如果中国确实向伊朗提供武器 这对中东战事意味着什么？ 分析认为，尽管目前尚无中国直接向伊朗提供武器的确凿公开证据，但这种可能性不能排除。“从战略上看，中国完全可能向伊朗提供这些武器，但如果发生，很可能会以谨慎、可否认的方式进行，而非公开操作。”

www.abc.net.au/chinese/2026... Interviewed by ABC on Beijing’s potential role in the current US-Iran War.

如果中国确实向伊朗提供武器 这对中东战事意味着什么？ 分析认为，尽管目前尚无中国直接向伊朗提供武器的确凿公开证据，但这种可能性不能排除。“从战略上看，中国完全可能向伊朗提供这些武器，但如果发生，很可能会以谨慎、可否认的方式进行，而非公开操作。”

www.abc.net.au/chinese/2026... Interviewed by ABC on Beijing’s potential role in the current US-Iran War.

美国封锁霍尔木兹 澳洲能源安全何去何从？ 美国对霍尔木兹海峡实施封锁，中东冲突升级？点击音频收听专家分析。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... I spoke with SBS Mandarin today about Australia’s energy security in the context of the Trump’s Iran war, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and Australia’s future policy options.

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... Pleased to join Prof Fengshi Wu for an Special Broadcasting Service (SBS) Australia Mandarin interview. Thanks for the opportunity to discuss US–Iran mediation dynamics, with a focus on Pakistan’s role and its limits.

www.elgaronline.com/edcollchap/b... Pleased to contribute a chapter with Jingdong Yuan on Beijing’s wedge strategies toward South Korea in The US–China Rivalry: Domestic Dynamics, Competition and Implications. Many thanks to Kevin Cai for the kind invitation.

【观点】一国党突破、自由党失利：南澳选举释放哪些信号？ 在上周末举行的南澳州选举中，工党轻松连任，自由党遭遇重挫，一国党取得重大突破。这一结果释放了怎样的政治信号？（点击收听）

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... Interviewed by SBS Mandarin on the performance of One Nation in the South Australian election.

【观点】澳洲向海湾国家提供军事援助：会被拖入中东冲突吗？ 本周二，澳大利亚政府已经确认，将向阿拉伯联合酋长国提供军事援助，协助遭受伊朗导弹和无人机袭击的海湾国家进行所谓“集体自卫”。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... In my interview with SBS Mandarin, I discuss Australia’s decision to send an aircraft and air-to-air missiles to the Gulf to ‘protect and defend’ civilians, alongside the government’s decision to grant visas to Iranian soccer players.

【观点】伊斯兰国关联人员返澳争议升温：安全与公民权如何取舍？ 近日，围绕是否应允许与极端组织“伊斯兰国”有关联的澳大利亚妇女和儿童回国的争议，成为政治焦点（点击收听）。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... The debate in Australia over whether to repatriate ISIS-linked citizens currently held in Syria continues to generate strong political and public reactions. I was interviewed by SBS Mandarin on this.

【观点】以色列总统访澳：慰问之行还是战略考量？ 以色列总统赫尔佐格访澳是安抚了澳洲犹太社区还是可能带来更多社会对立？点击音频听专家分析。

I recently spoke with SBS Mandarin about Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s Australia visit and its broader diplomatic context. www.sbs.com.au/language/chi...

【观点】特朗普“和平委员会”：“迷你联合国”能取代联合国吗？ 美国总统特朗普于1月15日宣布成立“和平委员会”（Board of Peace），并在1月22日于瑞士达沃斯签署相关启动文件。它是否会削弱联合国权威？（点击收听）

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... My interview with SBS Mandarin on whether the ‘Board of Peace’ could become a new UN and why my answer is no.

【观点】一国党支持率增长三倍 新民调释放了什么信号？ 最近几天，一项最新全国民调在澳大利亚政坛引发广泛关注。一国党支持率在短时间内大幅攀升，较上届联邦大选几乎增长了三倍。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... My interview with SBS Mandarin on One Nation’s popularity and the latest ‘polling’.

【分析】全球百大军火商营收破1万亿澳元 澳洲政治学者刘旻然博士分析了报告中提到的亚太地区的武器销售状况。（点击音频收听详细采访）

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... I was recently interviewed by SBS Mandarin to comment on a new SIPRI report showing that global arms sales reached a record US$679 billion (around A$1 trillion) last year.

【观点】从“台湾有事”到外交反制：学者如何解读中日紧张升级？ 日本首相高市早苗近日发表“台湾有事论”，引发北京多项反制，中日紧张关系升温。“台湾有事论”为何触动中国敏感神经？点击音频，收听学者评析。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... My recent interview, alongside Guangyi Pan, discussed the escalating tensions between China and Japan following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s recent comments on Taiwan.

Trump Xi meeting wraps up in South Korea Follow the latest news headlines from Australia's most trusted source. Read in-depth expert analysis and watch live coverage on ABC News.

I spoke with ABC Radio about the just-concluded meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...

