Today, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he had ordered the Israeli military to "further expand" the "existing security strip" in Lebanon.
That's dressed up language for a violation of Lebanese sovereignty and what can become illegal annexation of Lebanese land.
NEW: UN Security Council resolution on new framework to deal with impasse around Morocco’s claims to Western Sahara does not ensure that the right to self-determination for the territory’s peoples is upheld and is consistent with international law
@hrw.org
www.hrw.org/news/2026/03...
Pleased to have worked on this timely research for @chathamhouse.org. This is a critical moment for #Haiti - one that comes with several challenges as well as immense opportunity. Our three-year process roadmap outlines possible pathways to peace and meaningful reform, led by and for Haitians. Read⬇️
🚨 NEW @chathamhouse.org paper: Escaping the cycle of conflict in Libya
Tim Eaton argues that efforts to restore stability in Libya have too often focused on power- and wealth-sharing among rival factions. 🧵
www.chathamhouse.org/2025/12/esca...
Interested in international security and development programming?
@robertamaggi.bsky.social and I we have prepared an online course for the European Governance Lab on
🌍 SECURITY IN FRAGMENTED STATES: UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO HYBRID SECURITY CHALLENGES
eugovlab.com/courses/secu...
Grateful to @eddiemonkman.bsky.social for including my thoughts in his latest article on escalation and territorial control in #Sudan and at its border with #Libya. I focus on providing geopolitical nuance & historical contextualisation of current events & their impact on both countries' stability.
أود أن أعبر عن خالص امتناني و جزيل الشكر والتقدير لصحيفة الوسط على مشاركتها لمقالي الذي كتبته مع الدكتور كريم مزران لصالح مركز @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
ولمن فاته الاطلاع على النسخة العربية، يمكنكم قراءتها عبر هذا الرابط 👈🏽 alwasat.ly/news/libya/4...
#Russia is upgrading its military footprint in #Libya -
“The entity shift from Wagner to Africa Corps arguably makes this an opportunistic power grab, more so than projection” according to @robertamaggi.bsky.social interviewed by F. S. Schiavi
www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate.
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
Delighted to share the page with the phenomenal Karim Mezran for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on current events in #Libya. We 🔎 on what clashes in Tripoli mean for peace prospects & the safety of 🇱🇾 citizens, & what the intl diplomatic community can do to prevent further violence. 👉 shorturl.at/wMRQe
The assassination of Abdul Ghani al-Kikli and clashes in Tripoli that followed shattered illusions of stability in #Libya.
Karim Mezran & @robertamaggi.bsky.social outline what peace enforcement might look like in Libya’s current politico-security landscape. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
Thank you so much, dear Andrea, for sharing our piece. We hope you enjoyed the read and find the recommendations therein relevant 🙏
My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake.
International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
HASSAN: What is habeas corpus?
NOEM: Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country
HASSAN: That's incorrect
Reports that the #US is seeking to send migrants to #Libya have raised big concerns on the risks of #HR violations and abuse.
In my new #GITOC brief, I detail those, & how #deportations could fuel Libya’s criminal economies and worsen political instability.
globalinitiative.net/analysis/how...
Today's perfect example of this:
Libya's parliament unironically meets to decide a new government claiming they're: Supporting protestors, and holding PM Dbeiba accountable for not handling militias with due process.
This will not end well
For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics.
It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.
emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
BREAKING: The Trump administration is working on a plan to permanently relocate up to 1 million Palestinians from the Gaza Strip to Libya, five people with knowledge of the effort told NBC News.
Big demonstrations in Tripoli tonight for the government to fall, several ministers have resigned, protesters now reaching the prime minister's office...unfortunately there's no way around the other site to follow these events...
There is a power struggle ongoing right now in Libya amongst a despised, illegitimate, disconnected elite trying to play off mass frustration and desperation for change
The longer it goes without the UN taking control of the mediation space, the worse it'll get
Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare.
The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
As reshuffling decrees are announced by the GNU/PM, it's important to remember that reform is more than mere de jure changes in chains of command.
A couple trends to watch in the coming days: dynamics around personnel (re)assignment within MoI and MoD, & the politics of power in institutions #Libya
Things in Libya are heating up as Ghneiwa, probably the most successful milita leader of Tripoli's cartel, was assassinated at a meeting advertised as calming recent tensions.
Now Dbeiba aligned forces will try and claim his territory as the MoI warns residents to stay home
Big night ahead
As POTUS heads to Saudi, the UAE, and Qatar next week for the first major foreign trip of his second term, lifting Syria sanctions should be at the top of his agenda -- doing so is the only way to position the Syrian people to be able to hold their govt accountable to deliver a Syria for all.
Informative on the Gaza foundation scheme, in equal parts illegal and incompetent.
• UAE nixed funding plea
• Plan would only feed 60% of Gaza, but Israel thinks emigration can solve that
• USA pressures UN to join, threatens fund cuts
@jacobmagid.bsky.social
www.timesofisrael.com/uae-rejects-...
This obviously requires verification, but here's a possible explanation for why greedy actors in Tripoli might be tempted to agree to taking the Trump admin's deportees even at the risk of being swept from power by the backlash this could cause.
www.middleeasteye.net/news/libya-a...
The Trump administration is reportedly planning to deport Laotian, Vietnamese, and Philippino individuals to Libya.
Not only are these individuals being denied due process, but they have zero ties to Libya and Libyan migration detention is infamous for extensive abuses.
Such an incredible and insightful piece - a must read. Congrats and thank you, Tarek!
My long read for @ecfr.eu and probably the publication im most proud of in all my years doing this.
A deep dive into how Russia retrenched in Libya, uses it to project power from Ukraine to the Sahel, and the many lessons Europe or other frontline states can learn from it
ecfr.eu/publication/...
