Aren’t these type of common shocks what typically burst bubble by coordinating beliefs back to a lower equilibrium?

Not sure, finance is really not my area.

Word and power point, not to say excel, are the root of all evil.

It was a pleasure to present my work in a double session on paternity leave and polarization today at the economics department of La Laguna. Thank you to Daniel Santos and the rest for inviting me for a wonderful evening.

cover of the book "Bayesian Workflow" by Gelman, Vehtari, et al. Coming out later this year, in the summer probably.

I would have preferred to have the "draw the rest of the owl" meme on the cover, but this will do. Seems like it is on schedule, and we'll leave some typos so you know we didn't write it with AI.

Thoughts on the Cordon Sanitaire How could excluding the Radical Right from politics Actually Work?

Does the 'cordon sanitaire' actually stop the radical right, or does it just fuel the anti-establishment vote? People discuss this all the time, so I tried to organize my thoughts about it open.substack.com/pub/lmguirol...

Haven’t read the whole paper yet, but one question not obvious from abstract : do you look panel learning/conditioning?

“Lo siguiente, ¿qué será? No estamos seguros, pero lo seguiremos con interés y cariño, como han hecho tantos lectores nuestros durante tanto tiempo. Estamos muy agradecidos por ello. Ha sido un privilegio escribir para ustedes y esperamos haber sido de alguna utilidad. Hasta siempre.”

Don't believe the hype. Government control and the shadow of polarization on the media

Last Friday JFV argued that money explains why people in Spain distrust experts and the press.

I happen to have worked on the topic, and I wrote a substack open.substack.com/pub/luisg2/p...
You may want to follow me for future updates. I plan to write on everything from economics to metaphysics.

La verdad es que puedo imaginarme perfectamente las naumaquias como política prioritaria en tu actual país de residencia

We've done it: 60 blogs over our 60th Anniversary Year!
Check out all 60 #Campop blogs here www.campop.geog.cam.ac.uk/blog/, and keep your eyes peeled for occasional blogs to follow in the same space!
@camunicampop.bsky.social
@camunigeography.bsky.social
@camhistory.bsky.social

I have the same feeling. It’s hard to understand why the baseline hypothesis is that realignments driven massive vote transfers from rad left to radRight in a short between one election and the next , rather than over long horizons or across generations.

Vivienda, jóvenes y política ¿Tienen solución? | Luis Guirola YouTube video by Flake Podcast

La semana pasada me estrené en el mundo de los podcast/ con Darío de Flake agency. Hablamos de desigualdad, de generaciones y de economía politica de la polarización

youtu.be/B52WBhmlD54?...

Loca Singer Mornings ¡Si quieres despertarte de buen rollo este es tu espacio! La mejor selección de Loca FM de los clásicos Dance de los 80s 90s y...

I would say that If you want the full immersive ethnographic experience into spanish culture, you may definitely listen to Paty Blázquez, especially on Fridays www.locafm.com/programas/lo... but it’s true you don’t need to come to Madrid for that.

I saw “Enriqueta” and for a moment I thought you were recommending something related to Chimo Bayo

Felicidades!!! Me alegro muchísimo

Brechas de género en educación y formación de familias Por Ana Rodríguez-González En las últimas décadas, los niveles de educación de las mujeres han aumentado mucho más que los de los hombres en muchos países, predominantemente en aquellos de rentas alta...

Brechas de género en educación y formación de familias nadaesgratis.es/admin/brecha... Vía @nadaesgratis.bsky.social #Economía

Muchos matices

Me my flat mate and the crowd

We went all the way to her hotel, and got late to the dinner. She said it was on the way; nobody believed her.

Barcelona

Me and the celebrities

ESPE 2025 was a really fun conference :-) I am transitioning to become a veteran/old guy at these conferences, as all the faces are now familiar. @christinafelfe.bsky.social @libertadgonzalez.bsky.social

Fun as always!!!!

Final lecture at #espe2025 by Aby Adams on violence against women.

Ready for ESPE 2025 with @libertadgonzalez.bsky.social and Ruben in Naples

No os perdáis la entrada de hoy en @nadaesgratis.bsky.social: @beleninininina.bsky.social, @adequinto.bsky.social y @laurahospido.bsky.social muestran cómo el primer hijo cambia el uso del tiempo: las madres cambian empleo por cuidado, los padres casi intactos.

⭐Check out our @voxdev.bsky.social blog on son preference and family structure in sub-Saharan Africa with @ggenicot.bsky.social 👇👇👇

That’s what I suspected: your obsession with the present/tree prevents you from seen the theory/forest.

Have you read the Lukes’ book I gave you years ago yet? Or have you postponed it to the future?

Unanchored inflation expectations make us very susceptible to another surge in inflation, from Olivier Coibion and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social https://www.nber.org/papers/w33858

I can capture the magic, the moment 🤭🤭🤭

Today at Fundación Ramón Areces listening to Barbara Petrongolo. @laurahospido.bsky.social @juditvall.bsky.social

Programa de Estabilización en Argentina: ¿Qué Tan Diferente Es Esta Vez? Por Hernán Seoane El contexto al inicio del programa En diciembre de 2023, Argentina implementó un nuevo programa de estabilización. La situación económica del país era delicada. La economía no había ...

Programa de Estabilización en Argentina: ¿Qué Tan Diferente Es Esta Vez? nadaesgratis.es/admin/progra... Vía @nadaesgratis.bsky.social #Economía

Today we are seeing Olivier Coibion at Bank of Spain.