How conspiracy theories entered the mainstream in Spain Conspiracy theories have become mainstream in Spain, with actors on both left and right adopting conspiracy narratives for short-term political advantage.

How conspiracy theories entered the mainstream in Spain

✍ @josejavierolivas.bsky.social @maikherold.bsky.social & Felix Hormig @forum-midem.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...

🚨 Very happy to see this article on the 𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗼𝗹𝗼𝗴𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝗕𝗦𝗪 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗪𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝘆 published in German Politics (with @cyrillotteni.bsky.social). 👇

Who Believes in the “Great Replacement”? Political Attitudes and Democratic Alienation Among Supporters of Immigration‐Related Conspiracy Theories in Europe Objective This paper investigates how belief in the Great Replacement myth (GRM) is associated with individual political attitudes, ideological positions, and indicators of political alienation. M...

🚨Who believes in the “Great Replacement”? In my latest article in 𝘚𝘰𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘤𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘘𝘶𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘭𝘺, I show that those who subscribe to this conspiracy theory are much more politically diverse than commonly assumed, and that their endorsement cannot always be explained by extreme political ideologies. 👇

🚨New preprint online! We looked at the AfD and BSW in Thuringia during the 2024 state elections. Big question: could BSW actually pull voters away from the AfD? osf.io/preprints/os... 🗳️ 1/3

Excited to co-organize this workshop in my old home, Florence! Together with a.o. @lenkadrazanova.bsky.social @maikherold.bsky.social @yuliala.bsky.social, we’ll address key migration questions: policy shifts, polarization, and the situation of Ukrainian refugees

Join us on-site or tune in online!

FGZ Datenmonitor 2025#1: Spaltet die AfD die Gesellschaft? Eine Regionalanalyse gruppenbezogener Sympathien auf Basis des German Social Cohesion Panel (SCP) Eine aktuelle Analyse des German Social Cohesion Panel (SCP) untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen regionalen Erfolgen der AfD und Sympathien gegenüber gesellschaftlichen Gruppen. Dabei zeigt sich deut...

📊 Neue Studie
Wo die AfD stark ist, sind Abwertungen und Spaltungen innerhalb der Gesellschaft ausgeprägt - und zwar in der gesamten Bevölkerung, nicht nur bei AfD-Wähler:innen. Basis: Repräsentative Befragung von 15.000 Menschen.
Mehr im Datenmonitor ⬇️
fgzrisc.hypotheses.org/5568
#Gesellschaft

Practices of (De)Legitimation in World Politics Abstract. This forum proposes a practice-oriented approach to (de)legitimation processes in world politics. Drawing on international practice theory and vi

🥁 New publication - Forum article on practices of (de)legitimation in world politics in International Studies Review @isanet.bsky.social Might be interesting for IR scholars interested in the practice turn, visuality, the body, emotions & new forms of communication!
academic.oup.com/isr/article-...

📢I'm happy to share my 𝗻𝗲𝘄 𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗹𝗲 "The impact of conspiracy belief on democratic culture", which examines how belief in conspiracies is related to democratic attitudes and preferred forms of political participation published in @misinforeview.bsky.social.

@dvpw @AnnaKurella @HartlandAlex @ortutt @StefanChristoph @verbalyte @M_Filsinger @ECPR_AffPol

@ForumMIDEM

Today is the last day of the @dvpw 2024 and finally it's “Affective Polarization Day!” In two panels we will have great papers presented by Mahmoud Farag, @AnnaKurella, @HartlandAlex, @ortutt, @StefanChristoph, @verbalyte, @M_Filsinger and Felix Jäger

#dvpw2024 @ECPR_AffPol

Read the full study here (in German): 👇

forum-midem.de/wp-content/uploads/2024/...

@Felix_Hormig | @StSchaeller | @ForumMIDEM | @tudresden_de | @GSW_TUDresden

On the other hand, we find that the more sparsely populated a municipality is and the farther away it is from a major urban centre, the better the AfD's electoral performance. The same is true for places with lower quality and availability of local public services. (3/3)

We find significant correlations not with current, but with past unemployment rates: In municipalities where many people were unemployed in 2001, the AfD vote share is higher today, while the BSW vote share is lower. (2/3)

The elections in Saxony and Thuringia have shifted Germany's political landscape further to the right. In our recent study, we used structural data at the municipal level to test the influence of various socio-demographic and socio-economic factors on the election outcome. (1/3)

👇

link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41358-0...

Vor den #ltw2024 in #Sachsen lohnt sich ein Blick auf die Eigenheiten der sächs. polit. Kultur: Etwa, dass Politik- und Demokratieverdruss weniger in ländl. Regionen, sondern v.a. in den 'Mittelzentren' stark ist. Vgl. unseren Beitrag in @ZPol_journal:...

👇
www.courthousenews.com/germanys-new-populist-pa...

I had a chance to talk to @braneck about Germany's new @Buendnis_SahraW (BSW) party and its recent success in the European elections. His insightful report for @CourthouseNews can be found here....

@ForumMIDEM Further research on #BSW by us and others will follow: @CW_PoWi, @jpthomeczek, @SarahWagnerPhD, @Julius_Ktxt, @NilsSteiner, @ZoeLefkofridi, @MarkusWagnerAT, @JRob0922, @mhansenphd, @JeremyCliffe, @AdrianPabst1, @Buendnis_SahraW

@ForumMIDEM Overall, not only AfD (and #Linke ), but also SPD and CDU are likely to be affected by possible BSW vote gains.

On the other hand, ideological convergences of its supporter bases might pave the way for possible political alliances between BSW and SPD/CDU. (5/5)

@ForumMIDEM Does the BSW have the potential to significantly weaken the AfD?

We are rather skeptical. A rivalry between BSW and AfD arises primarily with regard to politically disillusioned voter groups, especially in eastern Germany. (4/5)

(3/5)

@ForumMIDEM Overall, in terms of their socio-econ. left-right orientation, BSW supporters are close to voters of the social democratic SPD, while regarding their socio-cult. views they are most similar to supporters of the CDU/CSU. Rather large is the ideolog. distance to the Linke....

Based on new survey data from @ForumMIDEM, we analyzed polit. positions of BSW supporters.

We found that, on average, BSW supporters can indeed be considered "left-conservative" even if the econ. left-orient. is more decisive than the cult. position for BSW affinity. (2/5)

📢*New Preprint* with @CyrillOtteni:
Who supports Bündnis Sahra #Wagenknecht?

Our research on #BSW and its impact on the political landscape in #Germany is now available at:

https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/7agyu

In a nutshell, here are some of our results: 👇(1/5🧵)

… with excellent contributions by @NaamaRivlin, @ofirwinter, @BeniSabti, @IsmiFallah, @link_morr, @sebalthoff and many others ...

Today is the third day of our workshop on #hate, its foundations, contexts, and variants - like #extremism and #antisemitism, by @tudresden_de @GSW_TUDresden @ForumMIDEM @TelAvivUni & @GifResearch. Looking forward to a continuation of the last days' great presentations & debates!

What is the relation btw. democratic backsliding and the popularity of conspiracy theories? How does polarization impact this relation? Find some answers at #CESConf in #Reykjavík today where I present a paper about #conspiracy belief in EU. @CES_Europe @ForumMIDEM @tudresden_de

www.campus.de/buecher-campus-verlag/wi...