I am well aware of the literature on the dubiousness of weather IVs, but this one seems pretty convincing to me. At least, I am willing to believe the exclusion restriction. It's the weather on this one particular day that is correlated with outcomes decades later! Why else would this day matter?
The weather on the first Earth Day predicts the environmental attitudes held later-in-life by people who were youth at the time.
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
We should just have state-level proportional representation.
The best thing anyone who makes money in "political commentary" can do after admitting they messed up by supporting Trump is to quit political commentary forever. If you fuck up this monumentally at your primary job then obviously you're unfit for the role.
www.nbcnews.com/politics/tru...
The GOP entered this redistricting under the rather childish delusion they were going to gerrymander, and nobody would gerrymander them. In TX, MO, and a half dozen other states, they put their rather naive theory into operation. They sowed the wind, and now they are going to reap the whirlwind
Tucker Carlson apparently is now saying he’s sorry for misleading people about Trump & it wasn’t intentional. But as @brockm.bsky.social points out, we know from the Dominion suit discovery that he was indeed intentionally peddling claims on air he knew were false. open.substack.com/pub/mikebroc...
I took an econ. of religion course in grad school at which Iannaccone gave a guest lecture!
But it's been a while since then, so I am squinting at your post and trying to make sense of it. Elon Musk founded a cult to juice the price of his stocks, or is there a more nuanced joke I'm missing?
big oof, I hope no one got hurt
The Trump regime is now killing ICE detainees faster than COVID-19 at the height of the pandemic.
If you're complaining about the price of beef you never, not for one moment, cared about climate change.
:(
average insta comment is like “you think better things are possible? hah, you naive rube. nothing good will ever happen and life is hell!”
$948 is a huge outlier even for West Virginia. The average January bill in the last two years was $250. Source: electricity.heatmap.news
my opinion is that every moment trump spends thinking about his ballroom or his arch is a moment he isn't doing something else. ideally he would spend the entire next three years doing nothing but building ostentatious monuments
"We’re going to downzone. We’re going to downzone so much. We’re going to downzone residential, we’re going downzone commercial. We’re going to downzone so much, you’re going to be so sick and tired of downzoning, you’re going to come to me and go, ‘Please, please, we need somewhere to live.’”
Amen
I want to emphasize that this metaphor is not what is happening, thought.
People are telling their doctor that their knee is fine, but they think that a lot more people have arthritis nationwide.
@yiqingxu.bsky.social, Jens Hainmueller and Avi Acharya have a cool paper to get political scientists to just fit structural choice models to their choice survey experiments! yiqingxu.org/papers/2026_...
🚨New paper🚨
Understanding Support for Inefficient Environmental Policy Instruments
Why do governments use costly enviro standards, not more efficient pollution taxes or cap & trade?
Voters misunderstand some economic principles
joseph-s-shapiro.com/research/Env...
1/🧵
Suppose you were to pick the optimization target for your own algorithmic feed, and once that target was set, it would relentlessly tune toward that goal with every model, signal, and trick available. What target would you pick? What measurable action do you want your feed to make you do the most?
Geez if only visit come a few years earlier we still might have a half gigawatt of clean energy in New Jersey.
As somebody who has family who worked on the oyster Creek shut down I will be forever salty about that
Funny article where European academics puzzle over the fact that there are very few policy efforts to harmonize regulations across the US construction market academic.oup.com/publius/arti...
Well, the album is 36 minutes and 18 seconds long, so I would listen to it in whole, and then I would play Everybody Wants to Rule the World a 2nd time (4:04). That should cover the 40 minutes of no contact with Earth easily. It's a fun album so I don't see the problem here.
I've been testing out Claude for the last few weeks and it's working fine (in the sense of "works right out of the box, like a consumer-grade product") for me! Any particular reason it's not on your list?
I was about to say Tom Cotton (R-AR) but on further inspection I can see his hand, from which I infer he is clapping, so maybe that's not who you're talking about.
My best social media experience right now is a Discord server I run with my friends, focused on politics / policy / economics / miscellaneous topics in the weeds. We have about 5 power users and 16 total members.
Bollards save lives. End of story.
#WorldBollardAssociation
times were heterogeneous
It’s great that the Supreme Court sided with the Constitution on tariffs and appears poised to do so on birthright citizenship.
Ruling against the Constitution and inverting the plain meaning of the text on insurrectionists holding office and presidential immunity remains unforgivable. Forever.
Who, exactly, is your sample size for the conclusion that many people pronounce Claude like "cloud"?
