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Posts by Rick Newman

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Pinpoint Intel, 04.21.26: Expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to stay a bit longer Plus, 3 things to know about Trump's Iran war ceasefire, the real outlook for gas prices this year, and the next Trump Cabinet secretary to go

Wondering what matters right now? Got ya covered:

~ Jerome Powell's extended stay
~ Iran's growing leverage
~ Where Trump is losing most
~ The real gas price outlook
~ Trump's next Cabinet departure

And more

The Pinpoint Intel Brief, midweek edition

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

4 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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It could take months for the Iran war to “end” The current standoff--including ultimatums, on-and-off ceasefires and constrained oil shipments--could be the new normal for a while.

When will there be an Iran peace deal?

As a template, try to guess how long it took Obama to clinch the 2015 deal that capped Iran's nuclear weapons program

3 days?
3 months?
9 months?

Trump killed that deal BTW 😒

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 day ago 1 1 0 0
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The Weekly WTF: The silliest day in presidential history Plus, Trump's war with the pope, a Democrat's epic collapse, and the latest meme stock

This stuff actually happened:

~ Trump’s ego got bigger
~ Jesus wars
~ Fastest Democratic career implosion ever
~ Gig worker has no opinion on trans issues (not an Onion headline)

And more

Your Weekly WTF!

Only at The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

4 days ago 2 0 0 0
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Happy Tax Evasion Day!

IRS staffing is at the lowest levels since the 1960s and tax evasion will cost the US govt ~ $700 billion this year

Just as Trump and Republicans want

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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4 reasons for investor optimism, despite the Iran war Wall Street is starting to look past the war--and sees money to be made.

Stocks are now positive for the year and markets are looking past the war

4 reasons for optimism

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With the usual nice chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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All of Trump’s losing causes Trump backed the loser in Hungarian elections, extending a string of bad bets. Now the world wonders if he'll fumble the Iran war next.

Trump backed Orban and lost

He fought the pope and lost (in Round 1)

He backs Russia over Ukraine, another losing bet

Now we have to worry his Iran blockade is another loser

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With great maps by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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Pinpoint Intel, 4.11.2026: Markets after the Iran war, and what the astronauts saw Plus, the Internet imagines Trump as a war philosopher with some peculiar strategems

Struggling to follow the news? I've got you covered. 7 things that matter:

~ Markets after the war

~ Inflation upshot

~ What the astronauts saw

Plus meme of the week, tons of chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social and more

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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The Weekly WTF: America won its holy war so now Epstein is back Plus, JD Vance endorses poverty and corruption, and Iran makes a funny

This stuff actually happened:

~ Melania revived the Epstein scandal
~ Iran trolled Trump with surrender memes
~ Trump gave Iran war update with the Easter bunny
~ VEEP campaigned for more poverty in Europe

And more

Your Weekly WTF, only at The Pinpoint Press…

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 week ago 3 1 1 0
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Trump’s inflation immolation The president who vowed to lower prices has instead sent them soaring

Surge in inflation is no surprise, yet it's a poignant moment to behold the stunning damage one man can do if stubborn and foolish enough.

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 week ago 3 1 0 0
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Here’s the economic toll of the Iran war (so far) If the ceasefire lasts, it will limit the damage--yet many scars remain

Even if the ceasefire lasts, the Iran war is going to cost everybody

@dfostergraphics.bsky.social and I show how

~ Inflation higher
~ Interest rates higher
~ GDP lower

And more

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 week ago 0 1 0 0
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5 huge problems with the US-Iran ceasefire Iran could end up with more leverage over energy markets than it had before the war.

5 huge problems with the Trump-Iran ceasefire:

~ Iran has more control than ever over Persian Gulf oil shipments

~ Plus a huge new revenue source to rebuild its military -- tanker tolls

~ There's no chance it will give up its nukes

More at The Pinpoint Press…

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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Trump’s phony war deadlines Iran is not going to open the Strait of Hormuz just because Trump issues an ultimatum

Could everybody stop freaking out about Trump's Iran war deadlines

Iran is not going to open the Strait of Hormuz because Trump issues an ultimatum

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

2 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
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Pinpoint Intel, 04.04.26: What two downed jets tells us about the Iran war Plus, markets rally but maybe they shouldn't; and our new pick for Trump's worst Cabinet secretary

What mattered this week:

~ 2 planes down in Iran, here's what it means
~ stocks rally, but why?
~ the NEW worst Trump cabinet secretary

Plus meme of the week and tons of chartwork by
@dfostergraphics.bsky.social

And more

Latest from The Pinpoint Press…

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Hey, Trump: Fire Hegseth Making Hegseth the fall guy for a poorly planned war in Iran could be the quickest pathway to a cease-fire deal.

