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Posts by Gustavo Diaz

Examining Religious and Racial Identity for Black Christians and Muslims in the United States | Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics | Cambridge Core Examining Religious and Racial Identity for Black Christians and Muslims in the United States

It is always nice to wake up to a FirstView from JREP, but never more so than when you are working with a brilliant student, especially Eden Melles.

This article examines how religious identity (Muslim and Christian) shapes Black American political attitudes.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

3 days ago 2 1 0 0
STAT 447 (2026) Guest Lecture by Vincent Arel-Bundock
STAT 447 (2026) Guest Lecture by Vincent Arel-Bundock YouTube video by Dirk Eddelbuettel

The great @eddelbuettel.com invited me to his STAT447 class at the University of Illinois.

If you'd like to hear me speak about the interpretation of statistical models in #RStats, using the {marginaleffects} 📦, check out the video!

www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3TX...

4 days ago 71 20 0 2

#polisky share far and wide: @apsa.bsky.social Statement on the Proposed Elimination of the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences Directorate at the National Science Foundation

apsanet.org/wp-content/u...

1 week ago 66 79 2 6
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I am excited to announce the beta release of @verasight.io’s Free AI Survey Programming Tool: Doc2Survey, that automatically converts any survey drafted in a Word or Google Doc to a programmed Qualtrics survey (.qsf file). We are making Doc2Survey available for free! www.verasight.io/doc2survey

1 week ago 41 20 3 5
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Emotions on Our Screens Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Emotions on Our Screens

Now more than ever we encounter each other's emotions about politics, on social media and in the news. When do we take strangers' emotional expression seriously, and when do we dismiss it as inappropriate or even insincere? You can find out now in our Cambridge Element!

2 weeks ago 12 8 2 0
Call for Proposals: Data Collection for
Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments
Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath
January 27, 2026
We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se-
lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of
American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality
and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com).
Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously
published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’
choosing.
The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a
meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi-
pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit
to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for
submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.

Call for Proposals: Data Collection for Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath January 27, 2026 We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se- lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com). Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’ choosing. The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi- pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺

1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment
2️⃣ run a novel experiment

on repdata.com

3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies
4️⃣ publish your study

details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_...
applications open Feb 1

please repost!

2 months ago 80 71 0 4

After years in academia, I’m exploring data science and research roles in industry.

I'm a quant. social scientist (PhD Yale ’24, NYU) focused on causal inference, experiments, and large-scale data.

Feel free to get in touch or share; all leads appreciated. dwstommes@gmail.com

2 months ago 31 20 0 0

Yes, I know I am late. Yes, I know the world is on fire. Sorry!

3 months ago 1 0 0 0

Looking for 1-2 papers (and maybe one more discussant) to put together an #APSA2026 panel proposal on recent methodological developments in surveys/experiments (can go either way). Feel free to reach out!

3 months ago 3 5 2 0
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Texas Methods Conference 2026 Please answer the following questions to indicate your interest in attending and/or participating at our conference, which is scheduled to take place on Friday and Saturday, February 20-21, at Texas A...

Calling those looking to get feedback on their quant work📢: Join us at @TexasAM for TexMeth2026 this Feb. Great opportunity to connect with the regional community and showcase your research. The sun will still be strong for those coming from the north!🤝📊☀️

Apply: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

4 months ago 4 3 0 0

Shameless plug. We made a similar distinction a while ago: gustavodiaz.org/files/resear...

I appreciate the emphasis on the importance of intellectual origins and how they map to different goals. Sometimes people talk past each other because their training emphasizes one or the other more.

4 months ago 3 1 1 0
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Currently in FirstView: In “Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data,” Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Tiago Ventura, @jonathannagler.bsky.social, @ericka.bric.digital, & Magdalena Wojcieszak provide evidence on survey professionalism across three samples.

4 months ago 11 8 1 0
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An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment

Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects:
-"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size"
-"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant"
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

4 months ago 84 36 4 3
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🏆APSA's Experimental Research Section Best Paper Award🏆
Did you present an experiment at APSA2026? Submit your conference paper for the Experimental Research Section's best paper award by April 15, 2026. @sumitra.bsky.social @talbotmandrews.bsky.social and I are excited to read your work!

5 months ago 3 4 1 1
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Currently in FirstView: In “Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design,” @gustavodiaz.org and Erin Rossiter study how experimental design choices can increase precision when estimating treatment effects. Specifically, they examine block-randomized and pre-post designs.

6 months ago 19 9 1 0

Just over one week to go before the September 16 deadline.

Excited to review the applications and engage with folks’ work!

7 months ago 2 1 0 0
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Check out this fascinating paper by my colleagues Erin Rossiter and Jeff Harden. Such a cool design and interesting findings. Plus, Taylor!

8 months ago 15 6 1 0
“Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design.”
Political Analysis, 2025, 1–10. 
https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2025.10008

Gustavo Diaz and Erin Rossiter

In experimental social science, precise treatment effect estimation is of utmost importance, and researchers can make design choices to increase precision. Specifically, block-randomized and pre-post designs are promoted as effective means to increase precision. However, implementing these designs requires pre-treatment covariates, and collecting this information may decrease sample sizes, which in and of itself harms precision. Therefore, despite the literature’s recommendation to use block-randomized and pre-post designs, it remains unclear when to expect these designs to increase precision in applied settings. We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation. Our findings underscore the importance of incorporating researchers’ practical concerns into existing experimental design advice.

“Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design.” Political Analysis, 2025, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2025.10008 Gustavo Diaz and Erin Rossiter In experimental social science, precise treatment effect estimation is of utmost importance, and researchers can make design choices to increase precision. Specifically, block-randomized and pre-post designs are promoted as effective means to increase precision. However, implementing these designs requires pre-treatment covariates, and collecting this information may decrease sample sizes, which in and of itself harms precision. Therefore, despite the literature’s recommendation to use block-randomized and pre-post designs, it remains unclear when to expect these designs to increase precision in applied settings. We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation. Our findings underscore the importance of incorporating researchers’ practical concerns into existing experimental design advice.

"We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation."

@gustavodiaz.org & Erin Rossiter via @polanalysis.bsky.social doi.org/10.1017/pan....

8 months ago 6 2 1 0
The image displays the text "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in bold white letters on a red background, above the hashtag "#FirstView" in white text, set against a yellow background.

The image displays the text "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in bold white letters on a red background, above the hashtag "#FirstView" in white text, set against a yellow background.

#OpenAccess from ‪@polanalysis.bsky.social -

Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design - cup.org/44E5isE

- @gustavodiaz.org & Erin Rossiter

#FirstView

8 months ago 3 5 0 0
BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

From April 2025 -

Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina - cup.org/4clGHLw

- @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters

#OpenAccess

10 months ago 5 5 1 0
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Postdoc Position Adaptive Structures Lab | Lucia Stein-Montalvo 📢 The Adaptive Structures Lab (adaptivestructureslab.com) at Northwestern University (northwestern.edu) is hiring! Please share this post with your network. We are seeking a postdoctoral researcher t...

📢 The Adaptive Structures Lab is hiring a postdoc! Learn more here: www.linkedin.com/posts/lsmont...

10 months ago 3 2 0 0
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The Experimental Research section of the American Political Science Association (@experimentsapsa.bsky.social) invites research proposals from post-prospectus PhD students for its Experimental Research Early-Career Fellowship program. Share this post! @apsa.bsky.social, @poscresearch.bsky.social

10 months ago 19 30 0 2

I'm super excited to be giving a tutorial at the useR conference (Duke) this summer!

Let me know if you're thinking about signing up, or if you'll be in Durham and want to chat over coffee.

I'd love to connect with other #Rstats enthusiasts!

11 months ago 21 4 0 0
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hermione granger from harry potter is wearing a black sweater and a red tie and looking at the camera . Alt: hermione granger from harry potter is wearing a black sweater and a red tie and looking at the camera .

Virtual and IRL in Ann Arbor seats still available for my @icpsrsummer.bsky.social workshop on Multilevel Modelling in the Social Sciences from July 7-11. It's 40 hours or a semester of content in just 5 days. Bring your project data! myumi.ch/JwM8e #SumProg25 #ICPSR

11 months ago 7 7 0 0
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Thrilled to share my article “The Right Kind of (Gay) Man?” was accepted @thejop.bsky.social I started it as a 1st-year grad student, it became my MA, then a dissertation & job market paper. It’s the piece I’m most proud of (and relieved to finally share) 🏳️‍🌈 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

11 months ago 69 17 7 3

Come work with me! McMaster is the best Canadian research university w/a medical school that you've never heard of™!

Though there are areas listed, the field is actually wide open! These Research Chairs come with research funding.

universityaffairs.ca/search-job/?...

11 months ago 17 9 2 3

Hey, I'm on the Casual Inference podcast this week!

I've been a massive fan of @lucystats.bsky.social and @epiellie.bsky.social since Episode 1 of Casual Inference. Talking to great experts (and conversationalists!) like them was a ton of fun.

Thanks so much for the invitation!

11 months ago 62 7 1 0

"It was derivatives all along"

11 months ago 2 0 0 0
Diaz, Gustavo, Virginia Oliveros, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, and Matthew S. Winters. “Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina.” British Journal of Political Science 55 (2025): e54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123424000668.

Abstract 

How does a politician’s gender shape citizen responses to performance in office? Much of the existing literature suggests that voters hold higher expectations of women politicians and are more likely to punish them for malfeasance. An alternative perspective suggests that voters view men politicians as more agentic and are, therefore, more responsive to their performance, whether good or bad. Using an online survey experiment in Argentina, we randomly assign respondents to information that the distribution of a government food programme in a hypothetical city is biased or unbiased, and we also randomly assign the gender of the mayor. We find that respondents are more responsive to performance information – both positive and negative – about men mayors. We find little evidence that respondents hold different expectations of malfeasance by men versus women politicians. These results contribute to our understanding of how citizens process performance information in a context with few women politicians.

Diaz, Gustavo, Virginia Oliveros, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, and Matthew S. Winters. “Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina.” British Journal of Political Science 55 (2025): e54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123424000668. Abstract How does a politician’s gender shape citizen responses to performance in office? Much of the existing literature suggests that voters hold higher expectations of women politicians and are more likely to punish them for malfeasance. An alternative perspective suggests that voters view men politicians as more agentic and are, therefore, more responsive to their performance, whether good or bad. Using an online survey experiment in Argentina, we randomly assign respondents to information that the distribution of a government food programme in a hypothetical city is biased or unbiased, and we also randomly assign the gender of the mayor. We find that respondents are more responsive to performance information – both positive and negative – about men mayors. We find little evidence that respondents hold different expectations of malfeasance by men versus women politicians. These results contribute to our understanding of how citizens process performance information in a context with few women politicians.

MUST READ new article from @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters via @bjpols.bsky.social

Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina

doi.org/10.1017/S000...

#openaccess #polisky #NUResearch

1 year ago 14 7 0 0
BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

NEW -

Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina - cup.org/4clGHLw

- @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters

#OpenAccess

1 year ago 6 6 0 1
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