One can argue that it would be worse too. And there are variants — does the munitions support come with the US level of ISR and targeting support that has gone this far into the Iran war?

Thought experiment (certainly not original): how and how much better would US and global security be if the US had provided all the munitions it has used against Iran since 2/28 to Ukraine instead? (Yes, yes, Ukraine cannot use some of the munitions, lacks the platforms, but in general). Discuss.

Such a fantastic reference! (And way older than I thought!) Gave me a chuckle. Thanks very much for that.

IISS is looking for a drone researcher!

(I started my career counting drones for IISS’s military balance)

www.iiss.org/careers/jobs...

Nice riff on Saturday in the Park lyrics.

Yes. Hence my point that we are not there yet on many things. As they say, every war must end.

One would think. I would like. I highly doubt.

Russia is providing Iran intelligence to target U.S. forces, officials say The targeting information has included the locations of American warships and aircraft in the Middle East, the officials said.

Exclusive: Russia is providing Iran with targeting information to attack American forces in the Middle East, the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is participating — even indirectly — in the war.

media.defense.gov/2026/Feb/27/...

This university is one of the "potential new partner institutions" that Secretary Hegseth has directed for senior military officers to attend for certain graduate school education and fellowships instead of the Ivies and a number of other universities. He characterized the new list as "elite."

CENTCOM X post talked about targeting Iranian submarines as well.

02134! Send it to Zoom!

Super quick look: not been ignored and experts have been discussing/publishing on, this issue for years now. Only one example: Big Data and Armed Conflict: Legal Issues Above and Below the Armed Conflict Threshold, Laura A. Dickinson (ed.), Edward W. Berg (ed.) 2023, Oxford U Press

On obligation of differentiation, I will let the law of armed conflict experts weigh in. From my reading over the past two plus years, it is a “yes, but” or “yes, and” situation with lots of discretion for the commander in weighing tradeoffs and interpreting information. Again, not an expert.

Many things here on which I am not at all an expert. Genuine ?: Are or will many data centers be inherently dual-use (used by/for civilian and military purposes)? If so, then the framing is perhaps more neutral than yours — no one is necessarily “hiding” something. It is simply how things are.

As more governments use AI as parts of intelligence and policy, how are data centers not part of a country’s C4I infrastructure and therefore a rational and potential military target, depending on one’s policy aims in using force?

Bluff or Death? How to Assess Nuclear “Threats” In turbulent times, the less precise our nuclear discourse, the more fear nuclear manipulators can elicit.

We @apln.network are pleased to partner with
@carnegieendowment.org & Nautilus Institute on new paper series exploring dynamics around nuclear signaling and threats. The launch discussion for the first of these is Tues Feb 10 at 0900 EST - sign up today! carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

Some eye-popping cost estimates for the battleship, courtesy of Eric Labs of the Congressional Budget Office. 1 BBG could buy up to 7 DDGs (which, btw is 128 VLS cells and 12 CPS cells vs 672 VLS cells). In the words of the immortal Ron O’Rourke, which came first: the program or the analysis?

Do we have a sense of how “nearby” the Russian vessels were? They would have limited options to intervene, especially at a distance, unless they wanted to fire at a US CG ship or SOF helo.

Front pages of American newspapers after Jan. 6, 2021, with headlines like "Capitol Chaos," "Assault on Democracy," "Pro-Trump mob storms Capitol."

Five years ago.

USG will want to seize the tankers (with low risk), although they could choose to stop them by disabling fire first. Seizure would likely require some "high demand; low density" assets or capabilities such as VBSS (visit, board, search, seizure) teams (USN, USCG, SOF). So some limits might exist.

*6-3
So this was a HUGE question mark, and it’s fascinating that they decided this way.
The statute (32 USC 12406) at its inception MUST have meant the regular armed forces (as few/none of the other forces existed at the time, and it was about making the NG a federal reserve component of the Army)..

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Pentagon Orders Aircraft Carrier to the Caribbean The move would be a major escalation of the Trump administration’s military campaign to target drug smugglers and threaten governments in Latin America.

Signs mounting that U.S. plans to bomb Venezuela, ostensibly with the goal of toppling the regime. Unfortunately the track record of this kind of campaign is uniformly poor. A short thread. 1/8
www.wsj.com/world/americ...

Must read thread by the best person to read on these issues!

More information is being released about Epstein by the House? And the discharge petition might have enough votes very soon?

Thank you Anna! So critical to have this, in detail, on the public record while it is happening.