Posts by Pinecone Macro Research
Crazy Pills Capital | The Tape is Drunk
https://t.ly/cJb_6
Korean Defense Wave
https://t.ly/oGtGu
This is fine
I know nobody cares because the negotiations are going so great but...
Iran War Framework Update
https://t.ly/G7nTH
The $META chart is ungood...
Markets amirite
If this war has taught me anything - it is that Europeans need to learn how to pronounce TACO.
One thing is clear to me - the gap between the eventual deal readouts from the US & Iran will be wider than the Strait of Hormuz
Sour Strait = Sweet Sugar
https://t.ly/mE15g
If the war does not end very soon - the anti QE fellas like Warsh/Bessent will be wrapping QE in the war flag soon enough unless bonds pivot to pricing a deep recession ASAP (but what does that recession do to the deficit and who has money to buy it)
Per YouGov poll - 23% of independents support the war and 8% support sending ground troops while 85% think the war will continue for at least another month
Headline PCE is not going to be chill in a couple months. Not one bit.
Coming into Focus | Answering Our Own Iran Questions
https://t.ly/ojmm6
Core PCE printing 3.1% before a price shock is uhhh...not ideal
giftarticle.ft.com/g...
I hope Warsh paid all of his parking tickets and taxes and has clean mortgages
STELLANTIS IS SAID IN TALKS WITH XIAOMI, XPENG ON EUROPE DEALS
Iran entered this conflict a weak pariah state - it could exit as an emergent middle power
This is not a 'pinch' - this is a catastrophe