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Posts by Csaba G. Tóth

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Foreign-born residents now make up 14% of the EU27 population, up from 10% a decade ago. Luxembourg is in a league of its own (52%), followed by Malta (32%), Cyprus (28%), and Ireland (23%). The lowest shares are found in post-communist countries: Poland (3%), Bulgaria (4%), and Slovakia (4%).

1 week ago 2 0 0 0

Guess which is the top one :)
bsky.app/profile/toth...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

I would not say it is unique, but the scale of the decline in Hungary (-1.6%) is among the top five. The female surplus has decreased by 0.4% across the EU as a whole since 2010.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0
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The female surplus in Hungary has declined from 501K to 321K since 2010, falling from 5.0% to 3.4% of the total population. A narrowing life expectancy gap and selective migration likely play a role.
#demography #population #Hungary #migration

2 weeks ago 2 1 1 0
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Population increased in two-thirds of EU countries from 2024 to 2025. Hungary recorded the second-largest population decline (−0.5%). Overall, the EU’s population grew by 0.3%.
#demography #population #EU #Poland #Hungary #Germany

2 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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Only 8.5% receive it.
Among Hungarian households that need long-term care, just 8.5% receive professional home care services — the third-lowest rate in the EU. The EU average is 28.3%.
#demography #Hungary #population

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Despite later childbearing and the spread of IVF, the share of women aged 40–44 giving birth in Hungary has remained essentially unchanged over the past decade.
#demography #population #fertility #Hungary

1 month ago 0 2 0 0
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Már csak 9,5 millióan vagyunk. De hány magyar él majd Magyarországon 2050-ben?
Már csak 9,5 millióan vagyunk. De hány magyar él majd Magyarországon 2050-ben? YouTube video by HVG Videó

A longer interview with me about Hungary’s demographic prospects— particularly for those who understand Hungarian, or simply enjoy the melody of the language.
#demograph #population #Hungary
youtu.be/gidRUKZrCl4?...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Even with the “magical” 2.1 fertility rate, Hungary’s population would fall from 9.6M to 8.6M by 2050 (assuming unchanged life expectancy and zero migration). Why? Age structure: too few couples are in their reproductive ages.
#demography #population #Hungary #fertility

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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The sex ratio at birth varies markedly across regions, most notably in Asia, where fertility policies combined with son preference have distorted the natural balance.
#demography #fertility #Asia #Europe #population

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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Up to one-fifth of the population has been lost to net migration, the balance of immigration and emigration, in some newer EU member states over three decades. The Baltic countries and parts of the Balkans have been particularly hard hit.
Source: doi.org/10.1111/padr...
#demography #migration

2 months ago 5 3 0 0
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While housing poverty affects some 2-3 million people in Hungary, 12.5 % of the total housing stock was vacant. It means that more than 570,000 dwellings were unoccupied.
#demography #Hungary #poverty #housing
Source: www.habitat.org/emea/newsroo...

2 months ago 2 0 0 1
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While most European populations have continued to age, Germany has seen a modest but steady decline in its median age. Immigration may be one of the key drivers.
#demography #Germany #France #population #Ageing

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Life expectancy growth in Hungary has clearly slowed. Gains in the past decade were just one-third of those achieved in the previous decade. The deceleration was stronger among women, leading to a narrowing gender gap.
#demography #Hungary #population #ageing

2 months ago 3 0 0 0
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Births from in vitro fertilization (IVF) now account for 4% of all births in Hungary. That is more than 3,000 babies.
#demography #population #fertilty #maternity #Hungary

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Fertility rates in Poland have fallen in villages and cities alike. The long-term rural–urban convergence is remarkable.
#demography #population #fertility #Poland #Cities

2 months ago 6 0 0 0
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Hungary’s population fell to 9.49 million by January 1, 2026, the same level observed in 1952.
#demography #population #Hungary

2 months ago 4 3 0 0
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Hungary’s fertility rate fell from 1.51 to 1.31 in just two years. Births dropped sharply: from 85,000 in 2023 to 72,000 in 2025.
#demography #population #fertility #Hungary

2 months ago 5 2 0 1
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Child and youth psychiatric care in Hungary has doubled since 2011. Three factors may have contributed: (1) rising mental-health needs, (2) improved monitoring and diagnosis, and (3) greater use of specialist care.
#Hungary #children #MentalHealthMatters

2 months ago 0 1 0 0
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Births in Budapest declined sharply by nearly 25% over the past two years in the January–September period, far exceeding the already large 16% decline at the national level in Hungary.
#demography #fertility #Budapest #Hungary

3 months ago 5 0 0 0
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Suicide rates in Hungary remain alarmingly high above age 50. At the oldest ages, mortality is nearly 1.5× higher than in any regional peer.
#demography #Hungary #Poland #Romania

3 months ago 3 1 0 0

It's a mistake.

3 months ago 0 0 0 0

Ajaj, tényleg. Köszönöm!

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Fathers tend to be 3–4 years older than mothers, a gap that has remained stable over the last decade in Hungary. Three decades ago, the average age at childbirth was about 26 for women and 29 for men; today it is roughly 31 and 34.
#demography #fertility #motherhood #Hungary

4 months ago 4 1 0 0
Modern Fertility Choice: Population Change, Fertility, & Mothers' Employment
Modern Fertility Choice: Population Change, Fertility, & Mothers' Employment YouTube video by hceconomics

An unforgettable moment discussing my research with James J. Heckman, Nobel Prize–winning economist, and Ronald Lee, co-author of the Lee–Carter model, a cornerstone of modern mortality forecasting.
#demography #fertility
youtu.be/KuhbmK98i38?...

4 months ago 3 0 0 0
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It is a great honor to present my current research on population change at the Mini Conference organized by the Center for the Economics of Human Development at the University of Chicago, under the leadership of Nobel laureate James Heckman @heckmanequation.bsky.social.
#demography

4 months ago 5 0 1 0
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Births fluctuate, but over five decades fertility in the EU27 was remarkably similar: almost all countries had a total fertility rate between 1.5 and 1.9. Ireland was the exception, at 2.4.
#demography #fertility #EU27 #Ireland #Poland #Germany

4 months ago 4 2 1 0

This is the correct link to my publication:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

4 months ago 0 0 0 0

Thrilled to see the population-change decomposition method I developed now applied in the @EBRD Transition Report 2025–26, Brave New World.😃😃
EBRD report: www.ebrd.com/home/news-an...
My publication: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pa…

4 months ago 6 1 1 0
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Hungary’s fertility rate fell to 1.31 in the first ten months of the year, down from 1.62 four years ago. Combined with a shrinking reproductive-age population, this meant 17 thousand fewer births than in 2021.
#demography #population #Hungary #fertility #maternity

4 months ago 5 1 0 2