Have seen a few considering Semenyo vs. Kluivert this week for FPL and I have a bit of a crush on Bournemouth so thought I might throw a thread together. 🧵

Even though rolling seems like the best move in isolation for gw 13, THE SOLVER really wants to sell Gvardiol. Going for Timber/Calafiori would mean triple ARS def which could be fun!

Is this “employee” called Dominic Calvert-Lewin by any chance?

Tricky decision this GW 🤔
- Double ARS defense is tempting
- Isak great EV this week
- Rolling the 2nd FT might come in handy later

Have been thinking about takeaways from the wonderful bps podcast from @aboveaveragefpl.bsky.social and I think I have found something vaguely interesting re: forwards and the value of their first goal vs additional goals. This season forwards have 191 bonus points from 110 goals.

With the release of @fplreview.com season review. Here is a handy table to use to remember how to react to it

Well put! I’ve seen the Raya move happen later on some lines, so I agree that it’s best to hold for now.

Quite happy with my season review so far. I feel like I’ve never played better, but also I’ve never been ranked worse at this stage. So this is reassuring to see.

There should be an option like this

That sounds reasonable. Would you bench Solanke in that case?

That makes sense. It’s very close EV wise over the horizon and the extra transfer might be worth more later on

Having already done DCL -> JP and with two more FT, I’m currently considering Flekken,Son -> Raya,Palmer. Other move out would be Greaves instead of Flekken.

What would you do?

38 gameweeks is nowhere near enough time to judge the skill of an FPL manager. You probably need closer to 10 seasons

For python solver speed:
- seamus script
- increasing xmin_lb and ev_cutoff so you end up with around 100-200 relevant players to solve for

I was promised a 0.4 swing between DCL and JP…

print(“Hello Bluesky”)