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Posts by Steffan Watkins 🇨🇦

Tracking down Doug Ford's $28.9M jet
Tracking down Doug Ford's $28.9M jet YouTube video by CBC News

I'm very pleased to have been able to work with CBC News on this short about Doug Ford's $28.9M 2016 Bombardier Challenger 650 C-FBBW #C002D5 (Serial № 6063)

CBC News, “Tracking down Doug Ford’s $28.9M jet,” YouTube video, April 21, 2026, youtube.com/shorts/LVab1...

4 hours ago 7 1 0 0

➢ The USN E-2 Hawkeye can be deployed for long periods without being picked up by their transponder; still, ~33/75 have been identified flying in the past 28 days.

1 week ago 3 0 0 0
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🇺🇸 #USNavy E-2D Advanced Hawkeye fleet (75); last reported locations 2026-04-12Z

Prince Sultan Air Base🇸🇦 (5)
➢ 169869
➢ 169080 #AE2FD7
➢ 169874
➢ 169075 #AE744D
➢ 169077
#AE5E5B
NB: They are not using their normal Reg/Mode-S pairs

1 week ago 5 1 1 0
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history

Last identified locations:
➢ 73-1677 #ADFEB4 Kelly Field TX 🇺🇸 #KSKF 🧑‍🔧
➢ 73-1676 #ADFEB3 Offutt AFB 🇺🇸 #KOFF
➢ 74-0787 #ADFEB5 Offutt AFB 🇺🇸 KOFF
➢ 75-0125 #ADFEB6 Robins AFB 🇺🇸 #KWRB

globe.adsbexchange.com?icao=ADFEB4,...

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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🇺🇸 USAF E-4B Nightwatch fleet (4); last reported 2026-04-12Z

How serviceable is the fleet?
➢ 4 are in the fleet, per the #USAF.
➢ 4 (100%) identified in the past year.
➢ 2 (50%) identified in the past 4 weeks.

☢️ "THE DOOMSDAY PLANE" 😱

1 week ago 3 1 1 0
ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history

How ever you want to count the fleet, know this:
➢ 15 surviving aircraft have flown this year.
➢ 13 of those have flown this month.
➢ 79-0001 may be feeling better after its "incident"

globe.adsbexchange.com?icao=ae11ef,...

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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🇺🇸 #USAF E-3G Sentry fleet (15); last locations 2026-04-12Z

Prince Sultan AB 🇸🇦
➢ 82-0007 #AE11F0 (15d)
➢ 75-0556 #AE11D6 (14d)
➢ 78-0578 #AE11E6 (4d)
➢ 76-1604 #AE11DB (3d)
➢ 76-1605 #AE11DC (2d)
➢ 79-0001 #AE11E7 (1d)

Kadena AB 🇯🇵
➢ 75-0558 #AE11D8 (3d)

Elmendorf AFB 🇺🇸
➢ 80-0137 #AE11EA (4d)

1 week ago 4 3 3 0
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ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live ADS-B Exchange - track aircraft live - aircraft flight history

➢ 21-9045 #ae7466 returned to Robins AFB 🇺🇸 #KWRB
➢ 87.5% of the 🇺🇸 E-11 BACN fleet is deployed to KSA.

globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=ac8132,ad37d8,ac817f,aa418f,ae4de2,ac810f,ac8155,ae4d27,ae4de1,aa690e,ae7466,ae77a3,ae77a4,ae54b4,ae77a5,ac641f,af83f0

1 week ago 3 1 0 0
screenshot of spreadsheet of the last known locations of the E-11A BACN fleet

screenshot of spreadsheet of the last known locations of the E-11A BACN fleet

flight path of 21-9045 returning to CONUS

flight path of 21-9045 returning to CONUS

🇺🇸 #USAF E-11A BACN fleet (6); last reported locations 2026-04-12Z 🥓

Prince Sultan Air Base 🇸🇦 (6)
➢ N770AG (11-9355 #ae4de1) #AA690E (52d)
➢ 22-9046 #ae77a3 (40d)
➢ 22-9047 #ae77a4 (20d)
➢ 12-9506 #ae54b4 (16d)
➢ 23-9048 #ae77a5 (15d)
➢ N898M (24-9049 #af83f0) #AC641F (2d)

1 week ago 2 0 1 0

Much of the OSINT action still happens on Twitter, unfortunately. 😔

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

You're right, I shouldn't be a wallflower. I'm not organised so the threads I make are on the fly, if I don't compose each Tweet and Skeet(?) at the same time I have to do it all over again, which takes the fun out of it. I will endeavour to do better and cross post.

2 weeks ago 2 0 3 0

“Are there any Canadian soldiers on exchange with U.S. military units involved in Operation Total Extermination” is a real question I’ll have to ask in 2026

4 weeks ago 15 8 0 0

CAF and RCAF often train with the 82nd down at Fort Bragg (now Fort Liberty) and personnel exchanges happen as well.

Background here: substack.com/@thestateoft...

1 month ago 11 6 1 0

How many CAF personnel are on this base as part of CENTCOM?

1 month ago 3 1 1 0
Watkins points out there is a division of the U.S. air force in which Canadians on a military exchange jointly operate E-3G Sentry AWACS radar aircraft with American personnel. The aircraft are sometimes dispatched on expeditionary operations overseas.

