"Countries heavily reliant on US aid see a 10.5% increase in maternal mortality following a switch from a Democratic to a Republican administration—about 44.7 additional deaths per 100 000 live births."
gh.bmj.com/content/11/3...
New study. We had adults place historical figures on the left-right ideological spectrum. Folks most often place history's villains (Hitler, Stalin, etc) as extreme examples of their opponents. But they place heroes (Jesus, MLK, Lincoln) are on their own team. 1/4 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The power of the American legal profession, a cartel that regulates itself, is immense. Its unique power in the US has been noted since Tocqueville. So the fact that many law firms and bar associations have been folding to the administration so far has been something of a puzzle.
New version of survey package is out on CRAN!
Blog post is waiting on netlify problems
AI makes continuous reproducibility and robustness testing trivial. What happens to science under new levels of scrutiny and stress-testing by default?
Some thoughts on how this could play out, informed by watching open science play out over the last decade.
How to draw propensity scores (PS) in DAGs? Some (me also) claim it is like "treatment -> PS <- covariates", since in order to compute PS we need both treatment and covariates. This view has confused me for so long, and now I think I was wrong. My letter here: track.smtpsendmail.com/9032119/c?p=...
Donald Trump won in 2016 and 2024 because anti-system voters flocked to him.
Democrats need a strategy for competing with anti-system voters in 2028.
This is, in some ways, a very strong case for nominating someone like AOC over Newsom.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/meet-ameri...
This is a very good piece on running against the establishment and status quo in an age of populism and low institutional trust
Logo featuring the letters "PS" and the phrase "Teacher Symposium" alongside a thermometer with a globe at its center.
Teaching Qualitative Methods in Undergraduate Education - a symposium from @pspolisci.bsky.social -
https://cup.org/4tDnyNn
cc @apsa.bsky.social
Reading this paper in more detail you actually learn that the effect is found to be null among Democrats and Dem leaners and on partisanship in general and the changes in attitudes they find are concentrated among republicans.
Backlash Presidents: From Transformative to Reactionary Leaders in American History by Julia R. Azari
Julia R. Azari
Next week, Feb 23 at 5:30pm EST, see @juliaazari.bsky.social, author of Backlash Presidents, at @ipk.bsky.social. With @kimberleynyc.bsky.social and @joelowndes.bsky.social, she'll explore the connections between racially transformative presidents and their lawless successors.
RSVP: buff.ly/TpZ6T2n
⚙️ Working at the intersection of causality and networks?
We're organizing a satellite event at @netsciconf.bsky.social in Boston on June 1st. The focus is networks science and causal inference.
Submit your work by March 10th!
causnets.github.io
our open model proving out specialized rag LMs over scientific literature has been published in nature ✌🏻
congrats to our lead @akariasai.bsky.social & team of students and Ai2 researchers/engineers
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Can we build a science of stories? This week, a transdisciplinary group at SFI asks: What if we treated stories as data? As networks? As science?
By mapping their patterns across time and culture, researchers aim to reveal how narratives shape knowledge, meaning, and power.
Rural Versus Urban: The Growing Divide That Threatens Democracy by Suzanne Mettler and Trevor E. Brown
In Rural Versus Urban, @smettler.bsky.social and Trevor Brown reveal how the urban-rural divide drives partisan polarization.
Available worldwide!
Read a free preview: press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...
#PoliticalScience #PoliSci #ReadUP
I maintain that this is an excellent benchmark for d-type effect sizes:
Sleep satisfaction & duration declined with childbirth & reached a nadir during the first 3 months postpartum, with women more strongly affected (satisfaction d = -0.79, duration minus 62 min, d = -0.90)>
Building on this work, I just published a new post on baby-name polarization: Is it politics … or just place? I dig into a core methodological concern: maybe what looks like partisan naming patterns are just urban-vs-rural sorting. inequalitybyinteriordesign.wordpress.com/2025/11/30/i...
Thanks to the authors for compiling this information; this view on our science is truly fascinating.
2023: 40% design-based, 40% model-based, 20% other, among quantitative studies aimed at "explanation" which I understand to mean causal inference.
Where we will be in 2043?
I’ve been writing about political polarization in U.S. baby names, but kept running into a possible ecological fallacy: Are these political patterns or just urban v. rural geography?
So I tried to answer it definitively. inequalitybyinteriordesign.wordpress.com/2025/12/02/w...
„the importance of sample size stemmed from small effect sizes across studies (perhaps smaller than researchers may have anticipated), highlighting a tension between commonly used power calculi and determining what constitutes a “meaningful effect.“
Sorry this is coming so late. Here are links to the articles made available 11/18/25
Carpenter: doi.org/10.1093/psqu...
Lee: doi.org/10.1093/psqu...
Schickler: doi.org/10.1093/psqu...
King: doi.org/10.1093/psqu...
Hutchings: doi.org/10.1093/psqu...
Bartels: doi.org/10.1093/psqu...
The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025.
US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.
open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
Post-liberalism’s finest
There is very little evidence that “moderate” candidates do better in general (though there may be specific districts where it’s an advantage
bsky.app/profile/dave...
Nothing is inevitable. In either direction. Hope and work.
This is a fantastic and much needed contribution. Highly recommend to anyone interested in building strong designs for rigorous empirical work with networks.
Thanks to @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social for giving us the possibility to guest edit a special issue on "Political violence in democracies". Ursula Daxecker, @neerajprsd.bsky.social and I wrote an open access introduction: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Thanks to all authors of 14 articles!
Book cover: Backlash presidents
As of today it's a Real Object.