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Posts by Calvin Lai

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The Inside Story of Five Days That Remade the Supreme Court

WOW: Jodi Kantor & Adam Liptak have the memos that describe the origins of SCOTUS shadow docket - the 2016 order halting Obama’s Clean Power Plan @jodikantor.bsky.social @adamliptak.bsky.social @nytimes.com

www.nytimes.com/2026/04/18/u...

3 days ago 1921 743 54 122
An image of the article "Desistance": A Multimethod Review of the Literature on Gender Identity Variability in Transgender and Gender Diverse Youth

An image of the article "Desistance": A Multimethod Review of the Literature on Gender Identity Variability in Transgender and Gender Diverse Youth

New publication alert! After four years of analysis, synthesis, and careful writing, I am pleased to announce a brand-new article, “Desistance”: A Multimethod Review of the Literature on Gender Identity Variability in Transgender and Gender Diverse Youth (1) 🧵
psycnet.apa.org/record/2027-...

6 days ago 54 25 1 8

At its core, the political economy of scholarship was never supposed to rely on ~$50k from a smelting fortune. Institutions have hollowed out their support, the feds have done the same, and all that's left is inadequate private funding.

6 days ago 428 126 3 8
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Currently in FirstView: In “From Faces to Politics: Vision-Language Models (Sometimes) Link Visual Demographic Characteristics to Ideological Labels,” S. Jeon, M. Lee, @jacobmontgomery.bsky.social, and @calvinklai.bsky.social ask how models use demographics as shortcuts for ideological attribution.

5 days ago 3 2 1 0
Research Assistant 2026.pdf

The Deconstructing Intergroup Social Cognition (DISCO) Lab is hiring a full-time lab coordinator! 🚨🚨🚨 Come work with us at Boston College. Interested in applying?

Start date: August 1st, 2026
Apply here: drive.google.com/file/u/2/d/1...

1 week ago 7 7 1 0

97% (positive results) vs 80%(null results) chance of reviewer recommending acceptance

1 week ago 14 5 0 0
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Each year, people speak 338 less words per day (on average). These effects accumulate. In 2019, people were speaking 28% less words each day than in 2005 (!).

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

1 week ago 42 20 6 6
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Predicting relationship quality with itself? A single general factor captures most of the variance across 34 common relationship measures In relationship science, researchers have generated a wide array of constructs and corresponding self-report measures to characterize, explain, and predict relationship quality – the foremost studied ...

New paper, out this week in PLOS One, suggests that most close relationship self-report measures are primarily capturing relationship quality 🧵
journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...

2 weeks ago 75 35 3 4
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How to revive science in America | PNAS How to revive science in America

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

2 weeks ago 14 5 0 0
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The NSF 2027 budget has noted that they will close out the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Science Program (SBE). This is not a good thing. nsf-gov-resources.nsf.gov/files/FY-202...

2 weeks ago 550 396 22 93
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Online hostility is predicted by economic & political inequality

Inequality breeds online hostility because people crave status in unequal societies and status-seekers constitute the main perpetrators of hostility in political settings, whether online or offline.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

2 weeks ago 63 27 4 1
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Millions used a research website to test their biases. Now the funding has dried up Two local researchers explain why the site matters to their work, and the field of social psychology.

The targeted defunding of science on diversity, equity, & inclusion means that we'll all know less about the world outside our window. @alanyhyu.bsky.social reports on what that looks like at the science nonprofit, Project Implicit (@projectimplicit.bsky.social)

whyy.org/articles/soc...

2 weeks ago 14 12 0 0
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SCORE | Center for Open Science SCORE shows that there is no shortcut to producing credible research findings, and there is no single indicator of trustworthiness. Research progress depends on transparency, rigor, and establishing r...

SCORE, a collaboration of 865 researchers, is now released as three papers in Nature, six preprints, and a lot of data (cos.io/score/). SCORE examined repeatability of findings from the social-behavioral sciences and tested whether human and automated methods could predict replicability.

2 weeks ago 190 106 1 32
A line graph showing awards over time at NSF's SBE. The line for this year, 2026, is extremely FLAT compared to prior years. By this time in 2025, 179 grants had been awarded. In 2021, it was 243. This year... 16.

A line graph showing awards over time at NSF's SBE. The line for this year, 2026, is extremely FLAT compared to prior years. By this time in 2025, 179 grants had been awarded. In 2021, it was 243. This year... 16.

NSF's Social, Behavioral and Economic Directorate has awarded only 16 grants since October.

No big budget cuts went through. No freeze. The courts have acted to keep funds flowing at every turn. The money just isn't going out.

Why...?

1/x

source: grant-witness.us/funding_curv...
🟦🧠 #academicsky

3 weeks ago 110 79 3 5
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Sycophantic AI decreases prosocial intentions and promotes dependence Despite rising concerns about sycophancy—excessive agreement or flattery from artificial intelligence (AI) systems—little is known about its prevalence or consequences. We show that sycophancy is wide...

OK, I'm obsessed with this study in @science.org

It took Reddit "Am I The Asshole" posts & asked LLMs if the poster was the asshole. Aaand (surprise) AI was more likely to tell people they were NOT the asshole ... even when humans said yeah YTA 🧪

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

3 weeks ago 307 133 13 14
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The best and brightest young people from around the world are getting the message: Reconsider investing your talents in the United States.

