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Posts by CSIS Futures Lab

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Cheap drones are complicating the Gulf’s AI boom 🤖⚔️

Critical infrastructure—like AI data centers—is becoming harder to defend as low-cost threats scale. Protection is now inseparable from access.

foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/15/cheap-drones-...

#AI #Drones

3 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Cheap drones are reshaping the Iran war ⚔️

Low-cost UAVs are forcing costly defense responses and changing battlefield strategy.

Read more by Yasir Atalan www.nytimes.com/2026/03/25/world/middlee...

#Iran #ModernWarfare #Drones #Defense

5 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Yasir Atalan joins Al Jazeera to discuss how the internet is reshaping modern warfare 🌐⚠️

See more: www.aljazeera.com/video/the-stream/2026/3/...

#CyberSecurity #ModernWarfare #InfoSecurity #Defense #DigitalThreats #FuturesLab

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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The Navy faces a core dilemma: invest in immediate combat power or long-term readiness and deterrence. Our latest explores six strategic paths and the trade-offs shaping future seapower.

www.csis.org/analysis/what-can-trumps...
#DefensePolicy

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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📢 New Analysis

⚓ How to Lose a Navy in 10 Days highlights how speed, coordination, and precision strikes can rapidly shift the balance at sea

https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-lose-navy-10-days

#NavalWarfare #USNavy #MaritimeSecurity #MilitaryStrategy #DefenseAnalysis #NationalSecurity #ThinkTank

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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📢 New Analysis

⚓ Iran’s naval forces were rapidly degraded, showing how modern warfare targets not just ships, but sensors, command systems, and ports in the opening days of conflict.

https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-lose-navy-10-days

#Iran #NavalWarfare #MaritimeSecurity #MilitaryStrategy

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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📢 New Analysis

🇮🇷 Iran’s Next Move explores how Tehran uses cyber, proxies, and missiles to apply pressure across domains.

www.csis.org/analysis/irans-next-move...

#Iran #NationalSecurity #MilitaryStrategy #ThinkTank

3 weeks ago 0 1 0 0
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📺 Media Spotlight



Benjamin Jensen spoke on Bloomberg Television about the growing role of AI in shaping conflict dynamics, highlighting how emerging tech is influencing strategy amid U.S.–Iran tensions.



#AI #EmergingTech #Iran #NationalSecurity #DefenseAnalysis

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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📢 New Analysis

⚓ How to Lose a Navy in 10 Days explores how missile-driven naval warfare could rapidly overwhelm fleets—an issue drawing renewed attention amid tensions involving Iran.

https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-lose-navy-10-days

#Iran #USNavy #NavalWarfare #MaritimeSecurity

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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📺 In the News

CSIS Senior Fellow Benjamin Jensen joined Bloomberg Television to discuss AI involvement in current U.S. and Iran tensions.

#BenjaminJensen #BloombergTV #NationalSecurity #DefenseAnalysis #Geopolitics #ThinkTank

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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📢 New Analysis

⚓ As Iran’s naval and missile capabilities draw increased attention, How to Lose a Navy in 10 Days examines how modern anti-ship weapons could rapidly threaten fleets and reshape maritime conflict.

https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-lose-navy-10-days

#Iran #USNavy #NavalWarfare

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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📣 New from CSIS

⚓ How to Lose a Navy in 10 Days takes a closer look at how modern missiles, submarines, and airpower could rapidly challenge even advanced naval fleets—and what that means for future maritime conflict.

https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-lose-navy-10-days

#USNavy #NavalStrategy

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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⚠️ With U.S. and Israeli forces striking Iran this weekend and Tehran’s retaliation unfolding, understanding how Iran might respond in crisis matters more than ever.

www.csis.org/analysis/how-would-iran-...

