The birth rate stabilizing means option 1 or 4 -- if it stabilizes at the current level outside Africa then humanity dies out, if it stabilizes in Africa where it is today then African fertility stays high forever.
I have a particular fondness for Hungary because I spent a formative time studying there. It was just after The Wall came down. I had so many encounters that conveyed a sense of hope for a bright future. I imagine the squares of Budapest feel like that again right now.
HOAs are necessary for multifamily buildings but not for multibuilding developments and should be prohibited for the latter.
No this is wrong; our admin is still on the wrong side but it's clear that protesting them is not the main problem.
Here, where there were major campus protests assaulted by cops, the organizers are now major participants in the No Kings protests where they say broadly similar things.
Why does Rice play Texas?
I don't think Big Bill would want to be called a liberal.
It's a magical world Hobbes, Ol' buddy... ... Let's go exploring!
Sure but it kind of emphasizes the degree to which it's all imadeitup.jpg
Yes that's a different theory, which is basically Will's.
Right the economy is clearly not as good as during booms, but people are more unhappy than they were during previous not-booms. Which is what needs explanation.
Those things are in fact trending higher, in similar amounts adjusted for inflation, to times when people were ok with the economy.
Like, hmmm
Note that this theory is a significant contrast to Will's vibes theory.
Probably no one has proposed that theory yet.
I wish these Epoch reports came with an epistemic status indicator.
The most parsimonious explanation of this is that something changed about the economy in 2020-21 that hasn't changed back and people don't like. My best candidates are "less in person interaction" and "higher nominal prices".
He's telling the people who might suggest people to Trump, for exactly the reason you say.
I mean, he says basically that Trump needs more people like Rubio and Bessent.
Isn't it clearly that he knows that would be better but since it isn't going to happen he's trying to positively influence someone (Wiles?) to potentially improve things?
Need to get them to add the IU bus
Wow, this is how I found out that @transit.app covers Bloomington!
Tweet from Sean Leahy @thepunningman "The bond's Name. James Name" Pleased to... what? "Bond Name's the james" Are you alright? "Bames Nond's having a strong, call a Bondulance"
This one still fuckin kills me
From eyeballing the first chart, it seems like the real discontinuity is in ~2014 not 2019. Does that make a difference?
They did another study: metr.org/blog/2026-02...
It found that (a) AI tools are helpful and (b) they're helpful enough that it's become harder to test them.
Yes but also that it's harder than we think to come up with benchmarks that don't have this problem.
A central problem everywhere is that people want a formula or shortcut around "you just have to be good", but there isn't one, for movies or politics or buildings or software or anything else.
Not my profession, but "affordable housing means housing that people can afford".
Here's an example of what I mean: bsky.app/profile/wrai...
Because markdown precedes LLMs?