Posts by Nathan Converse
SCOOP: Two weeks ago, the head of the CDC delayed publication of a report showing covid vaccine cut likelihood of ER visits and hospitalizations by half. Now that report is no longer allowed to be published in CDC’s flagship scientific journal. My latest. 1/2
www.washingtonpost.com/health/2026/...
Repeat after Ryan: "More drilling in California would not insulate the state from price spikes, because the price of oil is determined on the global market." Louder in the back, now!
NEWS: A federal judge has saved the 15th Street protected bike lane (for now), saying the decision to remove the lane running from Constitution Avenue to the Tidal Basin was "arbitrary and capricious and not the result of reasoned decision-making." It was to be removed this week.
The measure of policy credibility, on a scale of zero to one, is based on the monetary policy frameworks index (IAPOC index) from Unsal et al. (2022). The graph shows the average and median policy credibility in advanced economies (AEs) and emerging markets (EMs) from 2007 to 2021. When global uncertainty increases, emerging markets are typically the most exposed. Historically, tighter US monetary policy has led to capital outflows, currency depreciation, and tightening financial conditions in emerging markets. This column examines how domestic vulnerabilities shape the transmission of US monetary tightening across countries. It shows that many emerging markets avoided widespread financial crises over the 2022-2023 tightening cycle due to improved monetary policy credibility and reduced foreign-exchange vulnerabilities. In a world of rising uncertainty, stronger domestic institutions are among the most effective forms of economic insurance.
Many emerging markets avoided widespread financial crises over the 2022-2023 tightening cycle due to improved monetary policy credibility and reduced foreign-exchange vulnerabilities, show @kalemli-ozcan.bsky.social & Filiz Unsal.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
This is savage: “less a Tory Montparnasse or a European dimes square than a conservative version of regular’s table at the Kinshasa Hilton: a boozy rogue’s gallery of intellectual mercenaries and arms dealers in the battle of ideas” 🤣
Getting a PhD and then working outside academia is dope. My advisees who’ve done that are more or less uniformly happy and feel that they’re using the skills they trained on. (I talked to one today who just landed a great gig). Just wanted to convey that to anyone it might benefit.
GIBBY HAYNES We used to go into the Banshees’ dressing room and take the Gouda off their deli tray so that we could say we stole Siouxsie and the band’s cheese. It’s a pun—the highest form of humor.
The Butthole Surfers are culture
I used to be able to tell my phone "navigate to Costco" and it would pull up directions. Now an AI voice tells me the address of the two nearest Costcos and advises me to use Waze or MapQuest to get there. If I open Google Maps and type Costco, I get an ad for Safeway.
catholics: oh hey u guys are back early
me: pope's woke
catholics: what?
me: *grabs rosary, heads toward the confessional* pope's woke
1/
Why economists like models (with an homage to Jorge Luis Borges)
After I posted a paper on the catalytic effect of blended finance, I got some pushback on the idea that a unified analytical framework is useful at all. 🧵
when you think about it, bret hart challenged a lot of assumptions and norms around what it is to be a successful hitman
We need more viewpoint diversity among journal referees who read my papers.
More “accept” and “R&R” viewpoints. Fewer “reject” and “this is the worst paper I’ve ever read” viewpoints.
Cool paper but (and I hate to be that guy) …how is this economics?
Poor countries face frequent shocks—but their debt contracts aren’t built to handle them.
New CGD research proposes “shock absorbers” that allow temporary pauses on debt payments when shocks hit, freeing up fiscal space and helping avoid default.
https://go.cgdev.org/4vcswS1
Peru is gearing up to elect its 10th president in 10 years but another serious question weighs on the nation: What happens if its central-bank governor of 20 years retires?
The central bank has a 96% approval rating among business owners, compared with 3% for congress, according to a poll last year
1988 Peugeot 405 Mi16 Group A ex-Works
1988 Peugeot 405 Mi16 Group A ex-Works
one of my favorite things about working timing is that you get all the nerves and adrenaline from the teams at stage start and the unbridled release of joy and relief at stage finish
Documenting the macroeconomic propagation of China’s real estate downturn and assessing the risks of prolonged stagnation should the sector continue to deteriorate, from Kenneth S. Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang www.nber.org/papers/w35054
whale head. raccoon penis. it's glaringly obvious that rfk jr is assembling some sort of Super Animal... and i fear he may soon acquire flamingo legs
Global Sovereign Debt Roundtable updated sovereign debt restructuring playbook for country authorities. #WBGMeetings
documents.worldbank.org/en/publicati...
My book Project Maven: A Marine Colonel, His Team, and the Dawn of AI Warfare is an @npr.org “Book of the Day”
Thanks to Mary Louise Kelly for this interview about Project Maven and how the US is using AI in warfare, out on April 9.
www.npr.org/2026/04/09/n...
"There is no justification for a regressive system in which the super-rich contribute less than the rest of us," write @josephestiglitz.bsky.social, @gabrielzucman.bsky.social, and @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social.
Again: for any big liberal donor who wants to funnel millions into fixing this country's politics, the ROI on buying any struggling paper and simply tasking it with doing real reporting on local news is vastly higher than the same $$ given to some group that does mass ad buys every election year.
Amazing!
New VoxTalks Economics: Global Imbalances Redux Since the 1970s, global imbalances surged three times. Maurice Obstfeld joins @talknormal.co.uk to discuss their return, with the US current account deficit at 3.9% of GDP in 2025. Listen now: https://ow.ly/biyU50YIL9S
New VoxTalks Economics: Global Imbalances Redux
Since the 1970s, global imbalances surged three times. Maurice Obstfeld joins @talknormal.co.uk to discuss global imbalances return, with the US current account deficit standing at 3.9% of GDP in 2025.
Listen now: ow.ly/biyU50YIL9S
Outside. Rain. A man gets in a cab. Someone already inside says, "C'mon. Lets go someplace an' get PLASTERED." Guyoutside: "Right behind ya, partner."
incredible chutzpah from this anti-billionaire eric swalwell-aligned ad to close with his top three donors: uber, the people who lobbied to convince the government your mouth isn't part of your body, and a billionaire.
Vietnam gets the nod from FTSE-Russell: upgraded to EM status!
www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...
Tonight in Budapest’s Heroes’ Square, a sea of young Hungarians—who’ve only ever known Orbán’s corrupt, suffocating regime—are packed together, singing, chanting, and daring to dream of freedom again.
Their hope is raw, their courage is real. The heart of Europe is beating in Budapest tonight. 🇭🇺❤️🇪🇺
This NEEDS to be a movie! Cumberbatch as Newton. Oscar Issac as Halley