#Iran #US #MiddleEast #NationalSecurity #DefenseAnalysis

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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📊 As U.S.–Iran tensions dominate headlines, understanding Tehran’s strategic playbook matters. This analysis outlines the cyber, drone, maritime, and missile options Iran could use to signal resolve while managing escalation.
www.csis.org/analysis/how-would-iran-...
#Iran

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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⚠️ As tensions between the U.S. and Iran have escalated this week, Tehran’s potential response options across military, cyber, proxy, and maritime domains are a central concern for policymakers and analysts.

www.csis.org/analysis/how-would-iran-...
#Iran #US #MiddleEast

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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⚠️ If the U.S. strikes Iran, Tehran is unlikely to stay quiet. Likely responses range from proxy attacks and missile strikes to cyber operations and disruption of regional shipping.
www.csis.org/analysis/how-would-iran-...

#Iran #MiddleEast

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Stay ahead of the curve with the Futures Lab newsletter! Dive into the latest insights and analyses on emerging trends shaping our world. Don't miss out, subscribe today and equip yourself with knowledge for the future! 🌍✨

https://www.csis.org/programs/futures-lab

#FuturesLab #Innovation

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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🚢 After U.S. pursuit, the vessel reappeared under a new name and MMSI before being boarded. The seizure of Marinera shows how coordinated maritime action can disrupt shadow fleets.
www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-te...
#shadowfleets

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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🛳️ Final-stage evasion The Marinera repeatedly shut off its AIS near Spain and on the high seas during its Atlantic crossing behavior linked to illicit activity before reappearing near the Caribbean ahead of seizure
www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-te...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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🤖 Erica Lonergan & Benjamin Jensen argue #AI won’t automatically determine global power. Grand strategy should emphasize strategic #restraint, economic strength, and clear human judgment over hype and #arms-race thinking.

www.csis.org/analysis/ai-and-grand-st...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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🤖 Yasir Atalan, Ian Reynolds, and Benjamin Jensen explain how confusion over “agentic AI” can undermine governance, oversight, and policy clarity.

www.csis.org/analysis/lost-definition...
#AgenticAI #AIGovernance #TechPolicy #AI #ThinkTank

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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🪖 Deception is a force multiplier. Dedicated Army deception groups can shape perceptions, create uncertainty for adversaries, and support operational success.

www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-...
#Army #MilitaryStrategy #DefensePolicy #NationalSecurity #ThinkTank

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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🎭 Deception still matters. Dedicated Army deception groups can mislead adversaries and strengthen U.S. force posture.

www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-...
#MilitaryDeception #Army #DefensePolicy #Strategy #ThinkTank

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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🤖 AI can reshape strategy, but hype shouldn’t drive policy. Human judgment, restraint, and clarity must guide national security decisions.
www.csis.org/analysis/ai-and-grand-st...

#AI #GrandStrategy #TechPolicy #NationalSecurity #ThinkTank

2 months ago 0 0 1 0
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🎭 Deception still matters in war. Dedicated Army deception groups can mislead adversaries and strengthen U.S. force posture.

www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-...

#MilitaryDeception #Army #DefensePolicy #Strategy #ThinkTank

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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🤖 When “agentic AI” lacks a clear definition, governance and oversight suffer. Precision in language is key to responsible policy and deployment.

www.csis.org/analysis/lost-definition...
#AgenticAI #AIGovernance

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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🛢️ Figure 3 shows the vessel going dark, reappearing in Iran’s EEZ, and repeatedly disabling AIS—patterns commonly linked to illicit ship-to-ship oil transfers.

www.csis.org/analysis/what-bella-1-te...

#ShadowFleet #SanctionsEvasion

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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AI can shape grand strategy—but only if used wisely 🤖🌍 Overestimating AI’s strategic impact risks poor decisions; human judgment, restraint, and clear goals still matter most in national security.
www.csis.org/analysis/ai-and-grand-st...
#AI #GrandStrategy

2 months ago 0 0 1 0
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Outthinking the enemy can be as powerful as outgunning them. 🎯 This analysis makes the case for restoring Army deception groups to confuse adversaries and strengthen U.S. force posture.

www.csis.org/analysis/why-army-needs-...

#Army #MilitaryStrategy

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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When “agentic AI” means everything, it risks meaning nothing 🤖⚠️ Futures Lab shows how unclear definitions can weaken AI governance, oversight, and procurement 🧠📜

www.csis.org/analysis/lost-definition...
#AgenticAI #AIGovernance

2 months ago 0 0 0 0