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Posts by Jason Reifler

I’d probably replace Roberts and Reed with Rupert Murdoch/Roger Ailes higher and John McCain/Sarah Palin, respectively. The former created the media environment for the full authoritarians to thrive, and McCain nominating Palin showed that GOP voters were willing to embrace that on a wide scale.

23 hours ago 3 0 0 0

Ideally the “it’s ok to miss a flight” attitude resolves the tension of arriving with insufficient time and needing special treatment. In reality, I suspect it does not.

1 day ago 24 0 1 0

“In exchange for giving up your nuclear weapons program, we will give you nuclear weapons” would be the face-palmiest denouement of all time.

4 days ago 7 0 1 0

Here’s my guess at Spurs first XI at Sunderland under RDZ:

Kinsky
Porro Romero VdV Udogie
Gallagher Gray
RKM Xavi Tel
Solanke

1 week ago 1 0 2 0
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🚨 New paper with great co-authors (@oguzhan-alkan.bsky.social @rdassonneville.bsky.social @zeynsom.bsky.social) in Political Behavior!

How well do citizens perceive where parties stand? 🤔

Open access: rdcu.be/fb83Z

1 week ago 57 18 2 2

Do apply to this six-year research and teaching position! Apart from teaching two classes a term, you should have ample time to focus on your research goals as part of an international department in a great (and affordable) city.

1 week ago 32 16 1 0

I know my social media posting does not influence government. That said, I implore the US not to make a bad situation worse by engaging in widespread war crimes via targeting of civilian infrastructure. Even if not strategically and tactically wrong (it is), it would still be morally wrong.

1 week ago 40 6 4 0
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“Next week is infrastructure week” has taken a very dark war crimey turn.

2 weeks ago 23 3 1 0
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Is 1972 version what we publicly knew then, or what we learned later? I shudder to think what we might learn about this administration in the years ahead.

In either case, has to be Nixon. We know American democracy can survive Nixon. We’re not sure about Trump (and prognosis is alarming).

2 weeks ago 4 0 1 0

Not a tactico, but I think because not enough ability to advance the ball across the team. Destroyer profile not as helpful when struggling to get the ball across halfway line, and he doesn’t add enough there.

2 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

-Richarlison comes ~65th minute, usually for Tel but sometimes Dom

-why do Spurs have a team with six 8s and no 6s? I just don’t understand how to make roster/rotation work with AG, PMS, CG, LB, RB, and JP

-Maddison and Kulu return last 2-3 games, coming on ~80th min (10 and RW, respectively)

2 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

Not thrilled at Spurs appointing de Zerbi. Best case is win 3 games before Everton, and then inevitable falling out happens 16 months ahead of schedule.

Here’s my guess at XI (4-2-3-1):

Kinsky
Porro Romero VdV Udogie
Gallagher Gray
Kudus Xavi Tel
Solanke

(Vic/Bentancur for AK & CG once healthy)

2 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

Grammar police, arrest this man!

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

This is so bonkers — there absolutely are right wing publishers fully willing to publish polemical garbage. That presumably even they didn’t want this manuscript speaks volumes.

3 weeks ago 5 1 1 0

Join us in the fight to defend U.S. democracy. Stay informed. Follow our experts:

3 weeks ago 24 14 0 0

Fill in the following blank with the least credible name that still makes a true statement (for you):

I find that Tottenham Hotspur are in productive discussion with [insert name] to be their next manager more believable than the US is in productive peace talks with Iran.

3 weeks ago 0 0 5 0

At this level, I think most people have near psychopathic levels of competitiveness (both players and coaches). I am not worried about coaches "caring." They might bolt when things go bad (e.g., Conte) because their competitiveness outweighs their caring. But they're not going to slack.

3 weeks ago 1 0 1 0
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Spurs pursuing RdZ with VV in charge is hardly surprising (and disheartening). How long did the accused defensive midfielder overlap with Vinai at that nearby team?

Put aside those issues — does RdZ even make sense tactically with current squad? Bait press, and beat with short accurate passing?

3 weeks ago 9 1 1 0

Not sure why Spurs need Roberto de Zerbi when Ryan de Masona is clearly available.

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Miscellanea: The War in Iran This post is a set of my observations on the current war in Iran and my thoughts on the broader strategic implications. I am not, of course, an expert on the region nor do I have access to any spec…

Very distressing but important insight from @bretdevereaux.bsky.social regarding the Iran War.

acoup.blog/2026/03/25/m...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

“We break it, you fix it” is a substantial twist on the Iraq War ‘Pottery Barn’ rule.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/You_bre....

3 weeks ago 3 1 0 0

Congrats!

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

war_iran_final-blow_v1.pdf

war_iran_final-final-blow-v2.pdf

war_iran_final-blow-no edits.pdf

war_iran_final-blow-no edits (1).pdf

war_iran_final-blow-no edits (1) APPROVED.pdf

IRANWARPLANSFINALFINALFINAL.pdf

IRANWARPLANSFINALFINALFINAL (1).pdf

3 weeks ago 9562 1880 212 53
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Iran war lacks strategy, goals, legitimacy and support – in the US and around the world The US and Israel have taken a huge risk by attacking Iran. This war will make the world a more dangerous place.

The #IranWar lacks strategy, goals, legitimacy and support, says our expert Prof Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social.

Writing for @uk.theconversation.com, he asks under what conditions do people support military action.

Read more👉 theconversation.com/iran-war-lac...

@sotonpolitics.bsky.social

3 weeks ago 4 4 0 0
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Preview
Iran war lacks strategy, goals, legitimacy and support – in the US and around the world The US and Israel have taken a huge risk by attacking Iran. This war will make the world a more dangerous place.

Here is my new piece about public opinion and the Iran War. Decades of political science research has examined what factors generate and maintain public support for military action. In the case of Iran, the U.S. lacks all of them.

theconversation.com/iran-war-lac...

3 weeks ago 16 10 1 2

To quote perhaps my favorite line from Hamilton:

“Immigrants, we get the job done!”

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

In haiku form (assuming I counted syllables correctly), something like:

American might
Revealed to the world weakness
China is watching

(Not sure Iran reveals American military weakness as much as it reveals weakness in strategic thought, which is a different kind of bad)

4 weeks ago 2 0 1 0

Quick thought: Sending ICE agents to airports is a dumb idea. That said, ICE agents menacingly and unhelpfully standing around doing nothing is about a best case scenario of their deployment.

4 weeks ago 5 0 0 0

I know that Star Trek is fiction. But good lord this is similar to Picard defeating the Borg by issuing the lowly defended sleep command. Enemies are supposed to find weaknesses. But I’m sure we don’t have any weaknesses hidden in plain view that could be used against us. <insert Padme meme here.>

4 weeks ago 4 2 0 0
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On the one hand, it is good to walk back from ridiculous escalatory threats. On the other, it is bad for a POTUS to use social media to make destabilizing policy pronouncements in the first place, and then walk them back through what I suspect are exaggerated claims ("productive talks").

4 weeks ago 1 2 1 0