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Posts by Francesco Rampazzo

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Scholarship fund Scholarship fund

New opportunity for applicants to the MSc Social Research Methods & Statistics (Demography) @socialstats.bsky.social.
Eligible UK “home” students may receive support from the Population Investigation Committee (PIC) Scholarship Fund.
Details: www.lse.ac.uk/internationa...
Deadline: 22 May 2026

6 days ago 0 2 0 0

Come work with me and Prof Vicki Nash @oii.ox.ac.uk on this 2-year quantitative project.

1 month ago 7 7 0 0

For the second year, BSPS @bspsuk.bsky.social will host a session on queer demography!

It focuses on LGBTQIA+ populations, experiences, and demographic processes (e.g. dating, families, health).
Questions? Contact @mortenkthomsen.bsky.social or me.

Please share!
www.lse.ac.uk/internationa...

2 months ago 20 8 0 1
Screenshot of website for publication 54-11

Screenshot of website for publication 54-11

LGBTQ+ adults in the US have distinct partnership and living arrangements often missed in surveys: less often married, more likely to cohabit or have non-coresidential partners, and more likely to live alone, with roommates, or in smaller households.
www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...

2 months ago 29 13 1 2
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Call for applications: European Doctoral School of Demography (EDSD) 2026-2027

To be held at @mpidr.bsky.social and @sghwarsaweu.bsky.social
Application deadline: 27 March 2026 at 12 PM (noon)
Program start: 1 September 2026
Scholarships are available
Details: eaps.nl/edsd/how-to-...

2 months ago 13 14 0 2
Do open lists increase turnout? Probably not, but they increase rates of voter error: New evidence from Spain

Leonardo Carella

Abstract
This article challenges the claim that open-list systems are beneficial for electoral participation, by reassessing and extending the analysis in a notable empirical paper that advances this argument. The paper (Carlos Sanz, “The effect of electoral systems on voter turnout: Evidence from a natural experiment”, PSRM, 2017) leverages a population-based discontinuity in Spanish municipal elections (1979–2011), where towns with fewer than 250 residents employ open lists whereas larger towns employ closed lists. Through a series of statistical tests and the inspection of alternative data sources, I show that the positive effect of open lists on turnout estimated in the paper is dubious, for two reasons: (1) non-random missing data, due to inconsistencies in how non-valid votes were recorded above and below the threshold, and (2) compound treatment issues, due to changes in list-length requirements at the threshold. I then proceed to show that, rather than improving turnout, the more complex open-list ballot actually hinders voters’ ability to express their preferences, by increasing the incidence of voter errors relative to closed lists (reflected in higher rates of ‘null’ voting). To support a causal interpretation of this relationship, I present evidence from the analysis of heterogeneous treatment effects, and show that a similar pattern obtains in Spanish general elections, where open and closed lists are used concurrently for the election of the country’s bicameral parliament. I conclude by discussing the implications of the analysis for implementing population-based regression discontinuities and evaluating electoral system effects.

Do open lists increase turnout? Probably not, but they increase rates of voter error: New evidence from Spain Leonardo Carella Abstract This article challenges the claim that open-list systems are beneficial for electoral participation, by reassessing and extending the analysis in a notable empirical paper that advances this argument. The paper (Carlos Sanz, “The effect of electoral systems on voter turnout: Evidence from a natural experiment”, PSRM, 2017) leverages a population-based discontinuity in Spanish municipal elections (1979–2011), where towns with fewer than 250 residents employ open lists whereas larger towns employ closed lists. Through a series of statistical tests and the inspection of alternative data sources, I show that the positive effect of open lists on turnout estimated in the paper is dubious, for two reasons: (1) non-random missing data, due to inconsistencies in how non-valid votes were recorded above and below the threshold, and (2) compound treatment issues, due to changes in list-length requirements at the threshold. I then proceed to show that, rather than improving turnout, the more complex open-list ballot actually hinders voters’ ability to express their preferences, by increasing the incidence of voter errors relative to closed lists (reflected in higher rates of ‘null’ voting). To support a causal interpretation of this relationship, I present evidence from the analysis of heterogeneous treatment effects, and show that a similar pattern obtains in Spanish general elections, where open and closed lists are used concurrently for the election of the country’s bicameral parliament. I conclude by discussing the implications of the analysis for implementing population-based regression discontinuities and evaluating electoral system effects.

New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

I show that - contrary to claims that personalised electoral systems are good for participation - Open Lists have no effect on turnout relative to Closed Lists; in fact, they increase rates of voter error. 🗳️
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

2 months ago 65 23 5 2
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📢 New global study across 122 countries shows young people are redefining sexuality.

Led by Dr @francescorampazzo.com @socialstats.bsky.social, using data from 900k+ users, it finds rising identities like queer, pansexual & asexual among younger generations.

www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/y...

4 months ago 4 5 0 0

Exciting to see my research with @francescorampazzo.com get so much attention!

I also appreciate how this piece pushes against the misleading reporting from the Daily Mail that claimed our study shows that lesbians are “dying out.” As PinkNews points out, that’s a transphobic dog whistle.

4 months ago 16 5 0 0

New coverage of our global study on sexual identity and generational change, now on @pinknews.bsky.social.
@cantonwiner.bsky.social

4 months ago 1 1 0 0
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2025's news highlights from the Faculty of Humanities 2025 has been another great year for The University of Manchester's Faculty of Humanities, and has again seen some significant achievements and initiatives. Here are some of the key highlights:January...

