I've registered and am excited to announce we're going to have Superfriends division(s). Come join the fun and do some good along the way.
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Posts by Tommy Blair
For sure!
I chase the top 5 as much as probably anyone and still my top rostered WRs are Jefferson, Chase London, Lamb St. Brown and a few select others. WRs matter equally, just not most of em
This is probably the right takeaway, the only word of caution: so many more WRs (and to a lesser degree RBs) take the field and get the big bonuses for their tiny odds outcomes like 80yd tds that it muddies the waters a bit. Look at how man more "at bats" the other two positions get to make good
I sent you a bunch of the data via dm. History is singing to us and we locked it in a soundproof box.
I had a ton of fun playing in this league last year and hope you'll join me in 2026
The Jameson Williams of snacks
I was a little surprised at how intertwined they were as well. This is a huge sample set and is only an exercise in ceiling though. On a weekly basis QB is king.
Right!? Speaks to weekly floors at QB being high and why we chase positive variance (often only found at the very top of WR and RB).
It would take a Vick emerging or Allen/Maye rushing for 5 TDs to push the QBs to that threshold, but on a weekly basis we see QBs dominating. Elite outlier performances are why we get donuts from great WRs and 20 carries for 88yds from RBs, we should embrace them as variance balancing the scales.
Very close!
Bitty boy super fast can't catch me chief
Of every player at QB/RB/WR, which position do you think the highest single game performance came from in fantasy football between 2013-2025?
Folks looking for paid work in the fantasy space: I stumbled onto this website I hope it helps land you a gig frontyardfantasy.notion.site?v=063518e7ec...
Only 26 of the WRs to start at least 100 games cleared the WR36 bar 50% of the time
Of those 75 WRs who've played at least 100 games only 48 have registered as a WR36 or better more than 30% of their games played.
There have been about 900 WRs since 2013 who've registered on the fantasy stat sheet (I'm using this term very, very generously). Only 75 have played 100 or more games, which is essentially a 6-7yr career. The fantasy football universe of WRs is much smaller than we may believe.
"While Mike Washington has neither fathered a nation nor contracted smallpox..."
Get it, do good, be better than your leaguemates this rookie draft!
I’ve got another modernized with Dura Ace 11 speed that’s a rocket. In the back is one of the very first AM7s waiting for a Rohloff and dynamo upgrade
2004 Moulton APB retrofitted with a rohloff hub, custom rack, and wishbone stem.
I’ve been pretty sick and unable to ride this week but took the chance to pull out my Moulton APB that’s been packed away for almost a year. This will be my 1200k ride and probably all of my PBP qualifiers as well.
Zac is one of the few who consistently beats ADP (he's shown his work on this) and still the edges are narrow and fraught.
Jalen Reagor, Laviska Shenault, Kadarius Toney, Jahan Dotson, Treylon Burks, Skyy Moore, Xavier Worthy, Xavier Legette…
Both we [the chirping mouths of the draft community] and the NFL are confidently wrong A LOT. It’s much more difficult to nail this thing than we give it credit for…
Favorite format in dynasty? Have you caught them all?
i actually really like this visual. it takes 10,000 more opportunities to bend the middle third that much higher than the blue slope
Why is WR higher? There's more of em
Every weekly finish from 2013-25
Really complicated to show work in this many characters but I dug into weekly data going back to 2013 and managed to prove that you don't need to play a 12 team SF Start 9 lineup league any differently than a Start 12. At some point I hope to have distilled takeaways to share.