While he's clearing house, Trump should fire Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth

Then Trump can say the dumb war was all Hegseth's idea and he's ready to make a deal with Iran

Latest from The Pinpoint Press, with terrific maps by
@dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

2 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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The Weekly WTF: God mulls US request for overwhelming violence Plus, bimboification, biblical intervention in the Strait of Hormuz, and America's crashing reputation

This stuff actually happened:

~ Worldwide primer on "bimbofication"
~ Hegseth asks God for "overwhelming violence"
~ Trump points out Iran War much shorter than Vietnam War
~ America's approval falls below China's

Your weekly WTF, only at The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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Trump pranks financial markets, again Trump's April Fools' Day speech killed market hopes for a cease-fire and revealed a desperate president grasping for a way out.

Trump is pranking investors

You're all onto it, right? 🤔

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With great chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Decades of energy-efficiency gains are saving the US economy Americans spend far less on energy than they used to, which is blunting the pain of the Iran war oil crisis

People don't appreciate how important energy efficiency is

All those annoying rules boosting gas mileage and cutting home energy use have insulated the US economy from Iran war damage

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Trump’s 6 craziest Iran war statements The president's own words reveal how badly he's mishandling the war he started on February 28.

The war will end soon, we don't need Hormuz, get your own oil ...

6 of the craziest things Trump has said about the Iran war

And markets sometimes believe it! 😧

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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$4 gas hurts, but not like it used to Pump prices have been considerably higher in the past, when you adjust for inflation

$4 gas is painful, but adjusted for inflation, gasoline prices were higher in 2008, 2011 and 2022

$5 gas may be the new pain threshold

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by
@dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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The whole world is watching the Strait of Hormuz. When will it reopen? What will it take?

@dfostergraphics.bsky.social and I built these maps as a guide

Full story ~ open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Pinpoint Intel, 03.28.26: Shaky wartime president sinks stocks Plus, how to make $90 million off a Trump tweet

Behind on the news? Got you covered. What mattered this week:

~ Shaky wartime prez sinks stocks
~ Rates soar along with oil
~ Iran war still winnable

Plus vote for the meme of the week 👇

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

3 weeks ago 1 0 1 1

Very quaint idea

But sorry, the US military doesn't want 20 million hapless kids who don't want to be there

It's a selective and professional force now

Not a social way station

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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The Weekly WTF: Imaginary presents from Iran Plus,

This stuff actually happened:

~ Trump thinks Iran is sending him presents

~ Trump sends in rigged mail ballot

~ The REAL perks airlines should offer members of Congress

Weekly WTF, only at The Pinpoint Press

With chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

3 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Hi guys!

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Pencil in May 1 as the Hormuz Strait reopening date President Trump set absurd expectations for how long this complex mission would take. Yet progress is underway.

Everybody wants to know when the Strait of Hormuz will reopen and oil will start flowing again

Okay, how about ~ May 1?

With terrific map by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Where stocks will go after the Iran war ends Sam Ro of the TKer newsletter reminds us where the stock market was before the war started, and offers thoughts on where it might go after.

Main thing moving stocks right now is obviously the Iran war

But the war will end and ... then what?

Short answer ~ US companies still rock

Sam Ro @tker.co and I discussed recently at The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

3 weeks ago 4 2 1 0
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Welcome to Market Madness! Trump is using the Iran war to manipulate financial markets on an epic scale.

Today's big rally? It's market manipulation on an epic scale

Who actually believes Trump is negotiating an end to the Iran war?

He's lying over and over and markets are gobbling it up 🤔

Here's @dfostergraphics.bsky.social and I with the sobering reality

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Pinpoint Intel, 3.21.26: Iran war bungled, not lost Plus, don't look at your 401(k) for awhile, meme of the week, and green-energy shines (really!)

Losing track of the news? Got you covered.

What matters this week:

~ How the Iran war ends
~ When stocks recover
~ Good news on green energy!

Plus meme of the week 😄

And more, in the Pinpoint intel brief

With great graphics by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Big winner from US-Iran war? Iranian oil exporters! (aka Iranian regime) 🤔

See why in the Weekly WTF

Also ~ Little Marco's little feet, Churchill v. Badger and a requiem for Banksy's anonymity

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Map by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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Some commentators wondering why it's "taking so long" to kill all the Iranian threats to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz

So @dfostergraphics.bsky.social and I made this map to explain why

Full story at The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0