A reform landslide against a hopelessly divided opposition
Posts by Matthew Keane
Im in the same boat....I just keep hopeing he can turn it around but I know hes probably fucked.
I just want someone to beat Reform.
He's done...it could be a slow death. Probably a 70% chance he be PM in 6 months and a 30% this time next year
Who could possibly have imagined the broadcast and print media which so breathlessly reported rises in small boat arrivals last year would fail to report the much lower number this year? I have to admit I’m shocked. 😇
I mean I, as a middle aged man, would find it difficult to be in a relationship, or even a close friendship, with some who thought Trump was great because it would tell me a lot about their character!
Disney's new CEO, whose pay package is worth nearly $45M, just announced 1,000 layoffs.
Reminder that Disney paid an effective federal income tax rate of ZERO in 2025 and aims to buy back $7B of its own stock in 2026.
This is what corporate greed looks like.
He is toast but the question is when really.
Note how he doesn't just define himself against an enemy but personifies the enemy by naming Ken Griffin and how much he paid for his penthouse.
This is how to create definition about what you stand for.
The McSweeney strategy - which was always meant to be judged by its ability to maintain public support - is a complete and utter failure, remarkably so, and that fact should be drilled into Labour's consciousness as a warning to the future.
If only someone, anyone, from local government or any one of quite a roomful of MPs from across the country could have warned the party four or more years ago about this….. 🤦🏽♀️🧘🏽♀️
Your Party SURGE
I suspect that had Labour not contrived to lose so many voters to the Greens and LDs over the past year that they would now be ahead of Reform in the polls, with the Conservatives not too far behind. Which would rather alter the tenor of press coverage compared to when Reform continue to lead.
As I noted yesterday, if Labour had not lost so many votes to the Greens and Lib Dems they would be AHEAD of Reform in the polling and the narrative would look extremely different. I also suspect May will be Reform's ultimate peak in electoral success. But will Labour now be the beneficiaries?
An essex grammar school would be my idea of hell
I have a solution: abolish grammars.
22 Short Films About Springfield first aired on 14th April 1996, making Steamed Hams thirty years old today.
Gout Gout, 18, breaks Usain Bolt's under-18 200m record with 19.67 seconds - Australian sprinter from Brisbane is the new fastest teen on Earth
This won't be a suprise to anyone whose ever dealt with political correspondence.
Plenty of people want to pull up the drawbridge
Every once in a while, I like to watch this video clip of Joe Biden comforting a grieving Parkland family to remind myself what compassionate leadership looks like.
This is the stuff I truly miss.
Margin of error change...
There is a reason why Reform try to keep an distance
A few Terfs in the Times?
Putting the awfulness of this aside... I genuinely dont understand who this is supposed to appeal to and why theyve made it so clear.
The number of people who this is highly salient to is <5%, most of whom won't ever vote Labour. Its division for divisions sake
Watch very carefully for who in the UK does not accept Orbán has lost - even if they're "just asking questions". It will be a clear demonstration of their belief in democracy.
The meltdown on X over the Hungarian election result is a sight to behold. Joyous.
Australian Energy Producers CEO Samantha McCulloch, who told the senate once that we couldn't count the gas going out of Gladstone as part of Australia's supply because it was only meant for export now says we can't tax gas exports.
The absolute hide of it.
www.afr.com/politics/fed...
Some thoughts
1. Populism is not inevitable
2. Neither is liberalism
3. Electorates punish poor performance
4. International circumstances matter
5. Avoid over-determinism
oh god oh fuck I took the metro to the Tisza rally and all these kids POURED OUT of the train at the stop and started running up the escalators chanting, and briefly held hands with the older people leaving the rally and going down on the escalator, and I think I may actually just cry