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Howdy, I'm the Sheriff of Chartcrimes round these parts and I'm here to lock you up.

...this is like comfort eating for UK journalists...there will be no let up.

Causal inference courses: here's how you estimate causal effects and these are the assumptions you rely on and by the way the assumptions are always violated kthxbye

Becoming successful is not luck. It’s math. If your probability of success is 1/100 and you try 100 times, you have a 100% chance of success. Community note: Trying 100 times with a 1/100 success probability per independent trial gives a 63% chance of at least one success (1 - 0.99^100), not 100%. https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/1885662/something-with-a-probability-of-1-occurring-100-times

The probability of getting your maths wrong while influtweeting is higher than you think

We’re hiring a Research Fellow, Technology and National Security.

Join our Cyber & Tech team to lead research on how emerging technologies, such as AI and quantum technologies, are shaping national security, geopolitical competition and economic growth.

Apply by 10 May: https://bit.ly/4cpwGP3

Climate change (more heat & more wet) and heavier vehicles causing roads to flex and crack are increasing the potholes in our roads.

Watch a video here

Council budgets have been heavily cut for more than a decade making it harder to keep up…the daily outward symbol of decline

youtu.be/JcCTF2eshhw

Policy catching up with practice

Exhibit #884,862,001

'The Science of Scale and Implementation: New Frontiers for Research' at the CSAE Conference 2026 YouTube video by Centre for the Study of African Economies

Watch 'The Science of Scale & Implementation' panel from the CSAE Conference 2026.

@noamangrist.bsky.social chairs a panel on scaling interventions, adapting across contexts, and sustaining impact.

🗣️James Habyarimana, Dean Karlan, Nompumelelo Nyathi-Mohohlwane
www.youtube.com/watch?v=O-5H...

It burns because it's true.

Government security vetting | Institute for Government How does the UK government's national security vetting system work?

With the Peter Mandelson appointment as UK ambassador to the US back in the headlines, it's worth understanding how the UK government's national security vetting system actually works.

Our explainer sets out the process:

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/go...

“Another way to look at this is that billionaires have joined a war on professional administrative class of public servants precisely because of their proximity to formal mechanisms of accountability.”

That part! Everything from documentation to compliance mechanisms to whistleblowing is a threat.

Ah the ol' surround sound and massive screen doing their work.

(Ep III memorable from the audience laughing aloud at the acting when Anakin shouts "NNNOOOooooooooo" at hearing of Padmes demise.)

Phantom Menace is in a sub-sub-sub-category all of its own.

Room 101

Ouch.

I have arrived at check in to be told "we have no record of you booking a ticket" (pre apps and digital wallets). Lol. That was painfully expensive but again glad I was early...

Don't be shy to take on a little two-week side project. These five months will be the most precious three years of your academic journey.

This is a very good thread.

TIL

The publisher of my book, How Economics Discovered Women, is providing a 30% discount for online preorders as of today: UCPSAVE30.

On this day in 2019, I witnessed one of the coolest things ever. A lenticular cloud lit-up by a setting sun over the Perito Morena Glacier in Argentina.

Lecturer in Applied Mathematics (Quantitative Modelling) at King's College London Recruiting now: Lecturer in Applied Mathematics (Quantitative Modelling) on jobs.ac.uk. Click for details and explore more academic job opportunities on the top job board

King's College London are seeking a Lecturer in Applied Mathematics (Quantitative Modelling) to "develop an independent research programme in applied mathematics, mathematical modelling, or a closely related area" www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRG116/l...

Yeah the issue in the article is not just education research. Any time s'one develops a programme and marks their own homework = risk of bias

And there is certainly a distribution re quant research quality - arguably in many subjects though.

"...10 different fields in a trenchcoat" 🤣

Evergreen, for all disciplines.

"mind control" ... how does anyone write that thinking that it's serious.

Yep. And @britishacademy.bsky.social does use a lottery already for some grant allocations. (Sift first then lottery.)

This image is a political illustration from the German newspaper Die Zeit depicting a confrontation between a Pope and a US President.

The artwork is titled "Pope Leo XIV" and portrays a tension-filled scene between the two figures.

A peer reviewed study shows a promising link between flu and shingles vaccines and a reduced risk of dementia. A heroin addict who cut off a raccoon’s penis for “further study” says these vaccines cause autism. For busy Americans, it can be hard to know who to trust.

Good thread re CJS

(And what really winds me up the most about this is that the justice system is so cheap compared to its effects on society. The entirety of the court and prison estate costs less than 15B/year. You can read about its costs here but this was insane vandalism.

ifs.org.uk/publications...

The trials that quietly changed our lives Testing claims matters more than ever in an age of misinformation, overconfident assertions and unsubstantiated opinions

My article in the Financial Times about my book. It includes a wonderful randomised trial of beer glasses (which you might unknowingly have been part of if you bought a pint in some British pubs c.1998)

“Testing claims matters more than ever in an age of misinformation”
as.ft.com/r/f5a2f313-a...

You always get a lot of angry replies here if you complain about the Greens blocking solar farms or power grid upgrades. Maybe they should stop instigating pile-ons and start instigating pylons.