Escalation Dynamics in Maritime East Asia
Join experts on sea power, East Asian security & geostrategy and their relevance for Europe with Prof Alessio Patalano @sophgaston.bsky.social @ianbowers.bsky.social & Prof Øystein Tunsjø
📅 Thu 11 Dec,17:00–18:30
📍Melbourne House
🎟️ csns.uk/event/escala...
The reality of North Korea punditry is that *very* few people *remotely* have an idea of what Kim Jong Un is up to, and even then, they haven’t had an informed take since probably 2019-20. Yet “experts” are asked to opine and speculate and it becomes headline news. Yes, the media fuels this, I know.
The Future of Defense Is Coincidentally Made By My Company
by
Every War Industry Executive
A nuclear promise is only as strong as it is believable. And right now, South Korea isn’t convinced. warontherocks.com/20...
A great smorgasbord of strategic thinking in the latest issue of Survival. Key words: time is of the essence. The piece on "NATO's vulnerable space assets" is ground-breaking (@IanBowers & Henrik Stålhane Hiim) re the baleful consequences for Europe of 🇨🇳space operations in a Taiwan crisis.
NEW satellite imagery and AIS data provide the first complete timeline of how China has systematically deployed structures in disputed Yellow Sea waters despite S. Korean objections, according to @csis.org Beyond Parallel analysis.
cc: @victordcha.bsky.social, AMTI, Jennifer Jun
↓ Findings below
Check out our new article in Survival written with Henrik Hiim.
We examine the knock-on risks of a US-China conflict to NATO's space operations and the potential impact on NATO's warfighting capabilities.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Exit polls have Lee Jae-myung as South Korea's next president. There will be plenty of pieces in next few days saying why that's good/bad-most will say bad-for US-ROK alliance. For now, enough to say this starts to bring closure to a very turbulent few months in South Korea's domestic politics.
Just announced: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will deliver a keynote (virtually) at our Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference on Monday morning. carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/...
🇩🇰Danish shipping giant Maersk apparently has offered Danish defence shipbuilding capacity in South Korea for the new air defence frigates. The hulls could be built in 🇰🇷South Korea and then fully assembled and equipped in Denmark to speed up the proces.
www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
ONP Doctoral Research Fellow @frhoffmann.bsky.social, together with @marksbell.bsky.social, has published a new article in Foreign Affairs examining the implications of a U.S. withdrawal from the European continent for European nuclear deterrence.
An important finding. "...officials from several European countries on the North Sea and Baltic Sea told Recorded Future News there is increasing confidence among their governments that the incidents were accidental and not directed by the Kremlin." therecord.media/european-off...
Velkommen til bokbad på Litteraturhuset! 📖
23. april, kl. 15.30 lanseres boken "Not Just Another Cold War – The Implications of the US-China Rivalry".
Meld deg på her👇
This would seem to be a sub-optimal result for long-term US strategic goals towards China (assuming long-term thinking is still a consideration in Washington). 🤦♂️
China, Japan, South Korea to meet as Trump tariffs take shape www.japantimes.co.jp/business/202...
Tomorrow, Norwegian F-35s will escort American B-52 Stratofortress over Eastern Norway. The aircraft will make a low pass over Oslo city centre at 12:00 noon. The flight is part of normal training activities and gives Norwegian and US forces vital training. #StrongerTogether #WeAreNATO
This is a solid argument for a French/Anglo-French European extended nuclear deterrent.
Coming round to the view that a French/Anglo-French extended deterrence system is the best option vs. continued reliance on an inconstant US, or opening the door to European (and global) nuclear proliferation.
A mother & son in Ukraine 🇺🇦, 1993 vs. 2025.
Whose side are we on, America🇺🇸?
In a "quiet but seismic recalibration," Trump has rolled back constraints on American commanders to authorize airstrikes & special operation raids outside conventional battlefields, broadening the range of people who can be targeted according to US officials with knowledge of the policy shift
📆Happening tomorrow, Feb. 25, 9-10am.
❓How should Europe engage with Russia amid its ongoing war with Ukraine?
☢️Join us in Oslo for a timely panel discussion with experts from the Peace Research Institute Oslo & ONP.
Learn more and register ➡️ prio.org/events/9215
French Navy aircraft carrier FS Charles de Gaulle (R91) coming into Subic Bay - February 21, 2025 #fscharlesdegaulle #r91
SRC: TW-@MarieFontanelPH
I’d like to think I’m the first person to get into a flame war with VPOTUS from the swimming pool of Woburn Center Parcs at half-term.
(Paywalled article) NATOs third CAOC will be established in Norway and the Norwegian government has to decide on the location by the end of February.
There are two candidates:
Alongside Joint HQ outside Bodø but the mountain facility is at capacity.
Rygge, with an empty hardened site.
warroom.armywarcollege.edu/podcasts/war...
Please check out this episode of War Room from US Army War College where my vague notions are given form and structure by the brilliant JP Clark @jpclark97.bsky.social @warroomeds.bsky.social
