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Posts by Tilman Fries

If you are hiring this year, check out Charlotte's profile! She is a great young researcher and a big plus to every team!

5 months ago 12 5 0 0
EJM - Econ Job Market

Europe is the only region that is slightly up from last year on EJM econjobmarket.org/marketState

6 months ago 3 1 1 0

I did the thing you are never supposed to do. I wrote a (rough draft of a) textbook: Theories of Rational Decision

It's technical, but from a philosophical perspective. It focuses on the normative theory but touches on some behavioral issues as well.

raw.githubusercontent.com/kzollman/Rat...

9 months ago 128 23 9 3

It's what's known as a DOS attack - denial-of-simplicity-and-strength attack. To inhibit capacity for abstraction, creativity and useful theory. @kjhealy.co
kieranhealy.org/files/papers...

1 year ago 20 6 1 0
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Taking Our Chances This one's for the academy, I guess

Here's a link to @economeager.bsky.social blog, which you obvs should also read: rottenandgood.substack.com/p/taking-our...

1 year ago 2 0 1 0

This should make us a bit humble when studying how people update in settings where "easy" closed-form solutions exist.

More than history, the book has deep philosophical debates about the the tools that researchers use everyday.

1 year ago 3 0 1 0

One more curious lesson was that, in Bayes' original article on his theorem, he discusses how to infer P(heads) from tossing a coin n times. Today, we know that the unif. prior solution is (m+1)/(n+1), where m= # heads. But Bayes didn't. He couldn't solve the integral! Laplace did this later.

1 year ago 0 0 1 0
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the cover of "ten great ideas about chance", a book by persi diaconis and brian skyrms.

the cover of "ten great ideas about chance", a book by persi diaconis and brian skyrms.

Picked this up thanks to @economeager.bsky.social's blog. Highly ecommended if you're into decision theory or stats.

1 year ago 6 0 1 0
Narrative Persuasion - How one person may shape another's interpretation of objective information
Narrative Persuasion - How one person may shape another's interpretation of objective information YouTube video by WZBlive

๐ŸŽฌ INSIGHTS Video: Narrative Persuasion ๐ŸŒ
How do narratives shape economic decision-making? ๐Ÿ’ก In our interview, @kaibarron.bsky.social (@wzb.bsky.social b.bsky.social) discusses how narratives influence investors' interpretations of objective information. Watch here ๐Ÿ‘‰ www.youtube.com/watch?v=uowZ...

1 year ago 8 2 1 0