New study: most climate models underestimate the decline of the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC. The AMOC is on course to slow by more than 50% by the end of the century. 🌊
Very likely the AMOC will then be past the tipping point for full shutdown. 😨
us.cnn.com/2026/04/16/c...
Posts by Matthew L. Staitis
A BGS employee at Dynamic Earth demonstrating how landslides work with a model and some Lego. A couple of children look on, smiling and engaged.
We're at Dynamic Earth on Wednesday next week, as part of Edinburgh Science Festival!
Join us as we talk about volcanoes, space weather and Scotland's unique rocks and fossils.
It's free to visit, so make sure to pop down and say hello!
www.edinburghscience.co.uk/event/britis...
AMOC weakening may drive the North Atlantic ‘cold blob,’ echoing abrupt paleoclimate events and cascading through climate, ecosystems, and society.
News & Views
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
The Atlantic’s “conveyor belt” is slowing.
New observations from 16.5°–42.5°N show a two-decade, basin-wide decline in deep western overturning, the first robust observational evidence that the AMOC is weakening, confirming long-standing model predictions.
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Looking forward to the first workshop of our new @pages-ipo.bsky.social working group IMPACT in Bern in May !
Putative trophic structure of the Chaohu Fauna (Spathian, Early Triassic), briefly compared with that of the latest Smithian fish faunas
Summary of coprolite morphotypes identified from the Chaohu Fauna, Majiashan, Chaohu, China.
When fossil shite speaks up:
"The coprolite record reveals a multi-tiered trophic structure in which marine reptiles had already occupied meso- and apex consumer roles by the Early Triassic."
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
🧪 ⚒️ #Geology #Paleobio #EvoBio #Macroecology
“This study places what may be the final nail in the coffin for the prevailing view that more oxygen made ancient insects bigger.”
Learn more: https://scim.ag/4vcqqS8
A short paper by Josep Pelegri (2025) reviews the past, present and future of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC): 🌊🧪 doi.org/10.3989/scim...
Some climate change facts:
2015–2025 = hottest decade observed
🌊 ~90% of excess heat stored in the oceans
Heat gain ≈ 18× global energy use
Rate is accelerating, not stabilizing
This isn’t just warming; it’s a system moving further out of equilibrium
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
While everyone is (rightly) obsessed with levels of CO2 in the atmosphere 3 million years ago, don't sleep the observation that avg. atmospheric methane (CH4) DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE CHANGED AT ALL over the last 3 million years (1/4). www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Morozovella??🤔🤔
The Deccan Traps live on 🦕🌋
(Réunion is thought to be the still-erupting expression of a hotspot that started massively erupting in India right around the end-Cretaceous mass extinction, so much so that the lava then could have covered the lower 48 United States 600 feet deep)
New paper with our long-term collaborators from CUG Wuhan (led by Xinyue Dang), showing a threshold response in soil moisture that induces an abrupt shift in soil microbial community and methane emissions. @ogu-bristol.bsky.social @bristoluni.bsky.social @cabot-institute.bsky.social
Pleased to see lots of new registrants for our Stable Isotope Ecology course on the GAEA platform. Learn more and register for this and other courses at www.gaea.ac.uk
@isotopesuk.bsky.social ky.social
vimeo.com/757190807
Ancient ocean oxygen left green bands on the seafloor
Million-yr records reveal sediment bands formed as deep waters re-oxygenated after low-O2 phases during Pleistocene glaciations; a hidden archive of Earth’s breathing
Our new IODP EXP361 paper 👇
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
What Ian said! 👇
@olakwiecien3.bsky.social @drjosephgraly.bsky.social
Ultimate main character energy... 💅
Gephyrocapsa huxleyi is less than 5 microns wide (you could fit about 20 on the tip of a needle), yet it insists on being visible from actual space.
SEM Micrographs: Frieda Schlegel
Satellite Imagery: ESA (European Space Agency)
Last day @sosbangor.bsky.social before our 23 day cruise on the RRS Discovery for the SeaSTORE project. We'll be studying the impact of bottom trawling on seabed carbon stocks. We'll study the chronic and immediate impacts.
The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements - a review
"Global warming must peak below 2°C, return to below 1.5°C as quickly as possible (i.e. within this century), and to around 1°C thereafter to limit tipping point risks".
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
I see part of a crinoid stem😅
New Version out 😀
Diagram: Pleistocene-Holocene-Anthropocene 2025 (2026)
zenodo.org/records/1864...
With updated data ☝️. For teaching, public lectures etc etc...
Brought to you by @leizarchaeology.bsky.social research focus "Human-Environment Interactions"
@niklashausmann.bsky.social
An artist’s interpretation of life and death after the asteroid impact that wiped out the dinosaurs. The three hair-covered forms (left) represent species of plankton found inside the crater made by the impact. The geometric form (bottom left) is a species of algae. The bones belong to an extinct marine reptile. The University of Texas at Austin Jackson School of Geosciences/John Maisano.
How long does it take to recover from a mass extinction? It might be a very short time, geologically speaking, maybe no more than a mere few millennia. On the scale of humans... that is still a substantial chunk of time. 🧪⚒️
Link: pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/...
I really hope everyone understands that this antiscientific nonsense that totally ignores tipping points, first of all the AMOC. Shameful stuff tbh.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Map showing above average groundwater over much of the UK in January 2026
Map showing above average precipitation over much of UK in January 2026 apart from western Scotland and northwest England and Wales
Map showing some exceptionally high river flows in eastern Scotland, Northern Ireland & southern England during January 2026
Map showing variable soil moisture over UK in January 2026
Very wet January 2026 over many UK regions with flooding & some exceptionally high river flows in eastern Scotland, Northern Ireland & southern England plus rising groundwater & reservoir stocks so elevated flood risk in @ukceh.bsky.social hydrological outlook 🌧️💦 nrfa.ceh.ac.uk/sites/defaul...
The billion-dollar case for sustaining palaeontology’s digital databases. Nat Ecol Evol (2026). doi.org/10.1038/s415...
Concerned about the Point of No Return? Today we published a paper on the risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory. You can read it here: authors.elsevier.com/c/1mbW49C~Iu...
Peer review should be a short term paid contract akin to a journal editor. Why this vital scientific process is left entirely to voluntary participation actually dumbfounds me...