I think Turkey can contribute to European defense, but such a partnership will cost to Europe as well as to Turkey. The question is whether they are aware of what they are signing for.
My new article: www.institude.org/opinion/can-...
Finally out! My article, 'Populists and diplomats: Negotiated agency of the Turkish ministry of foreign affairs' is published at @Medit_Politics
I am so grateful to all who read, reviewed, and commented the manuscript patiently. Thank you!
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
I wrote The Poverty of Turkish Opposition and Its Obsession with Elections
The future of the opposition—and Turkey’s democracy—depends not on the ballot box, opinion polls, the economy, or natural disasters, but on their willingness to confront Erdoğan. www.institude.org/analysis/the...
Turkish chargé d'affaires to Damascus:
'We will have a relationship with Syria similar to that of the Ottoman period' t24.com.tr/haber/buyuke...
I wrote the changing geopolitical dynamics between Turkey and Israel
So far, the conflict between Ankara and Tel Aviv was ideological while the geopolitics was pulling both countries to a silent harmony against the 'resistance axis', but now it changes. www.institude.org/opinion/shif...
Turkish chargé d'affaires to Damascus:
'We will have a relationship with Syria similar to that of the Ottoman period' t24.com.tr/haber/buyuke...
I wrote the changing geopolitical dynamics between Turkey and Israel
So far, the conflict between Ankara and Tel Aviv was ideological while the geopolitics was pulling both countries to a silent harmony against the 'resistance axis', but now it changes. www.institude.org/opinion/shif...
No mention of its genuine democracy
1️⃣ Türkiye-Katar ekseni.
2️⃣ Mısır, Suudi Arabistan, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ve Bahreyn ekseni.
3️⃣ ABD-İsrail ekseni.
4️⃣ Şimdilik denklemin dışında kalmış gibi görünen Rusya ve İran.
Birinci Dünya Savaşı öncesinde kurulan Sykes-Picot düzeni ciddi şekilde revize ediliyor.
+ Türkiye ve erdoğana yönelik övgüleri bunun işareti. Bunlar samimi hayranlık değil tabi ki, kendine özgü pazarlık stratejisi.
Ancak Ankaradaki zafer havasına nazaran suriye meselesi trumpın dünyasında çok önemli bir yere sahip değil. ... şimdilik!
+ ancak bu konuda askerlerden ya da kendi ekibinden direnç olduğundan kararını henüz vermediği şeklinde yorumladım.
Yine de her iki ihtimalde de suriye dosyasını kafasında Türkiyeye vermiş ve burada ortaya çıkabilecek herhangi bir meseleyi erdoğan üzerinden çözme niyetinde +
Trump'ın açıklamalarından benim anladıklarım şunlar:
Birincisi genel olarak suriyeye dair çok bir ilgisi planı politikası yok.
İkincisi, Suriyedeki en önemli meselesi oradaki amerikan askerleri. Konuşmasından Trumpın hala askerleri çekme taraftarı olduğunu, +
Turkish foreign policy is at its peak this month:
-Assad's gone and Turkey-backed groups are politically strong,
-Blinken, who previously ignored Turkey at the Israel-Gaza war, is now in Ankara to discuss Syria,
-Ethiopia and Somalia have reached a landmark agreement through Turkish mediation.
This remains a super prescient book on AKP-led Turkey’s continued efforts to position itself as mediator. Despite lots of failures (Iran, Syria, Palestine), Erdoğan continues, pushing Turkey’s geopolitics and multifaceted identity.
Why? Because a mediator role means you get to leverage both sides.
It reminds me Halil Karaveli's article. It costed dearly for hulusi akar :) foreignpolicy.com/2021/10/05/h...
Turkey’s intelligence chief, İbrahim Kalın, visited the Umayyad Mosque to pray. This symbolically means a lot for the AKP to show their "diplomatic victory" in Syria.
While challenges remain in Syria, it will be used a lot by Erdoğan to divert attention from the country’s economic problems.
A policy that has caused so much pain for so long cannot be called genius or wise, regardless of the outcome... Still Erdogan seems ready to embark on his victory lap in Syria.
Let's set the record straight: Turkey may have outlasted Assad and positioned itself on the winning side for now, but this war was neither heroic nor a stroke of genius. It has devastated millions of lives, torn apart families, and inflicted unimaginable suffering.
Erdoğan yine sağa sinyal verip sola döndü.
Suriye'de ABD'nin desteklediği YPG'ye karşı askerî harekattan bahsederken birdenbire Türkiye kontrolündeki güçler Rusya ve İran'ın desteklediği Esad'a karşı saldırıya geçti.
Bunu nasıl anlamak gerekir?
www.youtube.com/live/aDGNqwE...
A new Islamist opposition against Erdogan is loading. Islamists is just a part of his power coalition but it is the core group. They would be the last ones to leave Erdogan. Yet, oil trade with Israel is a dealbreaker www.tr724.com/erdogana-isr...
This is from fidan's meeting with syrian opposition in august
1/ 📢 Introducing a new Special Issue in the Journal of Arabian Studies: "Reorienting the Gulf" 🌍. "What shapes Gulf studies? Edited by myself, @charlottelysa.bsky.social
and Fatema Hubail tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Biden era was not that bad for the Turkish-American relations.
My new analysis: www.institude.org/opinion/turk...
Lübnan’da sağlanan ateşkes İsrail’e ne kazandıracak?
youtu.be/vNa6qUdFMNA?...
Sine i millete dönüyorum :)
Türkiye aynı zamanda Rusya’nın hava saldırısıyla 36 askerini şehit ettiği tek NATO ülkesi…
O yetmezmiş gibi, 36 askerimiz şehit edildikten sadece on gün sonra Erdoğan Moskova’ya gitti
+++
Putin Ukrayna'da orta menzilli balistik füze kullanmadan önce ABD'ye haber vermiş.
Bunu niye yapmış? Çünkü Batı'nın nükleer silah kullandığını zannedip hemen karşılık vermesi gibi vahim bir yanlış anlamayı önlemek istemiş. +++
Despite the #Trump administration's cabinet being seen as unfriendly toward Turkey, #Erdogan still remains optimistic about Trump and his policies. He expects Trump to prioritize ending ongoing wars and refrains from dwelling on the individuals in the cabinet.
www.iletisim.gov.tr/turkce/haber...