At this point it doesn't even get an eye roll 🙄

HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO SAY IT. I... AM... NOT....A...LIB.... DEM.... SLEEPER... AGENT!

European Parliament member 👇🏽

They also omitted to mention the detailed and rigorous risk assessment with measures to mitigate the key risks. Unexploded ordnance could make the golf course quite tricky to get round.

The Diffusion and Adoption of IED Technology This chapter draws on the work of Everett Rogers on the diffusion of innovations to outline factors that influence whether and how actors innovate with technology in the context of IEDs. In doing so, the text brings together insights from the …

Diffusion of innovation theory (Rogers) applies to terrorists. too. www.springerprofessional.de/en/the-diffu...

I've found the theories in Rogers book really useful in practice. Particularly, the difference in mindset between, innovators, early and late majority, thresholds for engagement, the importance of social proof. Must read for anyone serious about delivering change.

Winter is here - hold on to your seats, it could be a bumpy ride #getvaccinated

Chris Whitty (has he made it here yet) posted in the other place: t.co/eo5MFz6Hvs

Suspect his agent has already been approached about joining the other celebrities with "interesting" back stories in the Australian jungle next year. Every cloud...

It's following the sigmoid curve of diffuse of innovation in a fixed population. A bit like quarantine. Unless it breaks into another population its growth will plateau. There's a finite number of politically engaged, liberal inclined folk who can't bear Musk and populism.

It's a clever pivot to target the affluent liberal Tesla owners thinking about their next car. Suspect they've already jumped ship to here.

What is a common thread in medical tragedies?

Rescuers fail to cut through the ‘mind lock’; they follow the primary caregiver down the wrong, fatal, path.

If we are going to train our way out of this problem, we need to train the rescuers.

#AnSky #HFESky #MedSky

https://buff.ly/3COBTjM

I think he meant to say "96% people who purchased farms to avoid IHT on their assets will be liable for IHT" He has got a point and I can see why he's very upset given his recent close shave with the reaper.

🫤

No. They just offer the most plausible answer.

4. Make a case that you're the anti-status quo/elite insurgent worth taking a punt on despite elites painting you as extreme or irrational and reflect the elite's attack lines as an attack on your target voters

Very difficult to counter from the centre

Step 1. Identify the losing group(s) based on having lost status/income/identity. Step 2. Empathise with their loss. Step 3. Run a campaign on winning back their losses. eg take back control, Make America Great Again, blaming the current elite status quo for their loss of income/status/identity.

I wonder whether Daniel Kahneman's prospect theory explains much of Trump (& Brexit) appeal. People are more likely to gamble if they already have a perceived loss with high salience and less likely to gamble if the status quo is acceptable.

Nature, nurture and lottery.

I'd categorise personal luck into 3 types:
1. Innate characteristics - not needing much sleep, ability to concentrate for long periods etc.
2. Environment - having privileged access to familial support, being surrounded by people that help you grow etc
3. Serendipity - right place, right time

Survivorship bias - Wikipedia

Maybe I'm giving too much credit here. But perhaps asking IDS to talk was an attempt to avoid survivorship bias. Let's get a talk someone who made a complete Horlicks of being LOTO (but don't tell him that's why he's invited). en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivo...

Pathologist view - the thing about post mortems is; you can usually determine the most likely immediate cause of death, but can only speculate on the complex, multiple interactions over many years that led to that particular outcome at that particular time.

5. He doesn't have to worry about re-election.

The actuarial estimated life expectancy of a 78 year US male is 8.95 years. Trump's most likely to serve the full term, but about one in five chance of Vance being POTUS.

I suspect the hidden bit of Dom's internal monologue is "I used to be a contender" on continuous loop. Howling at the moon

It's an ideologue distilling everything in this complex messy world into simple binary categories: deserving/undeserving, right/wrong, principled/woke, wheat/chaff, my way/the highway. It's purpose is to provoke

He's a scary game to play. Work out when someone your current age (now 66) in the year of your 18th birthday (1976) would have had their 18th birthday party (1928).

They've cordoned off the fax machine in Hezbollah HQ

Can't help thinking in a few years there'll be class action for miss-selling a graduate tax as a loan. Billions paid in compensation?

Outcomes of managing healthcare services using the Theory of Constraints: A systematic review Despite ever-increasing resources devoted to healthcare, lack of capacity and timeliness are still chronic problems worldwide. This systematic review aims to present an overview of the Theory of Const...

The tools exist : Lean, six sigma, theory of constraints but are seldom used

www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles...

The big picture strategic changes are vital but will not be felt for years. What needs to happen now is empowering staff at every level to improve systems and processes to lift quality and create capacity. Done properly it can create virtual spirals of improvement.