In “Has Generational Progress Stalled?” Kevin Corinth & @jefflarrimore.bsky.social assess whether younger generations are experiencing slower income growth relative to prior generations. They find that "generational progress has slowed, except for Millennials." read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
“Genes Linked to Educational Attainment & Adult SES Across Birth Cohorts”: @hdobewall.bsky.social, @mariavaalavuo.bsky.social et al. examine whether genetic endowment for high education is assoc. with subsequent socioeconomic outcomes. @invest-flagship.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
“Infant Mortality Expectation & Fertility Behavior in Rural Malawi”: A. Delavande, H-P. Kohler & A. Vergili employ MLSFH data to examine the causal link between “subjective expectations about community-level infant mortality & fertility.” read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Impaired Cognitive & Behavioral Functioning in Childhood & Economic Outcomes in Adulthood,” Corman, Noonan & Reichman show that children who test poorly are less likely to graduate HS or be employed & have lower earnings. @princetonecon.bsky.social @nber.org read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
The new FY27 budget plans for NSF to dismantle the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences (SBE) Directorate in FY 2027. Attend this webinar tomorrow (Tuesday, 4/14, 1pm ET) to see how you can help stop and protect the SBE.
“Can Incorporating Parity Improve Reliability of Completed Cohort Fertility Projections?”: Ellison, Bijak & Dodd offer the 1st integrated methodological framework for producing fertility projections by parity. @unisouthampton.bsky.social @oxforddemsci.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Decoupled?: The Persistent Relevance of Marriage for Childbearing in the 2010s,” Kristen Burke of UCF crunches 2006-2023 ACS data & shows that the marital birth rate “has remained remarkably stable” & even increased among inds w/ less than a bachelor’s degree. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Blurring the Marriage Market? Contemporary Patterns of Multiracial Marriage,” @aarongullickson.bsky.social & J. Bratter find that “shared Black ancestry is the most predictive of union formation” and shared Indigenous ancestry the least. @uoregon.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
“170 Years of Change in Living Arrangements”: @gfloridi.bsky.social & A. Esteve explore the role of mortality decline over time & encourage social scientists to consider how extended life spans can shape arrangements. @uoe-sps.bsky.social @cedemografia.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
Click the link to read the New York Times article based on research published in @readdemography.bsky.social by @vanhookjenny.bsky.social and @nicolekreisberg.bsky.social. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/u...
“Causal Effects of Education on Marriage & Fertility”: In a quasi-experimental study involving a zodiac superstition, Rong Fu et al. find that “increased educational opportunities lead to modest delays in marriage & motherhood w/o increasing lifelong singlehood.” read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
As #scotus hears arguments on #birthrightcitizenship today, I put together a video explaining my research with Jenny Van Hook @readdemography.bsky.social. That work is now featured in the @nytimes.com tinyurl.com/3r4cum44
New study from @pop.psu.edu Director, Jenny Van Hook, shows dramatic aging of the undocumented immigrant population. Nearly half of undocumented Asians and more than one in five undocumented Mexicans are aged 50 or older, raising the uncertainty of aging in United States. buff.ly/jJzBdfU
For more information, follow @usmigrationmetrics.bsky.social to get updates on the website and on upcoming research published in @readdemography.bsky.social by Jenny Van Hook and @nicolekreisberg.bsky.social.
In the just-up “Ending Birthright Citizenship,” @vanhookjenny.bsky.social & @nicolekreisberg.bsky.social determined that Latinos would account for ~80% of “unauthorized” births & Asians would experience the greatest relative impact of the Exec Order. @pop.psu.edu read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In Vol. 63, Issue 1: Ten articles & seven notes, covering antibiotic pollution & infant mortality, the cumulative risk of criminalization, the demographic potential of polygyny, the earnings of unauthorized immigrants, predicting individual-level longevity & more. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/i...
In “Fertility Outcomes of Adult Children With Divorced Parents,” S. Palmaccio, @denimazrekaj.bsky.social & @kristofdewitte.bsky.social find that inds. from divorced families have kids earlier but have lower completed fertility. @ox.ac.uk @ununiversity.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
“Cumulative Exposure to Exclusionary Zoning in Impoverished Neighborhoods”: Matt Mleczko uses NZLUD data & land use/zoning data to assess, via MSMs, the impact of exclusionary zoning, finding that it is associated with ↑ material hardship for renting households. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Social Context of Spatial Choice: Activity Locations & Residential Segregation,” @ashitakarl.bsky.social et al. use transportation surveys, admin data & big data to examine “the role of segregation clusters as an important social context in mobility patterns.” read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
“More Education & Fewer Children?”: Beck @juliahellstrand.bsky.social & Myrskyla assess how educ. enrollment/attainment contributed to fertility in Norway, finding that fertility decline is mainly linked to behavioral change. @pophel.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Cohort Prevalence Estimates Are Sensitive to Prebaseline Mortality,” Molly Rosenberg et al. show that “prebaseline mortality patterns can meaningfully impact health outcome measures in cohort studies” & so represent a potential source of bias. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
@jeinhoff.bsky.social estimates working life expectancy & working years lost to retirement, unemployment & inactivity for cohorts aged 55-64 & 65-74 across 21 European countries, finding that WLE has risen & WYL has fallen in most nations. @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
Andres Villarreal & Christopher Tamborini, in “Earnings Assimilation of Unauthorized Immigrants,” present a new method that links CPS/ASEC data & Social Security records to compare the earnings trajectories of unauthorized and authorized Hispanic immigrants. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Limits of Predicting Individual-Level Longevity,” Badolato et al. assess a range of classic statistical & machine learning survival analysis models. @nickirons.bsky.social @monjalexander.bsky.social @ugobas.bsky.social @ezagheni.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
“Cumulative Risk of Criminalization”: Using 25 yrs of criminal records, @lbing.bsky.social looks at risk to age 24 across 1971-1995 cohorts, finding subfelony criminalization to be far more prevalent than felony involvement, esp. for women. @ualberta.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Late-Life Family & Living Arrangements,” Wang, Zhang & @dremmazang.bsky.social employ a Bayesian multistate life table approach to examine racial/ethnic diffs in marital status & living arrangements in later life. @yalejackson.bsky.social @um-psc.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
Chin & Miller, in “Health, Wealth & Racial Welfare Gaps Among Older Americans,” find that much of the gap is determined by age 60 initial conditions & suggest that policies to close “gaps in late life may be more efficient if targeted earlier in the life cycle." read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “Antibiotic Pollution & Infant Mortality in India,” Christelle Dumas et al. report a 16% increase in mean infant mortality within the 1st year among infants born in a rural area with a river—or about 17,000 additional deaths per year. @unifr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
In “The Demographic Potential of Polygyny,” Pesando evaluates “the suitability of a simple indicator—gamma—to measure the demographic potential of polygyny in the context of sub-Saharan Africa” & considers related applications & directions in demographic research. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
“Mothers & Maternal Grandmothers Kept Children Alive During Slavery”: Rosenbaum-Feldbrügge et al find that mothers’ presence was most imp. determinant of survival, esp. before 18 months--bringing needed research attention to the demography of enslaved populations. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