It's not clear if the aircraft are involved in the Iran war. Watkins said there's a good chance they are, since six have been deployed to an airbase in Saudi Arabia.

"To me, it's odds are that they're involved because there's nothing that says that they're not," Watkins said, adding that the government seems to be avoiding directly addressing the question about the radar planes.

McGuinty has said repeatedly Canada will not get involved "offensively" in the conflict. Watkins said the minister may be choosing his words carefully.

"It's not an offensive aircraft and they're leaving that window open in their language for Canadians to defend in the future," he said. "But they haven't closed the door saying that we're not already defending our allies on that plane on the American operation."

The Canadian Press has reached out to National Defence and the U.S. air force for more information, but has not yet received a response.

Watkins points out there is a division of the U.S. air force in which Canadians on a military exchange jointly operate E-3G Sentry AWACS radar aircraft with American personnel. The aircraft are sometimes dispatched on expeditionary operations overseas. It's not clear if the aircraft are involved in the Iran war. Watkins said there's a good chance they are, since six have been deployed to an airbase in Saudi Arabia. "To me, it's odds are that they're involved because there's nothing that says that they're not," Watkins said, adding that the government seems to be avoiding directly addressing the question about the radar planes. McGuinty has said repeatedly Canada will not get involved "offensively" in the conflict. Watkins said the minister may be choosing his words carefully. "It's not an offensive aircraft and they're leaving that window open in their language for Canadians to defend in the future," he said. "But they haven't closed the door saying that we're not already defending our allies on that plane on the American operation." The Canadian Press has reached out to National Defence and the U.S. air force for more information, but has not yet received a response.

🫡

1 month ago 4 0 0 0
Preview
Minister says CAF 'not engaged' in Iran war as questions are asked… National Newswatch: Canada's most comprehensive site for political news and views.

The Canadian Press. "Minister Says CAF 'Not Engaged' in Iran War as Questions Are Asked about Support Role." National Newswatch, March 17, 2026. nationalnewswatch.com/2026/03/17/c....

1 month ago 4 1 1 0

I think it was probably a bomber on the way to/from Iran, many of the transports are travelling visibly with their transponders on, but the bombers are using Mode-3, visible to ATC but not commonly visible to the public.

1 month ago 3 0 1 1
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...oh hang on, it would be dark

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

Did you see what it looked like?

1 month ago 0 0 1 0

I'm Canadian, I don't even know what I'm looking at. Tacos? The best Southwestern food I've ever had was in Albuquerque. Absolutely amazing.

1 month ago 0 1 1 0

If you, a loved one or a friend were one of the CAF members serving and working within CENTCOM up to the and during the U.S. and Israel launching on Iran, or serving and working on on Ali Al-Salem Air Base - I want to hear your story. Your identity will be protected.

1 month ago 9 5 0 0
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I'll be glad when they're all eating adult food

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

Very cool.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
ONI Gameplay Walkthrough FULL GAME (4K 60FPS) No Commentary
ONI Gameplay Walkthrough FULL GAME (4K 60FPS) No Commentary YouTube video by Kouteshi

Oni (2001) 🙂

youtu.be/Ud308e58LfM

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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Dirty Vegas - Days Go By (Official Video)
Dirty Vegas - Days Go By (Official Video) YouTube video by DirtyVegasVEVO

Days Go By - Dirty Vegas (2002)
youtu.be/gLCduDJVksc

1 month ago 4 0 1 0

EXCLUSIVE: Ottawa admits to restricting intelligence with U.S. over Op. Southern Spear concerns.

Read my update here: substack.com/@thestateoft...

1 month ago 54 41 2 1

Long history of Canadians at Fort Bragg - now Fort Liberty - and that includes the 82nd Airborne.
Wonder if there are 🇨🇦 in the unit right now…

1 month ago 8 3 0 1
Independent analyst Steffan Watkins, who has been critical of the war, also has questioned the claim that Canadians were not involved in the strikes. He has said on social media it’s “unrealistic” to think Canada was not aware of the attack plans before they were executed.

Independent analyst Steffan Watkins, who has been critical of the war, also has questioned the claim that Canadians were not involved in the strikes. He has said on social media it’s “unrealistic” to think Canada was not aware of the attack plans before they were executed.

Dylan Robertson and Alessia Passafiume, “The Little We Know about Canadian Troops Stationed in the Middle East,” The Canadian Press, March 5, 2026

www.thecanadianpressnews.ca/politics/the...

1 month ago 5 1 0 0
map of the world showing where the RCN is deployed (roughly)

map of the world showing where the RCN is deployed (roughly)

🇨🇦⚓️ Royal Canadian Navy Media and Public Awareness Update (Week 9) showing the state of the RCN, and last reported locations of the fleet. Journalists should know at least this much info is publicly available.

(24 Page PDF distributed via Patreon)
www.patreon.com/posts/rcn-me...

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
Preview
Blood in the water: Canadians implicated in Op. Southern Spear Exposing the flimsy legal shield protecting Canadians who are likely involved in the U.S. military’s Op. Southern Spear - and the hard questions Ottawa hasn’t answered.

"When it comes to Op. Southern Spear, the legal loopholes Ottawa hides behind may not be enough to wash the blood off our hands."

My latest: a long-form context and analysis piece.

substack.com/@thestateoft...

1 month ago 12 8 0 1