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Posts by GEOPOLIST - Istanbul Center for Geopolitics

2- Hakan Fidan’s presence on the Ukrainian side of the meeting alongside Zelensky and al-Sharaa sharpened that impression even further, turning the image into a broader political signal to Moscow.

2 weeks ago 6 2 0 0

1- After Erdoğan’s phone call with Putin on Friday, Zelensky visited Turkey and then flew to Damascus on a Turkish aircraft to meet al-Sharaa. The fact that Zelensky posed so publicly in front of the plane suggests that this was meant to be seen as more than a routine logistical arrangement.

2 weeks ago 8 2 2 0

Correction: "...on the SAME day the C-130 forensic report surfaced, and TWO days after the Russian embassy in Ankara..."👇

2 weeks ago 6 2 0 1

Apparently, after our piece came out, Erdoğan and Putin figured it was time for a phone call — one day before the C-130 forensic report surfaced, and a day after the Russian embassy in Ankara issued a subtle warning about the Turkish Straits and Montreux.👇

www.dailysabah.com/politics/dip...

2 weeks ago 6 2 0 1
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Only After Perinçek’s Claim Did a Forensic Report Emerge on Turkey’s Deadly C-130 Crash A forensic report prepared as part of the investigation into the November 2025 crash of a Turkish military C-130 cargo plane near the Georgia-Azerbaijan border found no evidence of external interventi...

2-...deepening doubts about how the investigation has been handled..." newsaboutturkey.com/2026/04/03/o...

2 weeks ago 3 2 0 0

1- "...The latest forensic findings may have closed off one politically explosive theory, but they do not resolve the larger issue. Nearly five months after the crash, the public still does not know what brought the aircraft down, and the late release of even a limited forensic conclusion risks...👇

2 weeks ago 4 2 1 0

We were the first to draw attention to the delay in the report nearly three months ago. After that, some exiled journalists, and eventually Perinçek himself, began pressing for the outcome.
👇
newsaboutturkey.com/2026/04/03/o...

2 weeks ago 4 2 0 0
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Only After Perinçek’s Claim Did a Forensic Report Emerge on Turkey’s Deadly C-130 Crash A forensic report prepared as part of the investigation into the November 2025 crash of a Turkish military C-130 cargo plane near the Georgia-Azerbaijan border found no evidence of external interventi...

Only After Perinçek’s Claim Did a Forensic Report Emerge on Turkey’s Deadly C-130 Crash newsaboutturkey.com/2026/04/03/o...

2 weeks ago 3 2 0 0

b-...that Montreux remains a historic pillar of Black Sea stability and a sensitive red line against wider NATO naval entry.
geopolist.com/nato-in-adan...

2 weeks ago 3 2 0 0
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a-Russia’s embassy in Ankara is not only 'praising' Turkey’s “balanced and responsible” stance on Montreux, but also sending a subtle warning. By sharing the 1936 Ulus headline — “Atatürk Turkey’s New Victory” and “The Straits Convention Was Signed Tonight in Montreux” — Moscow is reminding Ankara..

2 weeks ago 4 2 1 0
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NATO in Adana, NATO at the Straits: Turkey and the Geography of the Next War For years, Turkey’s relationship with NATO has been described in contradictory terms: indispensable yet difficult, central yet mistrustful, formally aligned yet politically ambivalent. Under the AKP, ...

2-...eastern-flank states, despite possessing one of NATO’s strongest land armies..."
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geopolist.com/nato-in-adan...

3 weeks ago 4 2 0 0

1-"That is why the Beykoz initiative has triggered such a strong reaction across very different ideological camps. Nationalist critics, in particular Eurasianists, see it as a sovereignty issue. They also question whether Turkey is being inserted into a model designed for smaller, more vulnerable...

3 weeks ago 3 2 1 1
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NATO in Adana, NATO at the Straits: Turkey and the Geography of the Next War For years, Turkey’s relationship with NATO has been described in contradictory terms: indispensable yet difficult, central yet mistrustful, formally aligned yet politically ambivalent. Under the AKP, ...

...and potentially global, war amid recent NATO initiatives on Turkish soil.
geopolist.com/nato-in-adan...

3 weeks ago 3 2 0 0

Perinçek, the public face of Turkey’s Eurasianist camp, claimed that Israel had brought down both a Libyan jet carrying Libya’s top general and a Turkish military cargo plane that crashed in Georgia after taking off from Azerbaijan—at a time when Ankara is being drawn ever deeper into a regional,...