【观点】中美贸易谈判达成初步框架 是否意味着双方关系缓和？ 上周日，中美就贸易问题达成了“初步框架”，这意味着什么？中美领导人即将会面对澳洲来说意味着什么？（点击播客，收听采访）

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... My interview with SBS Chinese this morning on the upcoming Trump–Xi meeting.

【观点】澳美签署关键矿产协议 澳中关系会受影响吗？ 澳大利亚总理阿尔巴尼斯在白宫与总统特朗普举行会晤，双方签署了一项价值85亿美元的稀土矿产合作协议。澳中关系会因此受到影响吗？点击收听。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... I spoke with SBS Chinese today about the implications of PM Albanese’s meeting with Trump. Touched on rare earths, AUKUS, tariffs, and it’s implications on the Sino-Australian relationship.

【观点】澳洲正式承认巴勒斯坦国 澳美关系会恶化？ 昆士兰大学政治学与国际研究讲师刘旻然博士表示：“美国对其盟友的影响力正在下降。”

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... Being interviewed by SBS Chinese on Australia’s recognition of Palestine. I spoke about the political context and its potential domestic and international implications.

State Identity Politics and the Making of East Asia: Perspectives from China and Japan East Asia is shaped as much by identity-based dynamics as by material forces. This book examines how the evolving state identities of China and Japan have interacted with the regional order and its pr...

www.routledge.com/State-Identi... I am very pleased to share that my book, State Identity Politics and the Making of East Asia: Perspectives from China and Japan, will soon be out with Routledge.

【分析】澳总理出访太平洋岛国 国防条约是否将包含排他性条款 澳洲政治学者刘旻然博士分析认为，太平洋岛国关注的是自身作为主权国的利益，他们中的大多数不会欢迎排他性的条款。（点击音频收听详细内容）

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... My interview with SBS Chinese on Australia and PNG’s defense deal, discussing questions of exclusivity and the South Pacific nations’ emphasis on non-traditional security issues.

【观点】特朗普盟友柯克遇刺身亡 政治暴力撕裂美式民主？ 美国知名保守派活动人士，特朗普的政治盟友查理‧柯克，在犹他山谷大学演讲时遭枪击身亡，引发舆论震动。点击音频，收听昆士兰大学政治学与国际研究讲师刘旻然博士就这一事件的影响带来相关评析。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... Had an interview this morning with SBS Chinese for a feature on the fatal shooting of Charlie Kirk at an event in Utah. I emphasised, among other points, my opposition to the use of violence.

NEW #openaccess Article: published in International Affairs: 'Competing or complementary: Chinese loans and international bonds in Sri Lanka's default', co-authored with Umesh Moramudali. academic.oup.com/ia/article/1... 1/

【观点】“领土交换”不会给乌克兰带来真正安全？ 乌、美、俄三方会谈一旦实现，乌克兰的话语权有多少？

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... Interviewed by SBS Chinese on the Trump–Zelensky meeting.

Thank you Seb, and to all colleagues for the excellent questions and comments, and to Matt for his outstanding chairing, as always!

#BISA2025 keynote: Professor Roland Bleiker - Seeing and sensing world politics YouTube video by MyBISA

Here a video of my keynote at the recent 50th Anniversary #BISA2025 conference in Belfast. I am more writer than speaker, so this was a challenge. But I am grateful for the invitation and glad I did it for - and with - Emma Hutchison. www.youtube.com/watch?v=CBWg...

【观点】美国威胁将对澳洲在内等国家提高关税 我们应如何看待？ 澳洲政府此前宣布放宽对美国牛肉的进口限制，被外界认为是一种“善意信号”，但本周早些时候特朗普威胁对包括澳大利亚在内等200余个国家的关税上涨至15%-20%（点击音频，收听完整报道）。

www.sbs.com.au/language/chi... I was interviewed by SBS Chinese to discuss Trump’s threat to raise tariffs on over 200 countries, including Australia. We explored the potential implications for trade, AUS-US relations, and Australia’s economic strategy moving forward.

I remember I took a picture at the same spot. haha. See you soon!

Our article presents a counterintuitive argument: this shift is not a departure from the past, but in part a reaction to it—driven by China’s long-held Peaceful Riser identity.

We hope you find the piece interesting. This is an open-access article.

Imagined Weakness: The peaceful riser identity and Beijing’s policy overcorrection in the South China Sea Abstract. This article investigates why Beijing’s South China Sea (SCS) policy has become predominantly coercive under Xi Jinping. It argues that an identi

academic.oup.com/irap/article... I’m very pleased to share my latest publication, co-authored with Edward Sing Yue Chan, in which we examine why Beijing’s South China Sea policy has become increasingly coercive.

Interviewed by 10 News about the Talisman Sabre training exercise. This is the short version; unfortunately, the full version is behind a paywall... m.youtube.com/watch?v=xReF...

Rubio hails talks with Wang Yi, says 'there's work to be done' | East Asia Tonight (Jul 11) YouTube video by CNA

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mkm6...