Cumulative issuance of F-1 student visas by calendar month, down circa 32% as of September (latest available)

Source: travel.state.gov/content/trav...

3 weeks ago 161 76 1 12
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$2.45 billion NIH grant cuts and ~2300 terminated active research grants were DOGE'd in early 2025
Who were most affected?
www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....
Early career and women researchers

4 weeks ago 390 257 10 17
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‘While state and federal prosecutors have sent record numbers of people to prison for violent crimes and property- and drug-related offenses, the US retreated from prosecuting and punishing white-collar crime, despite a tsunami of elite-level wrongdoing.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

4 weeks ago 1333 511 49 100
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Building affordable housing ➡️ support for funding housing.

Nearby homeowners ⬆️ support; renters ⬇️ support. Both are “the policy adjacent”—secondhand recipients & drivers of policy feedback.

Forthcoming @ajpseditor.bsky.social ( doi.org/10.1111/ajps...) w/ A. Magazinnik & @msands.bsky.social 1/9

4 weeks ago 46 21 2 2

I've seen a lot of demoralized posts (and emails) from people who didn't get into grad school this cycle.

This was one of the worst cycles I've ever seen due to massive cuts to research funding, financial difficulties at universities, and technological disruptions.

1 month ago 530 119 15 14
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There are big political and intergeneratonal differences in what people think is morally wrong

For example, Gen Z are 3X more likely than Boomers to see being extremely rich and 2X more likely to see spanking children as morally wrong

www.pewresearch.org/religion/202...

4 weeks ago 25 10 1 0
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When Jon Haidt Called Me a Cheater Science, Snark, and the Moral Mind

Entertaining and interesting post by @kurtjgray.bsky.social on how science works using his own research on moral psychology in contrast to @jonathanhaidt.bsky.social's work.

1 month ago 38 14 5 5

Hegemonic suicide, a play in many parts

1 month ago 74 23 3 0
abstract: While attempts to change Americans’ partisanship via persuasive treatments largely fail, partisanship can and does change over time. In this paper, the authors first confirm, via survey and field experiments, that typical campaign messaging in the United States does not budge partisanship. The authors then present experiments in which participants encounter extraordinary hypothetical scenarios (e.g. one party causes economic collapse) before reporting what their partisanship would be under such circumstances. Twelve percent of partisans imagine switching parties in the pro-out-party hypothetical conditions, compared with 5% in the control hypotheticals in which the status quo persists, for a seven-percentage point (SE 1.5 points) difference. These hypothetical shifts are on par with the largest changes in American macropartisanship ever recorded. While the act of ruminating on hypothetical scenarios is not followed by changes in partisanship measured post-treatment, the evidence suggests that extraordinary world events may be able to shift partisan affiliation.

abstract: While attempts to change Americans’ partisanship via persuasive treatments largely fail, partisanship can and does change over time. In this paper, the authors first confirm, via survey and field experiments, that typical campaign messaging in the United States does not budge partisanship. The authors then present experiments in which participants encounter extraordinary hypothetical scenarios (e.g. one party causes economic collapse) before reporting what their partisanship would be under such circumstances. Twelve percent of partisans imagine switching parties in the pro-out-party hypothetical conditions, compared with 5% in the control hypotheticals in which the status quo persists, for a seven-percentage point (SE 1.5 points) difference. These hypothetical shifts are on par with the largest changes in American macropartisanship ever recorded. While the act of ruminating on hypothetical scenarios is not followed by changes in partisanship measured post-treatment, the evidence suggests that extraordinary world events may be able to shift partisan affiliation.

New paper with Don Green and @ethanvporter.bsky.social in the QJPS. After much deliberation, we went with a title that just states the result. 📝

journal: www.emerald.com/qjps/article...

1 month ago 46 20 2 2
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New short paper w @jkalla.bsky.social !

Candidates gain from moderation, but less than many theories expect.

Many conclude voters must not care about issues.

This is wrong. Small *average* effects mask large effects on specific issues & are consistent with widespread issue-based voting 🧵

1 month ago 98 34 2 6
Video

‘Mr. Nobody Against Putin’ Director: “This is about how you lose your country — through small acts of complicity: when a government murders people on the streets, when oligarchs take over the media… we all face a moral choice. But even a nobody is more powerful than you think."

1 month ago 19452 6553 222 286
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The Case of Kristie Metcalfe

What happens when the DOJ stops fighting for civil rights? @nytimes.com follows Kristie Metcalfe, a woman who faced pay inequality & retaliation. She had a strong discrimination case, but was abandoned as civil rights enforcement was dismantled from within.

Listen: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/13/p...

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
Lab AI Policy | Todd Gureckis Clear expectations for how every member of our lab should use generative AI tools responsibly, transparently, and in a way that upholds rigorous, reproducible, open science.

draft lab ai policy, feel free to use, modify, or discuss! todd.gureckislab.org/2026/03/06/g...

1 month ago 51 12 1 1
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I end my talk these days by reminding the audience that for most scientists, their politics aren't biasing the science, the science is informing their politics. But b/c scientific conclusions are inconvenient for right-wing politics, there is a movement to pretend the causal arrow is reversed.

1 month ago 33 7 1 0
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Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):

Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

1 month ago 125 35 5 3