3 weeks ago 4 2 1 2

Özgür Özel: “The ballot box, the Republic’s most important achievement, is under threat. It was effectively seized in the local elections, and if the right atmosphere is created, the same will be done in the general elections; if not, perhaps even that plan will be dropped.”👇

3 weeks ago 4 2 0 0

Correction: "Almost five months..."

3 weeks ago 3 2 0 0
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Almost four months have passed, yet no official information has come from Turkey, despite the fact that authorities said they needed at least two months to complete the investigation.

3 weeks ago 3 2 0 1

TUAF543: Accident at FL240—or a Message to Ankara?
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geopolist.com/tuaf543-acci...

3 weeks ago 3 2 0 1

"...That sensitivity is heightened by the visible cooling in top-level Turkish-Russian contact: some Turkish media now report that Erdoğan and Putin have not spoken directly for roughly four months, although their last publicly reported in-person meeting was on December 12, 2025,..."👇

3 weeks ago 5 2 1 3
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NATO in Adana, NATO at the Straits: Turkey and the Geography of the Next War For years, Turkey’s relationship with NATO has been described in contradictory terms: indispensable yet difficult, central yet mistrustful, formally aligned yet politically ambivalent. Under the AKP, ...

2-...southern and Black Sea security map at a moment of intensifying regional and global confrontation..."
geopolist.com/nato-in-adan...

3 weeks ago 3 2 0 0

1-"...The planned, and in some cases already established, multinational corps (MNC) in Adana and the planned naval component command near the Bosphorus are not minor administrative adjustments. Taken together, they suggest that Turkey is being repositioned more firmly within NATO’s emerging...👇

3 weeks ago 3 2 1 0
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NATO in Adana, NATO at the Straits: Turkey and the Geography of the Next War For years, Turkey’s relationship with NATO has been described in contradictory terms: indispensable yet difficult, central yet mistrustful, formally aligned yet politically ambivalent. Under the AKP, ...

NATO in Adana, NATO at the Straits: Turkey and the Geography of the Next War geopolist.com/nato-in-adan...

3 weeks ago 3 3 0 1

Erdoğan, who once stormed out of Davos after the 2009 “one minute” clash and declared that “Davos is finished” for him, has now, in the midst of the Israel-Iran war, welcomed BlackRock CEO and World Economic Forum Interim Co-Chair Laurence D. Fink to Istanbul in a closed-door meeting on March 27.

3 weeks ago 4 2 0 0
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Two years ago, we argued that a new Kurdish peace framework would emerge as part of a wider geopolitical recalibration. Today, that scenario is taking shape before our eyes.👇

3 weeks ago 4 2 0 1
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Turkey says NATO intercepts fourth Iranian ballistic missile entering its airspace Turkey said on Monday that NATO air and missile defense systems intercepted a ballistic missile launched from Iran after it entered Turkish airspace, in what Ankara described as the fourth such incide...

Turkey says NATO intercepts fourth Iranian ballistic missile entering its airspace newsaboutturkey.com/2026/03/31/t...

3 weeks ago 3 3 0 0
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Therefore, it carries the grave potential to escalate into a Third World War, with catastrophic consequences for Iran, Iraq’s most politically and religiously symbolic cities, and even Saudi Arabia’s capital, Riyadh, in an extreme scenario involving atomic or nuclear weapons.

3 weeks ago 4 2 0 0

So this war is not only about the survival of the regime in Iran; it is also about the survival of Western hegemony led by the United States.

3 weeks ago 4 2 0 1

2-...Beijing, for its part, would not need to invade Taiwan tomorrow to profit from the moment. It would only need to see that the United States still possesses overwhelming military force, yet increasingly struggles to convert that force into durable strategic order..."

3 weeks ago 3 2 0 0

1- "...Russia and China would read an unfinished Iran war as an invitation, not a warning. Moscow would see greater room to press harder in Ukraine, potentially seize more territory, and demand broader concessions while America’s global hegemonic image is visibly damaged...👇

3 weeks ago 3 2 1 1

If Özgür Özel believes he can weaken Erdoğan’s government by targeting a single figure, he is badly misreading the nature of the regime. Erdoğan’s system is full of senior bureaucrats chosen precisely because their vulnerability to wealth accumulation makes them loyal, useful, and easy to control.

3 weeks ago 4 2 0 0