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Posts by Skeletor Capital

Or Claude-kun, as he is known to the Nihonjin

4 days ago 1 0 0 0

Nontrivial amount of this intrayear is likely LGES ramping for R2 launch.

4 days ago 2 0 1 0

Sadly Trade Adjustment Assistance was pretty well-studied I think. In fairness to TAA, the places affected tended to be relatively narrow suburban industrial markets with high rates of homeownership so there was a fair bit of lock-in

1 week ago 1 0 1 0

I think they change quantization depending on time of day. Also new default effort is medium, while max effort sometimes has a paperclip maximizing effect.

1 week ago 3 0 1 0

FWIW WMT IR says they have done a lot of work on this esp wrt oil price and yeah...we basically are a systematic vol shop as a country.

1 week ago 5 0 0 0

But George I just bought my third car and now I feel broke.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

I’ve seen enough. God is 1) real 2) nonbinary 3) primarily motivated by a deep hatred of JD Vance

1 week ago 2987 479 60 19
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The thing about blockading Hormuz is that it is the logical conventional escalation option vs. running a massive bombing campaign or attempting amphibious invasions, to the point where I’m surprised they didn’t do it first week of March.

1 week ago 85 13 5 3

$AAPL great take on the new MacBook Neo, and how PC makers ignore it at their peril

ie 8GB RAM is zippier on this machine running MacOS (not iPadOS) so they can keep costs down

1 month ago 4 1 0 0

Thanks I hate it.

1 month ago 7 1 0 0
2006 - current chart of 1y inflation swaps and 1y breakeven inflation

2006 - current chart of 1y inflation swaps and 1y breakeven inflation

Since 1y BEI @ 5% chart is doing the rounds, a not of caution: short-term TIPS are *extremely* illiquid. To price breakeven inflation you match nominal UST with TIPS, which gives you an inflation "price". But if one leg of that is super illiquid....well you got some issues.

1 month ago 45 5 5 1

Glad to see @conorsen.bsky.social is still hustling.

1 month ago 12 0 1 0

They want the Roosevelt coalition without understanding that's impossible to recreate under the current political economy of the USA.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
Harrison Ford Listens to His Movie Soundtracks During Sex

Harrison Ford Listens to His Movie Soundtracks During Sex

Harrison Ford Admits to Listening to His Own Movie Soundtracks During Sex bit.ly/4cKtrCe

1 month ago 165 24 35 235
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ABS guy has feelings on corp credit, more news at 11. Nevermind that the most atrocious underwriting is in his sector.

1 month ago 8 1 0 0

Hey whoa let's not get too crazy here. Those are MY interests!

1 month ago 4 0 0 0

I get the sense they're priced to generate some kind of contribution margin but idk what it is

1 month ago 3 0 0 0

I get the sense that with autonomy and connectivity they can get there. I think the degree of vertical integration will help a lot.

1 month ago 2 0 2 0

This is hardly the primary issue, but I guess Khamenei isn't going to respond to my Twitter DMs asking if he liked anime.

1 month ago 2352 117 58 2

FWIW I am buying one.

1 month ago 7 0 1 0

some of the details have been leaked. Pricing and packaging looks extremely compelling for dual motor models (which I imagine 110% of likely Rivian buyers and 50% of all EV buyers would take).

1 month ago 6 0 2 0
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Honestly in an italy themed setting this would be great

2 months ago 10 1 0 1

This is a great idea for a poll.

2 months ago 6 1 0 0

On the other hand not sure involvement in kids' lives is super great in context

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

It's shocking that we have to keep learning that people just want (other) people to be relatively polite and act fuckin normal

2 months ago 16 1 0 0

I think the idea is a lot of single rack scale 1 shots that just go. It would probably just be inference which takes a lot of the cost out but it's still very material.

2 months ago 3 0 2 0

Given the whole truthiness challenge with that ecosystem I used records of external prices. I am willing to believe $750/kg though note that doesn't change a ton (rimshot)

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
Preview
a green water slide is going down a pool ALT: a green water slide is going down a pool

Unless...we push them down hill!

2 months ago 8 0 0 0

youtu.be/L3LbxDZRgA4?...

2 months ago 5 0 0 0