0 0 1

The Pies were top of the ladder for longer than any other side in 2025.

Ultimately, they weren't the best team – but it took the best team to beat them.

What does 2026 have in store?

My 2026 Collingwood season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 2 0 0 1
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Carlton The Blues lived up to their name.

The Blues thought they were climbing to the mountaintop.

Instead, they lost their grip.

How far did they fall, and how do they start the climb back up?

My 2026 Carlton season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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2026 AFL Season Previews: Brisbane The kings of the jungle roar again.

2000s revivalism is everywhere right now: low-rise jeans, mall culture aesthetics, pop-punk, and Brisbane Lions dynasties.

My 2026 Brisbane season preview: www.onepercenters.net.au/p/2026-afl-s...

2 months ago 4 0 0 0