Happy to have joined the @socialstats.bsky.social and honoured to be mentioned in the @manchester.ac.uk’s 2025 Faculty of Humanities highlights. Grateful to be part of such a stimulating research environment.
www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/h...

4 months ago 3 1 0 0
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Our research with @cantonwiner.bsky.social and Milan Kovačič has also been reported by @advocate.com, providing another perspective on the findings.

Work based in the @socialstats.bsky.social Department of Social Statistics at the University of Manchester @manchester.ac.uk.

4 months ago 6 3 0 1
Screenshot of Daily Mail headline: “The term lesbian is dying out: Gen Z are opting for more modern identities including queer, pansexual, or asexual, study finds.”

Screenshot of Daily Mail headline: “The term lesbian is dying out: Gen Z are opting for more modern identities including queer, pansexual, or asexual, study finds.”

The @dailymail.co.uk just reported on my research.

But their framing is wrong.

Lesbian identities aren’t “dying out.”

So-called “new” identities (like pansexual, queer, asexual, etc.) aren’t “replacing” older ones. They’re adding to the ways people can plug into queerness.

4 months ago 39 6 4 1

My co-author @francescorampazzo.com (the lead author of the study) puts it well here.

Lesbians aren’t “disappearing.” They’re just getting more company!

4 months ago 20 4 1 0
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'Lesbian' is dying out: Gen Z opting for modern terms like pansexual The term 'lesbian' is dying out, a new study has revealed. Gen Z are shunning this more traditional term in favour of newer options, including 'queer', 'pansexual', and 'asexual'.

Nice to see our (with @cantonwiner.bsky.social and Milan Kovačič) research reaching a broader readership via the @dailymail.co.uk. Our findings speak to increasing diversity of identities among younger users, rather than the disappearance of any one label.

www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/...

4 months ago 5 0 0 1
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First global study finds young people redefining sexuality around the world A major new global study led by a researcher at The University of Manchester has found that younger generations around the world are embracing a more diverse and fluid understanding of sexual identity...

🏳️‍🌈 New global study led by @uomsoss.bsky.social has found that younger generations around the world are redefining how they understand sexual identity.

🔗Read more: www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/y...

🧵1/

4 months ago 1 1 1 0
Demographic Research - Sexual orientation on Zoe: A global analysis of a lesbian dating app (Volume 53 - Article 38 | Pages 1207–1220) Volume 53 - Article 38 | Pages 1207–1220

Sexual orientation on Zoe: A global analysis of a lesbian dating app doi.org/10.4054/DemR... New paper in @demresjournal.bsky.social by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Associate Member @francescorampazzo.com, Canton Winer, and Milan Kovačič

4 months ago 0 1 0 0

Asexuality is a global identity.

That’s a major finding in a study I recently published with @francescorampazzo.com in Demographic Research.

Analyzing dating app data spanning 162 countries from over 900,000 users, we found that asexuality showed up in every age group and in every region.

4 months ago 70 29 2 1

An early Christmas gift from @demresjournal.bsky.social: new publication with @cantonwiner.bsky.social and Milan Kovačič on sexuality using dating app data. A great example of how social scientists and industry can collaborate to produce global, inclusive research.

4 months ago 11 3 0 0
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What is your Spotify age?

“Age is just a number, so don’t take it personally.” Great to see Spotify assigning a ‘demographic age’ based on the music users listen to.

4 months ago 4 0 0 0
Lecturer / Senior Lecturer in Artificial Intelligence:Oxford Road As an equal opportunities employer we welcome applicants from all sections of the community regardless of age, sex, gender (or gender identity), ethnicity, disability, sexual orientation and transgender status. All appointments are made on merit.

My department at the University of @manchester.ac.uk is recruiting a permanent Lecturer/Senior Lecturer in Artificial Intelligence to join @socialstats.bsky.social. We’re looking for candidates whose work connects AI with the social sciences. Applications close 5 January 2026. More details here:

4 months ago 2 2 0 0
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Listening to the Henley & Partners Global Citizenship Conference after Rachel Reeves’ announcement, with @pjtheeconomist.bsky.social, James Quarmby and Dan Neidle, was a reminder that even small migration shifts can shape economies. We need good data to understand these impacts.

5 months ago 3 0 0 0
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Italians mistakenly identify as Roma in Scotland's census Italians born in Rome may have accidently selected the Roma ethnicity category in the country's last census, officials say.

How many times do you think of the Roman Empire?
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

6 months ago 4 0 0 1

If you’re into population pyramids of intentions (+ other nice plots, + more), this one’s for you.
With K. Schwanitz, @vferraretto.bsky.social & @agnese-vitali.bsky.social, we explore how young Europeans plan adulthood using @ggp.bsky.social + @ess-survey.bsky.social data.
doi.org/10.12765/CPo...

6 months ago 11 3 0 0

📣 Job alert! 📣 2 fully funded PhD positions in sociology/demography in the ERC Starting Grant SeRO, which studies the impact of local violent crime on sexual and reproductive health in Mexico. Please share and apply!
PhD post 1: su.varbi.com/en/what:job/...
PhD post 2: su.varbi.com/en/what:job/...

7 months ago 23 22 1 0

Thank you!

7 months ago 0 0 0 0

Thanks!

7 months ago 1 0 0 0
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I might go for that option (or Mamucium - how many times do you think of the Roman Empire?). Thanks!

7 months ago 1 0 0 0

Thanks, Will!

7 months ago 0 0 1 0

Oh, interesting! Thanks

7 months ago 1 0 1 0

Thanks Joseph! Ah, I always go for the latter.

7 months ago 0 0 1 0