📽️Donald Trump wants you to know he's targeting Venezuela because of illegal drugs.
But what if this were really about something else altogether...?
Dig into the murky world of crude oil refining and you find another, even more intriguing explanation...
Full primer 👇 youtu.be/Pgwny1BiCYk?...
Batteries are the "lightbulb of the 21st century": their costs are down 50% v. 18 months ago, and 95%+ v. 2010
It's a drastic drop of spectacular proportions, powering the clean energy transformation worldwide
Another one of my charts of the year
EVs are one their way to take a huge bite out of global oil demand by 2030 – 5m to 8m barrels of oil per day, and rising fast. 5m barrels/ day is about the entire current oil consumption of Japan
Another one of my charts of the year
1/ New research @lut.fi @kit.edu @uahes.bsky.social presents new insights on the cost projections of sodium-ion & lithium-ion batteries & impact on the global energy transition doi.org/10.1016/j.es.... A novel bottom-up cost projection is combined with global energy-industry transition modelling.
From the department of wild graphs about Danish agricultural history
Cracking the Magafacists code
Lønforskellen mellem mænd og kvinder steg i 2023 fra 12,1% til 12,3%
Lønforskellen mellem kvindelige og mandlige læger er 9,9% og mellem mandlige og kvindelige tjenere er 6,2%
Glædelig kampdag 👊🏼🩷
www.dst.dk/da/Statistik...
This study is a nail in the coffin for all BECCS-advocates (looking at you, Denmark!): “Assuming that all four planetary boundaries are respected (…) the model study indicates a removal potential [from BECCS] of less than 200 million tonnes of CO2 in 2050.”
NEW: Global EV sales grew 18% year-on-year in Jan 2025
Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe?
The "stalling" 12% growth in China?
Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada?
Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…?
Data: Rho Motion
🤷♂️
Sig mig, har Berlingske ikke fanget, at brint er det primære input i produktionen af e-SAF? Og at talrige studier viser, at e-SAF med kendte teknologier er en økonomisk blindgyde? #dkgreen
Consider that if we stopped using crop-based biofuels for road transport and instead put them to work in planes, we could decarbonise 25% of aviation by tomorrow.
Chart from Shell's 2025 Energy Security Scenarios.
2024 BigOil profits:
Saudi Armco - $120 billion
Exxon - $33.7 billion
Shell - $23.772 billion
Chevron - $17.66 billion
TotalEnergies - $18.3 billion
BP (not reported yet)
IMF calculations for fossil fuel industry subsidies & externalized costs in 2024:
~$6.5 TRILLION
This is insanity.
Figure ES.1. Life-cycle GHG emissions of average medium-size gasoline internal combustion engine (ICEVs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs) registered in Europe, the United States, China, and India in 2021 and projected to be registered in 2030. The error bars indicate the difference between the development of the electricity mix according to stated policies (the higher values) and what is required to align with the Paris Agreement.
The graph below shows the lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions from Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicles and EVs. The embodied carbon from battery manufacture is yellow in the graph.
You can see that it’s dwarfed by the emission savings from driving EVs compared to ICE vehicles.
OK this one is CRAZY! Based on a simple extrapolation, the COLDEST month of the year by 2141 could be the same temperature as the WARMEST month of 1956, *GLOBALLY*!
Think about that. JANUARY a Century from now as warm as JULY seventy years ago😲
IF we the don't stop the warming
All time classic!
Don Jr. and Trump’s former Balkan envoy, Ric Grenell, seem to have decided to back Kosovo’s opposition ahead of Sunday’s elections. While it’s no surprise given Grenell’s fixation on PM Albin Kurti, it’s still cause for concern.
A 🧵 on the background of all this:
How quickly we decarbonize depends a lot on how we allocate risk. In an article out today by the Danish national broadcaster, I argued that government policy should de-risk renewables, and explained how this can benefit both developers and consumers.
www.dr.dk/nyheder/vide... 🔌💡1/5
I ran $100 billion in Infrastructure and IRA programs at EPA. We obligated over $70 billion onto signed awards and contracts to protect public health and the environment. All that funding is currently frozen. Here are the facts…
🔌💡 1/X
Everyone seems to be framing Trump's freeze on federal grants as a Constitutional fight over powers of the purse & whether presidents can disregard Congressional appropriations. It is that. But also at stake is the fundamental validity of government contracts! I see much less discussion on this... 🧵
Poland’s coal generation fell to a historic low of 54% of electricity in 2024, down from 70%, 2 years ago
“Poland is reaching the magical 50% mark for coal electricity generation, and it’s clear that coal isn't coming back, ever ” says Ember’s @paczyzak
ember-energy.org/lat...
Stærkt! Hvor kan man finde flere detaljer om berettigede investeringer?
Hvorfor blev CO2-afgiften på landbruget så lav? Pga svineindustrien, der sidder tungt på magten i Landbrug & Fødevarer. Ifølge nationalbanken betyder selv trepartens lave afgift at 10 % af bedrifterne er konkurstruet i 2035.
Sku' vi komme i gang med at omlægge produktionen?
Onsdag blev Equinor afsløret i kun at lagre ca. 10% af den CO2, som de havde indrapporteret til de norske myndigheder fra deres CCS-projekt, Sleipner. Intet under, at CCS fortsat er kontroversielt, når fortalerne har så lemfældig en omgang med sandheden #dkpol #dkgreen
🚨New Nature Communications study on AMOC with good news! Author says about it: "Based on the results, the AMOC is more stable than we thought," Vogt said. "This might mean that the AMOC isn't as close to a tipping point as previously suggested." Let’s freakin’ hope!
NEW from me: Half of all China’s exports of solar and wind power equipment and electric vehicles (EVs) now go to the Global South. Emerging and developing countries have driven most of the recent growth in export volumes.
Also, two other things: 1) These temperature targets refer to long term averages, so one year over 1.5°C isn’t reaching that target. 2) 1.5°C is a policy target and not a geophysical target. Nothing magical happens at 1.5°C.
